The Future of Flying Is Electrifying | Cory Combs | TED Countdown

73,679 views ・ 2021-05-18

TED


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00:00
Transcriber:
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譯者: Riley Huang 審譯者: Helen Chang
00:13
I work in aviation, but the truth is I don't much like flying.
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我在航空業工作, 但其實,我不太喜歡飛行。
00:17
Current commercial flights are inconvenient,
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目前的商業航班不方便、
00:19
noisy, expensive and use ancient plane designs
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很吵、價格昂貴,而且使用的是
從 1950 年代後就幾乎 沒有改變過的古老機型。
00:22
that have hardly changed from the 1950s.
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00:25
It also represents my biggest personal impact on the environment,
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商業航班也代表了 個人對環境的最大影響,
00:28
just as it does for many of us who fly multiple times a year.
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像我和其他很多 一年飛行多次的人這樣。
00:32
Aviation will continue to face fierce headwinds globally
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全球航空業受到的激烈衝擊
00:36
even after the pandemic subsides,
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將持續到疫情趨緩之後,
00:38
because flying is becoming the symbol of a polluting lifestyle.
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因為搭飛機旅遊的生活 正成為汙染環境的象徵。
00:42
Pressure is growing to decarbonize planes or even cease flying altogether.
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要求飛機去碳化 甚至停止飛行的呼聲越來越大。
00:47
But the great news is
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但好消息是,
00:48
that a change which will reroute our industry's flight path
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有一個能夠幫助我們產業 脫離困境的變革
00:52
into fresh tailwinds
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已經開始並加速發展了。
00:53
has already begun and is gathering speed.
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00:56
This change is the third revolution in aviation -- electrification,
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這個轉變是航空業的第三次革命:
電氣化──此刻正在進行。
01:00
and it is happening right now.
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01:02
Like the previous piston and jet revolutions,
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像之前的活塞和噴射機革命一樣,
01:05
going electric will dramatically transform the way we fly.
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電氣化將會大大地 改變我們飛行的方式。
01:08
Electrification promises to make flying accessible to more people globally
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電氣化有望讓世界上更多人 從更多機場乘坐飛機,
01:13
from more airports
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01:14
while also making planes cleaner, quieter and more affordable.
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同時讓飛機更環保、安靜, 價格更合理。
01:18
The current dominant narrative is that we need to buy offsets
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目前主流的想法是
在等待未來神奇清潔燃料 出現的同時,購買碳額度,
01:21
while waiting for some miracle future clean fuel
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01:24
and meanwhile keep cramming people into tubes at increasingly congested hubs.
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並持續將人們送往 已經逐漸無法負荷的高空中。
01:29
That fails to reckon with the rapid progress
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但是這沒有考慮到電氣技術
01:32
in electric technology
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已經在幾乎所有其他交通工具中
01:34
across nearly all other forms of transportation.
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快速地發展了。
01:37
So my answer in 2016 was to create a company called Ampaire
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所以為了解決這個問題,
我在 2016 年成立了Ampaire,
01:41
and develop an electric aircraft capable of flying real routes for real airlines.
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開發可以為真正的航空公司 飛行真正的航線的電動飛機。
而我們用 2019 年首飛的 電動 EEL 做到了。
01:47
And we have done so with this plane, the Electric EEL,
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01:50
which first flew in 2019.
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01:53
In 2020, our second generation of this plane
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在 2020 年,我們的第二代飛機,
01:56
flew with an airline partner in Hawaii
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與一家夏威夷航空公司合作夥伴
01:58
demoing daily flight operations on one of their routes, a world first.
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展示他們的一條每日航線,
這是前所未有的。
02:03
Meanwhile, we're hard at work on the third generation of the EEL,
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同時,我們正努力開發第三代 EEL,
02:06
as well as scaling up to a much larger 19-passenger aircraft
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並在 NASA 的協助下,
擴大成一架 19 人座、 大一點的飛機。
02:10
with the help of NASA.
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02:12
Now, these aren't yet fully electric planes.
