The Disappearing Computer — and a World Where You Can Take AI Everywhere | Imran Chaudhri | TED

1,907,877 views ・ 2023-05-09

TED


请双击下面的英文字幕来播放视频。

翻译人员: Yip Yan Yeung 校对人员: Iris Li
00:04
I spent 22 incredible years at Apple,
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我在苹果公司度过了 无与伦比的 22 年,
00:09
helping to design experiences and devices
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参与设计体验和设备,
00:13
ranging from the Mac
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包括 Mac (苹果电脑)、
00:15
to the iPhone to the Apple Watch.
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iPhone(苹果手机)、 Apple Watch(苹果手表)。
00:18
And as the power of compute increased,
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随着算力的提高,
00:21
the size of our computers or our devices decreased.
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我们的计算机或设备的 尺寸也就减小了。
00:27
The desktop paved the way for extraordinary interconnectedness,
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台式机为非凡的互联体验 开辟了道路,
00:32
but it was stuck to your desk.
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但它和你的桌面绑定了。
00:35
The laptop provided portability,
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笔记本电脑有着便携性,
00:39
but you still had to be sitting down to use it.
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但是你还是得坐下才能使用。
00:43
And the smartphone evolved us into the modern, connected humans we are,
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智能手机让我们成为了 如今现代、互联的人类,
00:49
providing millions the ability to access the internet from our pockets.
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让成千上万的人 可以从口袋里上网。
00:55
And the smart watch was a window to that phone.
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智能手表是联通手机的窗口。
00:59
A companion device with a whole host of health insights,
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它作为配套设备, 承载了全套健康信息,
01:05
all shrunk down to your wrist.
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浓缩在你的手腕上。
01:07
But what comes next?
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接下来会是什么?
01:11
Some believe AR/VR glasses like these are the answer,
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有人认为答案是 像这样的 AR、VR 眼镜,
01:16
but they merely move the screens we already have in our lives today
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但它们只是把我们生活中 已经有的屏幕
01:20
to being just millimeters away from our eyeballs.
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挪到了眼球前几毫米的位置。
01:24
A further barrier between you and the world.
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它还是你和世界之间的壁垒。
01:29
And the future is not on your face.
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未来不会在你的脸上。
01:33
In fact, in 2017,
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其实,2017 年,
01:35
the legendary tech journalist Walt Mossberg wrote in his final column
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传奇科技记者莫博士(Walt Mossberg) 在他最后一期专栏里写道,
01:39
that he felt that soon, one day, technology would become invisible.
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他认为很快,有朝一日, 科技会是无形的。
01:46
And that the computer would disappear.
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计算机会消失。
01:50
And we agree.
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我们同意。
01:51
(Ringing)
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(铃声)
01:54
Sorry.
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不好意思。
01:55
This is my wife.
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是我太太打来的。
01:58
I'm going to have to get this.
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我得接一下。
01:59
Hello?
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喂?
贝瑟尼·邦吉奥诺(Bethany Bongiorno):嘿,亲爱的。
02:01
Bethany Bongiorno: Hey, babe.
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02:02
IC: Hey, Bethany.
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伊姆兰·乔德里(Imran Chaudhri): 嘿,贝瑟尼。怎么样?
02:03
How's it going?
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02:05
BB: Good. Are you at TED?
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BB: 挺好的。你在 TED 上吗?
02:07
IC: Yeah, I'm on the red circle right now, actually.
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IC: 嗯,我现在正站在红圈里。
02:10
Bethany: Oh, great, good luck.
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贝瑟尼:哦,好的,祝你好运。
02:11
And don't forget to mention me.
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别忘了提一提我。
02:13
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
02:15
IC: I won't, babe, thank you.
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IC: 我不会忘的,亲爱的,谢谢。
02:18
Bethany: Love you.
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贝瑟尼:爱你。
02:19
IC: Love you, too. Bye.
