How humanity can reach the stars | Philip Lubin

45,502 views ・ 2020-10-21

TED


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Prevoditelj: Gordan Prakiš Recezent: Sanda Liker
00:12
We're here at the University of California, Santa Barbara
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Nalazimo se na Kalifornijskom sveučilištu u Santa Barbari
00:15
to discuss a dream of humanity:
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kako bismo raspravili o snu čovječanstva:
00:18
the ability to exit our solar system
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mogućnosti da napustimo naš Sunčev sustav
00:21
and enter another solar system.
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i uđemo u sustav druge zvijezde.
00:23
And the solution is literally before your eyes.
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I rješenje se nalazi doslovno pred vašim očima.
00:27
So I have two things on me that you have -- I have a watch,
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Kod sebe imam dvije stvari koje imate i vi: imam sat
00:30
and I have a flashlight,
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i imam svjetiljku koju
00:31
which, if it's not on you, it's on your phone.
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ako nemate, imate na svojem telefonu.
00:34
So the watch keeps time,
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Sat bilježi vrijeme,
00:35
and my flashlight just illuminates my environment.
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a svjetiljka jednostavno osvjetljava moje okruženje.
00:39
So like art, to me, science is illuminating.
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Za mene je znanost, kao i umjetnost, prosvjetljujuća.
00:42
I want to see reality in a different way.
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Želim vidjeti stvarnost na drugi način.
00:44
When I turn on the flashlight,
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Kada upalim svjetiljku,
00:46
suddenly the dark becomes bright, and I suddenly see.
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tama odjednom postaje svjetlost i odjednom vidim.
00:49
The flashlight and its light,
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Svjetiljka i njena svjetlost,
00:50
which you can see coming out --
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koju možete vidjeti kako izvire,
00:52
the light on my hand is not only illuminating my hand,
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ta svjetlost na mojoj ruci ne samo da osvjetljava
moju ruku nego je i poguruje.
00:55
it's actually pushing on my hand.
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00:56
Light carries energy and momentum.
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Svjetlost nosi energiju i zamah.
00:59
So the answer is not to make a spacecraft out of a flashlight,
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Tako da odgovor nije da napravimo svemirski brod od svjetiljke,
01:02
by having the exhaust come out this way
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da ispuh izlazi ovim putem
01:04
and the spacecraft goes that way --
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i letjelica ide ovim putem -
01:05
that's what we do today with chemistry.
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to danas radimo pomoću kemije.
01:07
The answer is this:
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Odgovor glasi:
01:08
Take the flashlight and put it somewhere on the Earth,
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Uzmite svjetiljku i stavite je negdje na Zemlju,
u orbitu ili na Mjesec,
01:11
in orbit or on the Moon,
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01:12
and then shine it on a reflector,
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i tada osvjetlite reflektor,
01:14
which propels the reflector to speeds which can approach the speed of light.
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što će pogurati reflektor prema brzinama koje mogu doseći brzinu svjetlosti.
01:18
Well, how do you make a flashlight that's big enough?
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Kako napraviti svjetiljku koja je dovoljno velika?
Ovo nam neće pomoći,
01:21
This isn't going to do it,
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moja ruka ne djeluje kao da ide igdje.
01:22
my hand doesn't seem to be going anywhere.
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I to je stoga što je sila jako, jako mala.
01:24
And that's because the force is very, very low.
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Način na koji možete riješiti ovaj problem
01:27
So the way that you can solve this problem
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je uzeti mnogo svjetiljki, koje su ustvari laseri,
01:29
is taking many, many flashlights, which are actually lasers,
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01:31
and synchronizing them in time,
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i vremenski ih sinkronizirati,
01:33
and when you gang them all together into a gigantic array,
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i kad ih uparite zajedno u jedan gigantski niz,
01:37
which we call a phased array,
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koji nazivamo "fazni niz",
01:39
you then have a sufficiently powerful system,
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tada imate dovoljno jak sustav,
01:42
which, if you make it roughly the size of a city,
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koji, ako ga napravite u veličini jednog grada,
01:44
it can push a spacecraft, which is roughly the size of your hand,
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može pomaknuti letjelicu koja je veličine vaše ruke
01:48
to speeds which are roughly 25 percent the speed of light.
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na brzine koje su ugrubo 25 posto brzine svjetlosti.
01:53
That would enable us to get to the nearest star, Proxima Centauri,
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To bi nam omogućilo da dođemo do naše najbliže zvijezde, Proxima Centauri,
01:57
which is a little over four light years away,
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koja je udaljena malo više od 4 svjetlosne godine,
01:59
in less than 20 years.