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這些目前還不是全電動化的飛機,
02:14
They're hybrids.
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是混合動力的。
02:15
And that's actually my point today
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這其實是我今天想講的重點,
02:17
and why the current dominant narrative misses the mark.
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以及為何目前的主流想法沒抓到重點。
02:20
Electrification does not only mean pure battery electric.
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電氣化不單指用電池發電而已。
02:24
That's just not possible yet,
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那在客機、貨機上仍不可行,
02:26
when you need to carry passengers or cargo,
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02:28
except for small trainer aircraft.
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小型教練機除外。
02:31
Instead, our industry must start saving massive amounts of fuel and emissions
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取而代之,我們的行業必須透過 讓整個航空生態系統電氣化
02:36
by electrifying the entire aviation ecosystem.
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來大量地節省燃料和減少廢氣排放。
02:40
Electrifying aviation right now
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現在的航空電氣化
02:42
means solar panels and battery backup systems at airports,
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指的是在機場的太陽能 和備用電池系統,
02:46
plugging planes into gate power instead of burning fuel,
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將飛機插入閘極電源 而不是燃燒燃料,
02:49
electric taxi to the runway
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使用電動滑行系統,
02:52
as well as electric tugs and ground equipment.
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以及電動牽引車和地勤設備。
02:55
For flight itself, electrification means starting with small aircraft
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至於飛行本身,電氣化 先從小型飛機開始,
02:59
and for planes of meaningful commercial size,
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而對於具有商業規模、 酬載量和航程的飛機,
03:02
payload and range starting hybrid.
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則是從混合動力開始。
03:05
Although hybrid isn't the ultimate goal,
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雖然混合動力不是最終的目標,
03:08
it is critical to start right now
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但比起盲目地等待未來的電池或燃料,
03:10
rather than waiting for future batteries or future fuels.
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現在開始採用混合動力技術非常重要。
03:14
Think of cars where we had a small Prius decades before a large Tesla semitruck.
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如同在特斯拉推出 電動大卡車幾十年之前的
小型 Prius 混合動力車,
03:19
Small planes like Ampaires
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像 Ampaires 的小型飛機
03:21
are the proving grounds for electric technology,
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會是電氣技術的試驗品。
03:23
be it lighter high voltage cables,
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無論是輕一點的高壓電纜、
03:26
better compact motors or advanced power electronics
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好一點的微型馬達, 或更先進的電力設備,
03:29
that are key to unlocking higher efficiency
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都將成為提高各尺寸飛機效能的關鍵。
03:32
in aircraft of all sizes.
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03:35
Electrification will permeate everything,
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電氣化將會滲透一切,
03:38
from jumbo jets becoming more electric aircraft
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從將大型噴射機變得更加電動化,
03:41
to repowering island hopper prop planes.
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到改造跳島螺旋槳飛機的動力裝置。
03:43
As batteries and electronics improve,
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隨著電池和電子設備的進步,
03:46
larger and larger aircraft will get more and more electric over time.
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越來越大的飛機 可以獲得越來越多電力。
03:50
This is not a pipe dream
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這不是白日夢,
03:52
but represents iteration along a practical,
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而是代表著通往一條實際、具成本效益
03:55
cost effective and achievable route into the future.
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且可實現的未來之路的迭代。
已經有其他也正在 努力地將航空業的未來
03:59
Ampaire is being joined by other companies
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04:01
that are also striving to transform aviation to a cleaner future.
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變得更環保的公司加入 Ampaire。
04:06
It's a revolution in the making,
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這是一場正在醞釀中的革命:
04:08
building on technologies derived from electric ground transport,
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以陸地交通電氣化的技術為基礎,
04:11
inventing new solutions and taking them higher and higher into the stratosphere.
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發明新的解決方案 並將它們帶到更高的平流層。
04:16
Thank you.
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謝謝。
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