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IC: 我也爱你。拜拜。
02:22
It's going to get different in a minute.
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一转头就不一样了。
02:24
(Applause)
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(掌声)
02:27
So my wife, Bethany, and our entire company, Humane,
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我的太太贝瑟尼 和我们整个公司 Humane
02:31
have been working to answer the question of what comes next.
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一直在试图回答 接下来会是什么的问题。
02:36
And you may ask yourself, why?
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你可能会自言自语:为什么呢?
02:39
Why would anybody do this?
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怎么会有人在想这个?
02:42
It's because we love building technology
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这是因为我们热爱打造
02:44
that genuinely makes people's lives better.
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能真正改善人们生活的技术。
02:48
And we believe that artificial intelligence or AI
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我们相信,人工智能(AI)
02:53
would be the driving force behind the next leap in device design.
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会促成设备设计的下一次飞跃。
02:59
And there is an incredible amount of stuff that's happening in this space.
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在这个领域中, 正发生着令人眼花缭乱的事。
03:04
Huge, huge advancements.
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很大、很大的进步。
03:07
And even Bill Gates has said of OpenAI's GPT
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连比尔·盖茨都说 OpenAI 的 GPT
03:12
that it's only the second most revolutionary technology demonstration
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是他有生之年看到过的
03:17
that he's seen in his entire lifetime.
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第二具有革命性的技术呈现。
03:20
But what do we do with all these incredible developments,
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但是有了这些惊人的突破, 我们该怎么做呢?
03:23
and how do we actually harness these to genuinely make our life better?
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我们该如何利用它们 真正地让我们的生活更美好呢?
03:29
If we get this right,
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如果我们走对了,
03:31
AI will unlock a world of possibility for all of us.
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AI 会为我们所有人 打开一扇新世界的大门。
03:36
And today I want to share with you
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今天,我想与大家分享
03:39
what we think is a solution to that end.
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为此我们心目中的最佳方案。
03:44
And it's the first time we're doing so openly.
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这是我们第一次公开分享。
03:47
It's a new kind of wearable device
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这是一款新型的可穿戴设备
03:51
and platform that's built entirely from the ground up
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和平台,从一开始 就完全为人工智能打造。
03:55
for artificial intelligence.
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03:57
And is completely standalone.
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也是完全独立的产品。
03:59
You don't need a smartphone or any other device to pair with it.
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你不需要一台智能手机 或者其他设备与其配对。
04:05
In fact, I'm wearing one right now.
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其实我现在就戴着一台。
04:09
And it interacts with the world the way you interact with the world.
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它以你与世界互动的方式 与世界互动。
04:13
Hearing what you hear, seeing what you see.
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听你所听,见你所见。
04:18
While being privacy-first and safe
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与此同时,它以隐私,安全为先,
04:22
and completely fading into the background of your life.
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并能完全融入你生活的背景中。
04:27
We like to say that the experience is screenless, seamless
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我们可以说体验是 无屏的、无缝的、
04:31
and sensing,
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感知的,
04:33
allowing you to access the power of compute
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让你可以使用算力,
04:36
while remaining present in your surroundings,
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又保证了你在周围环境中的存在感,
04:40
fixing a balance that's felt out of place for some time now.
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弥补了如今有时会出现的违和感。
04:46
And I can't wait to share more details about what we've built,
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我迫不及待想要分享 我们做的产品的更多细节,
04:51
and I will in the next few months.
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会在接下来几个月内与大家分享。
04:53
But today I want to talk to you about what it unlocks.
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但今天我想谈论的是 这个产品带来的新可能。
04:56
And what it means to be able to take AI with you everywhere.
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“可以随身携带 AI” 到底是什么意思。
05:01
And what happens when technology increasingly disappears.
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当越来越多的科技消失的时候, 会发生什么。
05:06
Technology becoming invisible affords us new opportunities
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无形的科技给我们带来了
05:11
of how we interact with compute.