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za manje od 20 godina.
02:02
Initial probes would be roughly the size of your hand,
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Inicijalne sonde bi bile ugrubo veličine vaše ruke,
02:04
and the size of the reflector that you're going to use
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dok bi veličina reflektora koje biste koristili
02:07
is going to be roughly human size,
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morala biti ugrubo veličine čovjeka,
02:09
so not a whole lot larger than myself,
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dakle ne mnogo veći od mene,
02:11
but a few meters in size.
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tek nekoliko metara ukupno.
02:13
It only uses the reflection of light from this very large laser array
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Koriste samo refleksiju svjetla iz tih vrlo velikih laserskih zraka
02:19
to propel the spacecraft.
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kako bi pogonili letjelicu.
02:21
So let's talk about this.
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Dakle popričajmo o tome.
02:23
This is a lot like sailing on the ocean.
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To je u mnogo čemu kao jedrenje oceanom.
02:26
When you sail on the ocean, you're pushed by the wind.
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Kada jedrite oceanom, poguruje vas vjetar.
02:29
And the wind then drives the sail forward through the water.
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Vjetar tada upravlja jedrom naprijed kroz more.
02:32
In our case, we're creating an artificial wind in space
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U našem slučaju, stvaramo umjetni vjetar u svemiru
02:36
from this laser array,
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iz tih laserskih zraka,
02:37
except the wind is actually the photons from the laser itself,
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osim što su "vjetar" zapravo fotoni iz samog lasera,
02:41
the light from the laser becomes the wind
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svjetlost iz lasera postaje vjetar
02:44
upon which we sail.
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na kojem mi plovimo.
02:45
It is a very directed light --
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To je vrlo usmjerena svjetlost -
02:47
it's often called directed energy.
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često se naziva usmjerena energija.
02:49
So why is this possible today,
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Zašto je ovo moguće danas,
02:50
why can we talk about going to the stars today,
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zašto danas možemo pričati o posjetu zvijezdama,
02:53
when 60 years ago,
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kada prije 60 godina,
02:54
when the space program began in earnest,
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dok je svemirski program ozbiljnije počinjao,
02:57
people would have said, "That's not possible"?
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ljudi bi rekli: "To nije moguće"?
02:59
Well, the reason it's possible today has a lot to do with the consumer,
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Zapravo razlog zašto je to moguće danas ima velike veze s potrošačem
03:04
and the very fact that you're watching me.
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i činjenicom da me gledate.
03:06
You're watching me over a high-speed internet,
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Gledate me preko brzinskog interneta
03:08
which is dominated by the photonics of sending data over fiber optics.
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kojim dominira fotonika slanja podataka putem optičkih kablova.
03:14
Photonics essentially allow the internet to exist
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Fotonika u biti omogućava postojanje interneta
03:18
in the way it does today.
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na način na koji postoji danas.
03:19
The ability to send vast amounts of data very quickly
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Mogućnost da prenesemo velike količine podataka vrlo brzo
03:23
is the same technology that we're going to use
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je ustvari ista ta tehnologija koju ćemo koristiti
03:25
to send spacecraft very quickly to the stars.
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kako bismo poslali svemirsku letjelicu vrlo brzo prema zvijezdama.
03:28
You effectively have an infinite supply of propellent,
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Efektivno na raspolaganju imate beskonačni pogon
03:31
you can turn it on and off as needed.
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koji možete uključiti i isključiti po potrebi.
03:33
You do not leave the laser array that produces the light on
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Ne ostavljate uključenu lasersku zraku koja producira svjetlost
03:38
for the entire journey.
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tijekom cijelog putovanja.
03:40
For small spacecraft, it's only on for a few minutes,
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Za manje letjelice upaljena je samo nekoliko minuta
03:42
and then it's like shooting a gun.
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i to je kao pucanj iz pištolja.
03:46
You have a projectile which just moves ballistically.
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Imate projektil koji se kreće balistički.
03:50
Even if we, as humans, are not on the spacecraft,
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Čak i ako se mi ljudi ne nalazimo na letjelici,
03:53
at least we have the ability to send out such spacecraft.
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ipak imamo mogućnost poslati takvu letjelicu.
03:57
You want to remotely view,
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Želite vidjeti na daljinu
03:59
or have remote imaging and remote sensing,
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ili imati sliku na daljinu i daljinski osjet
04:02
of an object.
