What’s the difference between a scientific law and theory? - Matt Anticole
1,803,253 views ・ 2015-11-19
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譯者: Ming Gui Tan
審譯者: Max Chern
00:08
Chat with a friend about
an established scientific theory
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跟朋友聊到
一個已確立的科學理論
00:11
and she might reply,
"Well, that's just a theory."
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她可能會跟你說
『那不就是個理論而已嘛』
00:15
But a conversation about
an established scientific law
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但是聊到一個確立的科學定律
00:18
rarely ends with,
"Well, that's just a law."
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很少有這樣回應
『那不就是個定律而已嘛』
00:22
Why is that?
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為什麼呢?
00:24
What is the difference
between a theory and a law,
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理論與定律之間有何差別
00:27
and is one better?
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其中一個有比另一個好嗎?
00:29
Scientific laws and theories
have different jobs to do.
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科學定律和理論有不同的作用
00:32
A scientific law predicts
the results of certain initial conditions.
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科學定律預測
某些初始狀態最後會有的結果
00:37
It might predict your unborn
child's possible hair colors,
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它可以預測腹中胎兒可能的髮色
00:40
or how far a baseball travels
when launched at a certain angle.
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或以某個角度投擲棒球可投多遠
00:45
In contrast, a theory tries to provide
the most logical explanation
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相反地,理論嘗試
提供最合理的解釋
00:50
about why things happen as they do.
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來闡述事情發生的原因
00:53
A theory might invoke
dominant and recessive genes
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理論可能利用顯性和隱性基因
00:56
to explain how brown-haired parents
ended up with a red-headed child,
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去解釋為什麼褐髮父母
會生出紅髮孩子
01:01
or use gravity to shed light
on the parabolic trajectory of a baseball.
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或利用重力去解釋
棒球的拋物線軌跡
01:07
In simplest terms,
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最簡單地說
01:08
a law predicts what happens
while a theory proposes why.
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定律預測『事件的結果』
而理論提出『發生的原因』
01:13
A theory will never grow up into a law,
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理論永遠不可能成為定律
01:16
though the development of one
often triggers progress on the other.
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儘管如此,任一方的發展
常能激發另一方的進步
01:20
In the 17th century, Johannes Kepler
theorized cosmic musical harmonies
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在十七世紀,約翰尼斯·克卜勒
提出天體音樂和諧論
01:25
to explain the nature of planetary orbits.
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以解釋行星軌道的自然現象
01:29
He developed three brilliant laws
of planetary motion
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他制訂三條卓越的行星運動定律
01:33
while he was studying decades
of precise astronomical data
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前後花了數十年
埋首於精確的天文學數據
01:36
in an effort to find support
for his theory.
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以找出支持他理論的證據
01:40
While his three laws
are still in use today,
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雖然他的三大定律至今仍在使用
01:43
gravity replaced his theory of harmonics
to explain the planets' motions.
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但重力已經取代了他的和諧理論
來解釋行星的運動
01:48
How did Kepler get part of it wrong?
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克卜勒為什麼會犯下
這個錯誤呢?
01:51
Well, we weren't handed
a universal instruction manual.
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嗯!沒有人給我們
一本宇宙的使用手冊啊!
01:54
Instead, we continually propose,
challenge, revise, or even replace
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科學的想法一直在進展,
我們會不斷地提出挑戰、修正
01:59
our scientific ideas
as a work in progress.
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甚至取代原來的觀念
02:03
Laws usually resist change
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定律通常是難以改變的
02:05
since they wouldn't have been adopted
if they didn't fit the data,
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因為當初如果不能符合數據
就根本不會被採用
02:09
though we occasionally revise laws
in the face of new unexpected information.
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雖然我們偶爾會
意外發現新資訊而修正定律
02:14
A theory's acceptance, however,
is often gladiatorial.
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反觀理論的接納,
常常需要激烈的爭辯
02:18
Multiple theories may compete
to supply the best explanation
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許多理論會互相競爭
以提供最合理的說明
02:22
of a new scientific discovery.
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來解釋科學新發現
02:24
Upon further research,
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經進一步的研究後
02:26
scientists tend to favor the theory
that can explain most of the data,
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科學家會傾向支持
可以解釋大部分數據的理論
02:31
though there may still
be gaps in our understanding.