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与计算机技术互动的新方式。
05:14
We've become so accustomed to tapping on an app
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我们已经很习惯点击应用程序,
05:18
or moving a cursor with a mouse
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或者用鼠标移动光标,
05:21
that it feels second nature.
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都是习以为常的事了。
05:24
But that's by design.
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但是这是蓄意设计的。
05:26
When I was working on the iPhone,
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我在参与 iPhone 相关的工作时,
05:28
I used to test interactions like slide-to-unlock
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曾和我那还是个宝宝的女儿
测试过滑动解锁的交互方式。
05:32
with my infant daughter.
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05:34
She was the best possible focus group.
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她是最合适的焦点小组人选了。
05:38
She’s 16 now,
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现在,她已经 16 岁了,
05:39
and she's got a lot more ideas than she did back then.
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比起当时,她有了更多的想法。
05:44
This also, by the way, is the only non-AI generated image
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顺带一提,这是我今天要展示的
05:48
that you'll see from me today.
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唯一一张不由 AI 生成的图像。
05:49
And as I look at it now,
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我现在看着它,
05:52
I see more than ever why a future driven by AI
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我从未这么强烈地认为 为什么由 AI 驱动的未来
05:57
is far better than a future that would involve more screens.
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要比充斥着越来越多 屏幕的未来要好得多。
06:03
Like this.
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如图所示。
06:05
He's cute, though.
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虽然他还挺可爱的。
06:08
But for the human-technology relationship to actually evolve beyond screens,
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但如果人类和科技之间的关系 真的要发展到屏幕之外了,
06:13
we need something radically different.
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我们就需要一些截然不同的东西。
06:17
Let me show you.
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我来给大家展示一下。
06:21
Where can I find a gift for my wife before I have to leave tomorrow?
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我在明天出发之前 应该上哪儿给我太太买个礼物?
06:27
(Voice) Vancouver's Granville Island is a lively shopping district.
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(语音)温哥华格兰维尔岛 是个热闹的购物区。
06:32
IC: That's an incredibly simple response for a very complex query.
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IC: 这可是针对这个非常复杂的询问 给出的非常简单的回答。
06:37
How often do we find ourselves in a new city,
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我们有多少次在一个陌生的城市,
06:41
wrestling with our phones,
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捣鼓自己的手机,
06:44
trying not to bump into people,
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想着不要撞到别人,
06:46
trying to figure out where we're going and where we're supposed to be?
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想要找到自己该去哪里, 该在哪里?
06:50
It's even harder when we don't speak the language, right?
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如果我们还不会讲当地语言 就更困难了,对吧?
06:54
Let me show you something.
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我来给大家展示一下。
06:56
Invisible devices should feel so natural to use
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“你可以非常自然地使用隐形设备,
07:00
that you almost forget about their existence.
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甚至会遗忘它们的存在。”
07:06
(Voice speaking in French)
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(说法语的语音)
07:15
IC: You'll note that's me and my voice, speaking fluent French,
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IC: 你能听出这就是我和我的声音, 说着流利的法语,
07:21
using an AI speech model that's part of my own AI.
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通过我个人 AI 的一部分的 AI 语音模型生成。
07:26
This is not a deepfake.
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这不是深度伪造(deepfake)。
07:29
In fact, it's deeply profound.
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而是意义深远。
07:32
This is my AI giving me the ability to speak any language
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这是我的 AI 让我说出各种语言,
07:37
and you having a chance to hear me speak that language
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你能听见我带着自己的情绪和声音
07:42
in my own emotion and my own voice.
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说出那种语言。
07:48
Thank you.
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谢谢。
07:49
(Applause)
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(掌声)
07:54
This is moving away from the experiments that make us all concerned
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这与那些让我们对计算机技术的 未来走向担忧的实验不一样。
07:57
about the direction compute is going in.