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objekta.
04:04
So when we go to Jupiter, for example,
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Kada, primjerice, odemo na Jupiter
04:06
with a flyby mission,
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u misiji preleta,
04:08
we are taking pictures of Jupiter,
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mi slikamo Jupiter,
04:10
we're measuring the magnetic field,
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mjerimo magnetsko polje,
04:12
the particle density,
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gustoću čestica
04:13
and we're basically exploring remotely.
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i u biti istražujemo na daljinu.
04:15
The same way that you are looking at me.
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Na isti način na koji me upravo gledate.
04:17
And all of the current missions that are beyond the Moon
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I sve trenutne misije koje se nalaze iza Mjeseca
04:20
are remote-sensing missions.
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su osjetilne misije na daljinu.
04:22
What would we hope to find if we visited an exoplanet?
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Što se nadamo pronaći ako posjetimo egzoplanet?
04:25
Perhaps there's life on an exoplanet,
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Možda postoji život na tom planetu
04:28
and we would be able to see evidence of life,
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i bili bismo u mogućnosti vidjeti dokaze o životu,
04:30
either through atmospheric biosignatures
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bilo preko atmosferskih naznaka života,
04:33
or through, you know, a dramatic picture,
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bilo preko dramatične slike,
04:35
we would be able to see something actually on the surface.
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bili bismo u mogućnosti vidjeti nešto na samoj površini.
04:37
We don't know if there's life elsewhere in the universe.
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Ne znamo postoji li život negdje drugdje u svemiru.
04:40
Perhaps on the missions that we send out, we will find evidence for life,
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Možda ćemo kroz misiju koju bismo poslali moći pronaći dokaze o životu,
04:44
perhaps we will not.
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a možda i nećemo.
04:46
And while economics may seem like an inappropriate thing
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I iako se možda ekonomija čini neprikladnom
04:49
to bring into a talk on interstellar capability,
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da u razgovor uvedemo međuzvjezdane mogućnosti,
04:52
it is in fact one of the driving issues in achieving interstellar capability.
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ustvari je ona jedan od vodećih čimbenika za ostvarenje međuzvjezdanog potencijala.
04:58
You have to get things to the point where they're economically affordable
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Morate stvari dovesti do točke gdje su ekonomski isplative
05:02
to do what we want to do.
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da učinite ono što namjeravate.
05:03
So currently,
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Trenutno
05:05
we have systems in the lab
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imamo laboratorijske sustave
05:06
which have achieved the ability to synchronize over very large scales,
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koji su ostvarili mogućnost sinkronizacije na velikoj skali
05:11
out to about 10 kilometers or roughly six miles.
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do skoro 10 kilometara (ugrubo 6 milja).
05:16
We've been able to achieve synchronization of laser systems,
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Uspjeli smo ostvariti sinkronizaciju laserskih sustava
05:19
and it's worked beautifully.
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i radilo je savršeno.
05:20
We've known how to build lasers for many decades,
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Već mnogo desetljeća znamo kako napraviti lasere
05:25
but it's only now that the technology has gotten inexpensive enough,
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ali tek je sada ta tehnologija postala dovoljno jeftina
05:29
and become mature enough
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i dovoljno zrela
05:30
that we can imagine having huge arrays, literally,
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kako bismo mogli zamisliti da imamo ogromne zrake, doslovce
05:35
kilometer-scale arrays, much like solar farms,
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kilometarski velike zrake, kao solarne farme,
05:39
but instead of receiving light, they transmit light.
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ali umjesto da primaju svjetlost, one je emitiraju.
05:43
The beauty of this type of technology is it enables many applications,
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Ljepota ove vrste tehnologije je ta što omogućuje mnoge primjene,
05:49
not just relativistic flight for small spacecraft,
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ne samo relativističke letove manjih letjelica,
05:52
but enables high-speed spacecraft,
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već omogućuje brzinske letjelice,
05:55
high-speed flight in our solar system,
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brzinski let našim Sunčevim sustavom,
05:57
it enables planetary defense,
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omogućuje planetarnu obranu,
05:59
it enables space debris removal,
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omogućuje otklanjanje svemirskog otpada,
06:01
it enables powering of distant assets that we may want to send power to,
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omogućuje upravljanje udaljenom imovinom gdje želimo poslati energiju,
06:07
such as spacecraft or bases on the Moon or other places.
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kao primjerice letjelice ili baze na Mjesecu ili drugim planetima.