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即使它與我們的理解仍有落差
02:34
Scientists also like
when a new theory successfully predicts
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科學家也喜歡
新的理論能成功地預測
02:37
previously unobserved phenomena,
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先前未被留意的現象
02:40
like when Dmitri Mendeleev's theory
about the periodic table
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就像迪米特里.門得列夫的
元素週期表理論
02:44
predicted several undiscovered elements.
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能預測許多尚未被發現的元素
02:48
The term scientific theory
covers a broad swath.
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科學理論這個名詞
涵蓋的範圍很廣
02:51
Some theories are new ideas
with little experimental evidence
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有些理論是只有極少
實驗證據的新想法
02:55
that scientists eye with suspicion,
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常招到科學家的質疑
02:58
or even ridicule.
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甚至當成笑柄
02:59
Other theories,
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其他的理論
03:00
like those involving the Big Bang,
evolution, and climate change,
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像大爆炸、演化論和氣候變遷論
03:04
have endured years
of experimental confirmation
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經歷多年實驗的驗證
03:08
before earning acceptance by the majority
of the scientific community.
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最終才獲得大多數科學界的接納
03:13
You would need to learn more about
a specific explanation
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你需要先深入了解某個詳盡解釋
03:16
before you'd know how well
scientists perceive it.
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才能知道科學家對它的認知程度
03:19
The word theory
alone doesn't tell you.
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單靠字面上的解說
並不能達到此目的
03:23
In full disclosure,
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不隱瞞地說
03:24
the scientific community has bet
on the wrong horse before:
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科學界曾經下錯賭注,諸如
03:28
alchemy,
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煉金術
03:29
the geocentric model,
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地心說
03:30
spontaneous generation,
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自然發生說
03:32
and the interstellar aether
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還有宇宙「以太」理論
03:34
are just a few of many theories
discarded in favor of better ones.
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是其中幾個
被更好的理論淘汰的學說
03:39
But even incorrect theories
have their value.
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然而不正確的理論
也是有其價值的
03:42
Discredited alchemy was the birthplace
of modern chemistry,
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名譽掃地的煉金術
孕育了現代化學
03:46
and medicine made great strides
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而醫學的大幅進步是
03:48
long before we understood the roles
of bacteria and viruses.
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早在我們瞭解
細菌和病毒的角色之前
03:53
That said, better theories often lead
to exciting new discoveries
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不過,更好的理論
常會促成令人振奮的新發現
03:57
that were unimaginable
under the old way of thinking.
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用老舊的思考模式是無法想像的
04:01
Nor should we assume
all of our current scientific theories
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我們也不應認定
現今所有的科學理論
04:04
will stand the test of time.
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都經得起時間的考驗
04:06
A single unexpected result is enough
to challenge the status quo.
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只要一個出乎意料之外的結果
就足以動搖它的地位了
04:11
However, vulnerability to some potentially
better explanation
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然而,現行的科學理論
雖然可能有更好的解釋方式
04:14
doesn't weaken
a current scientific theory.
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但不會減弱它的價值
04:18
Instead, it shields science from becoming
unchallenged dogma.
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反而可以避免科學
變成不能挑戰的教條
04:23
A good scientific law
is a finely-tuned machine,
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一個好的科學定律
好比一個精確的機器
04:26
accomplishing its task brilliantly
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出色地完成其任務
04:28
but ignorant of why it works
as well as it does.
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但是只知其然而不知其所以然
04:31
A good scientific theory is a bruised,
but unbowed, fighter
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一個好的科學理論好比
一個傷痕累累不屈不撓的拳擊手
04:36
who risks defeat if unable to overpower
or adapt to the next challenger.
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如果不能擊敗或適應下一個對手
就會有被擊敗的風險
04:41
Though different,
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雖然不一樣
04:43
science needs both laws and theories
to understand the whole picture.
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科學是需要定律與理論兩者
以瞭解完整的真相
04:47
So next time someone comments that
it's just a theory,
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所以下次有人說
『這只是個理論而已嘛!』
04:51
challenge them to go nine rounds
with the champ
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挑戰他們去跟冠軍比上九個回合
04:53
and see if they can do any better.
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看他們能不能做得更好
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