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08:00
But it's instead using technology
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它利用科技
08:03
to create real, responsible compute products
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创造真实存在、负责任的计算产品,
08:07
that are in service to us and built on trust.
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为我们所用且建立在信任之上。
08:13
This is good AI in action.
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这是实实在在的好 AI。
08:16
And we spent thousands of hours
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我们花了上万个小时
08:18
reimagining and redesigning new types of compute interactions,
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重新想象、重新设计 新型的计算交互方式,
08:23
ranging from complex voice commands to intricate hand gestures,
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从复杂的语音控制到精细的手势,
08:29
all in service of trying to find more natural ways to interact with compute.
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都是为了寻找与计算机技术 更自然的互动方式。
08:35
Why fumble for your phone when you can just hold an object
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如果你可以拿着一件物品, 问与它相关的问题,
干嘛还要在你的手机上乱搜一通呢?
08:40
and ask questions about it?
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08:42
The result almost feels like the entire world becomes your operating system.
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最终,你会感觉整个世界 都变成了你的操作系统。
08:48
And when compute disappears,
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计算机消失的时候,
08:50
it allows us to get back to what really matters:
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就能让我们回到真正重要的事上:
08:53
a new ability to be present.
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“存在”的新形式。
08:59
Like riding a bicycle in the park and just ripping through emails
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在公园里骑自行车的同时 也能刷邮件,
09:05
or going to a concert without having to hold up your phone to capture it.
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在听音乐会的时候 不需要举起手机就能拍照。
09:13
Or experiencing your toddler's first steps
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回味你宝宝学会走路的那一瞬间,
09:16
without a screen between you and your child.
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但没有一块屏幕横在你和宝宝之间。
09:20
In the future,
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未来,
09:21
technology will be both ambient and contextual.
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科技会融入环境,融入背景。
09:26
And this means harnessing AI to really understand you
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也就是说,利用 AI 真正了解你
09:30
and your surroundings
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和你的周围环境,
09:32
in order to achieve the best results.
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达到最好的结果。
09:36
Imagine this.
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想象一下。
09:38
You've been in meetings all day
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你开了一整天的会,
09:41
and you just want a summary of what you've missed.
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你只想要一份你今天 错过的所有事项的总结。
09:46
Catch me up.
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让我赶上进度。
09:49
(Voice) Patrick is coming to tomorrow's design meeting.
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(语音)帕特里克会出席 明天的设计会议。
09:52
Bethany wants to move next week's dinner,
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贝瑟尼想把下周的晚餐改期,
09:54
and Oliver is asking about soccer this weekend.
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奥利弗问周末能不能去踢足球。
09:57
IC: These are emails, calendar invites and messages,
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IC: 这些都是值得关注的邮件、 日程邀请和消息。
10:01
all surfaced up to the top.
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10:04
You can use these to help guide your decision making,
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你可以通过这些信息 帮你做出决定,
10:08
manage your workload
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调节工作量、
10:09
and sculpt tailored responses in your own voice.
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生成用你自己的声音 说出的定制化回应。
10:14
And in the context of your life.
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与你的生活融为一体。
10:17
And we gain this context through machine learning.
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我们通过机器学习 获取这些背景信息。
10:21
The more you use our device powered by AI,
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你越多地使用 我们由 AI 驱动的设备,
10:24
the more we can help you in all times of need.
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我们就越可以随时随地为你提供帮助。
10:29
Your AI effectively becomes an ever-evolving,
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你的 AI 真的 成为了一种逐渐进化、
10:33
personalized form of memory.
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个性化的记忆形式。
10:36
And we think that's amazing.
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我们觉得这太神奇了。
10:39
In fact, let's say you're health conscious
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假设你很关注健康情况,
10:43
or you have certain types of food considerations.
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或者你有某些饮食上的注意事项。
10:46
Let me just show you.
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我来展示一下。
10:48
Picked up one of these chocolates.
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拿起一块巧克力。
10:50
Used to eat a ton of these when I was a kid.