06:11
It's an extremely versatile technology,
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To je vrlo svestrana tehnologija
06:13
it's something that humanity would want to develop
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i nešto što bi ljudska rasa trebala željeti razviti
06:16
even if they didn't want to send spacecraft to the stars,
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iako nužno ne žele poslati letjelicu prema zvjezdama,
06:19
because that technology allows so many applications
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zato što ta tehnologija ima toliko mogućih primjena
06:22
that are currently not feasible.
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koje trenutno nisu izvedive.
06:24
And therefore, I feel it's an inevitable technology,
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I stoga smatram da je to neizbježna vrsta tehnologije
06:27
because we have the ability,
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zato što imamo tu mogućnost,
06:29
we just need to fine-tune the technology
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samo je potrebno fino je podesiti
06:32
and in a sense, wait for economics to catch up with us
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i u stvari čekati da ekonomija uhvati korak s nama
06:35
so that it becomes cheap enough to build the large systems.
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tako da kada postane dovoljno jeftino izgradimo velike sustave.
06:38
The smaller systems are affordable now.
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Manji sustavi su već sada isplativi.
06:41
And we've already started building prototype systems in our lab.
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I već smo počeli graditi prototipne sustave u laboratoriju.
06:45
So while it's not going to happen tomorrow,
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Iako se to sve neće dogoditi sutra,
06:47
we've already begun the process,
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već smo započeli proces
06:48
and so far, it's looking good.
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i, za sada, izgleda dobro.
06:51
This is both a revolutionary program,
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Ovo je i revolucionarni program,
06:54
in terms of being a transformative technology,
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u smislu toga da je to transformativna tehnologija,
06:58
but it's also an evolutionary program.
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ali ujedno i evolucijski program.
07:01
So personally, I do not expect to be around
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Osobno ne očekujem da ću biti živ
07:04
when the first relativistic flight happens.
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kada se dogode prvi relativistički letovi.
07:08
I think that's probably 30-plus years off before we get to that point,
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Mislim da nas dijeli još 30+ godina prije nego dođemo do te točke,
07:12
and perhaps more.
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možda i više.
07:13
But what inspires me
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Ali ono što me inspirira
07:14
is to look at the ability to achieve the final goal.
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je pogledati mogućnost ostvarivanja konačnog cilja.
07:18
Even if it does not happen in my lifetime,
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Iako se to ne dogodi tijekom mojega života,
07:20
it can happen in the lifetime of the next generation
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može se dogoditi tijekom života sljedeće generacije
07:23
or the generation beyond that.
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ili generacije koja slijedi nakon nje.
07:25
The consequences are so transformative
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Posljedice su toliko transformativne
07:28
that we literally, in my opinion, must go down this path,
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da, po mojem mišljenju, moramo doslovce krenuti tim putem
07:31
and must explore what the limitations are,
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i moramo istražiti koja su ograničenja
07:33
and then how do we overcome the limitations.
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i kako ih nadvladati.
07:36
The search for life on other planets
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Potraga za životom na drugim planetima
07:37
would be one of humanity's foremost explorations,
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bila bi jedna od najistaknutijih istraživanja čovječanstva
07:42
and if we're able to do so,
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i ako bismo to zbilja uspjeli
07:44
and actually find life on another planet,
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i zbilja pronašli život na drugom planetu,
07:46
it would change humanity forever.
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to bi promijenilo čovječanstvo zauvijek.
07:48
Everything is profound in life.
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Sve u životu ima smisao
07:50
If you look deep enough,
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i ako zavirite dovoljno duboko
07:51
you'll find something incredibly complex and interesting and beautiful in life.
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pronaći ćete nešto nevjerojatno složeno, zanimljivo i prelijepo u životu.
07:57
And the same is true with the lowly photon
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I isto vrijedi za ponizni foton
07:59
that we use to see every day.
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koji gledamo svaki dan.
08:03
But when we look outside and we imagine something vastly greater,
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Ali kada pogledamo izvana i zamislimo nešto mnogo veće,
08:08
an array of lasers that are synchronized,
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kao zrake lasera koje su sinkronizirane,
08:11
we could imagine things which are just extraordinary in life.
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možemo zamisliti stvari koje su jednostavno nevjerojatne u životu.
08:15
And the ability to go to another star
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I mogućnost da posjetimo drugu zvijezdu
08:17
is one of those extraordinary capabilities.
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je jedna od tih nevjerojatnih mogućnosti.
08:21
(Birds chirping)
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(Cvrkut ptica)
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