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我小时候吃了无数巧克力。
10:54
Can I eat this?
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我能吃这个吗?
10:59
(Voice) A milky bar contains cocoa butter.
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(语音)牛奶巧克力里有可可脂。
11:01
Given your intolerance, you may want to avoid it.
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根据你的不耐受性, 你可能不该吃这个。
11:05
IC: So I can’t eat these anymore.
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IC: 所以我再也不能吃这些了。
11:08
(Applause)
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(掌声)
11:13
But what's cool is my AI knows what's best for me.
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厉害之处就是我的 AI 知道什么对我是最好的。
11:16
But I'm in total control.
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但我说了算。
11:21
I'm going to eat it anyway.
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我还是要吃它。
11:23
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
11:24
(Voice) Enjoy it.
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(语音)吃吧。
11:25
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
11:31
IC: Your AI figures out exactly what you need.
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IC: 你的 AI 会搞明白 你到底需要什么。
11:35
And by the way, I love that there's no judgment.
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顺带提一句, 我喜欢没人评头论足。
11:38
I think it's amazing to be able to live freely.
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自由地活着太好了。
11:43
Your AI figures out what you need at the speed of thought.
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你的 AI 在一念之间 就能搞清楚你需要什么。
11:48
A sense that will ever be evolving as technology improves too.
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一种随着科技的进步, 也会进化的感觉。
11:54
And these examples are just the start.
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这些例子只是个开始。
11:57
As AI advances,
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随着 AI 的发展,
11:59
we will see how it will transform nearly every aspect of our lives.
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我们会看到它如何改变 我们生活中的几乎方方面面。
12:04
In ways that will seem unimaginable right now.
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以我们现在难以想象的方式。
12:08
In fact, Sam Altman from OpenAI feels the way we do.
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OpenAI 的山姆·阿尔特曼 (Sam Altman)和我们有一样的感觉。
12:13
And that AI is grossly underestimated.
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AI 被远远低估了。
12:18
And I'll add, so long as we get it right.
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但我想补充一句, 我们还是可以做出对的选择。
12:22
We really believe
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我们真的相信
12:23
that we're only beginning to scratch the surface of what's possible.
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我们只看到了可能性的冰山一角。
12:27
Embed advancements of AI, like
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将 AI 的进步嵌入
12:31
in our device that's actually built to disappear
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为了消失而存在的设备中,
12:34
and allow experiences to come forward,
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让体验更近一步,
12:37
and we open up entirely new possible ways of how you interact with technology
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我们就开创了你与科技交互、
12:43
and how you interact with the world around you.
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你与周围世界交互的全新方式。
12:47
More humane, intuitive interactions
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更人性化、更直观的互动,
12:50
that are screenless, seamless and sensing.
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无屏的、无缝的、感知的。
12:55
This is so much more than devices just getting smaller or more powerful.
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这比设备越来越小、越来越强 要有意义得多。
13:01
This is the possibility of reimagining the human-technology relationship
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这给了我们新的可能, 重新思考我们所知的
人与科技之间的关系。
13:07
as we know it.
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13:09
And that's what's so exciting.
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这就是令人兴奋之处。
13:12
It's a huge challenge, no doubt.
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这当然是个巨大的挑战。
13:16
But it's the world that we want to live in.
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但这就是我们想身处其中的世界。
13:20
One where technology not only helps you get back into the world
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在这个世界里, 科技不仅让你能重回世界,
13:26
but enhances our ability to do so.
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还能增强我们这样的能力。
13:29
It's within reach.
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触手可及。
13:31
And you saw some of it today.
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你今天已经看到了其中一瞥。
13:35
The future will not be held in your hand,
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未来不会在你手中,
13:38
and it won't be on your face either.
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不会在你脸上。
13:41
The future of technology might almost be invisible.
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科技的未来几乎会是隐形的。
13:47
Thank you.
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谢谢。
13:48
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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