Al Gore: This Is the Moment to Take On the Climate Crisis | TED

翻译人员: Rocky Stone 校对人员: Thomas Tam

Al Gore: Thank you very much.

阿尔·戈尔：非常感谢！

Whitney Pennington Rodgers: Hi, Al. Thank you so much for being here.

惠特尼·彭宁顿·罗杰斯：阿尔你好！ 非常感谢你来这里。

Just as I mentioned,

我前面提到，

you gave a rousing talk at Climate Countdown last fall

去年秋，你在气候倒计时会议 发表了振奋人心的演讲，

about all of the things that we need to do

讲述了为阻止气候变化

to transform climate change and to turn things around here.

我们需要做的各种工作， 并扭转局势。

What would you say is the state of play with climate action now, six months later?

如今，六个月后，关于气候的行动， 你有什么要讲的吗？

AG: Well, thanks in part to many of the people

阿尔：嗯，部分归功于

that are part of the TED community,

许多TED社区成员的努力，

we've seen tremendous progress in the development of affordable,

我们已经取得了巨大进展， 提供了经济实惠的

cheap, solar electricity, wind electricity,

太阳能发电、风力发电、

electric vehicles, batteries,

电动车、电池，

regenerative agriculture, green hydrogen is coming along,

再生农业、绿色氢气也进展顺利，

sustainable forestry.

还有可持续林业。

But unfortunately,

但不幸的是，

the crisis is getting much worse,

我们面临的危机越来越严重，

much faster than predicted.

恶化的速度超过预期。

And it is getting worse at a rate faster

情况恶化的速度，

than the rate at which we're deploying these solutions.

比我们部署解决方案的速度更快。

We have everything we need,

保存了足够的政治意愿，

save sufficient political will.

我们拥有所需的一切。

It's been that way for a while.

这种情况已经有一段时间了。

And just since the Glasgow conference,

自格拉斯哥会议以来，

we have seen a lot of backsliding

情况出现大幅倒退，

and we've seen financial institutions,

我们看到，金融机构、

banks and large investors,

银行和大型投资者

pumping more and more and more money into more and more fossil fuels.

加大了投资力度， 以生产越来越多的化石燃料。

It is quite literally insane.

这简直是疯了。

Today, we will put another 162 million tonnes

如今，我们将排放另外 1.62 亿吨

into the thin shell of atmosphere surrounding the planet.

温室气体到地球上薄薄的大气层中。

And the accumulated amount now traps as much extra heat

现在，吸收累积的热量，

as would be released by 600,000 Hiroshima-class atomic bombs

相当于每 24 小时 爆炸 60 万颗广岛级原子弹

exploding every 24 hours.

释放的热量一样。

Just, you know, 95 miles northeast of here

只是，本地东北95英里的

in Lytton, British Columbia,

英属哥伦比亚利顿镇，

it reached 121.3 degrees less than a year ago.

那里的温度未到一年就 达到121.3华氏度。

49.6 Celsius.

也就是49.6摄氏度。

More than 80 all-time high temperature records

在英属哥伦比亚，仅在一年内，

were broken here in British Columbia just in less than a year ago.

就有超过80项高温记录被打破。

One day later, by the way, the entire town burned up.

顺便说一下，一天后， 整个镇都“烤焦”了。

Yesterday, massive death in the Philippines

昨天，气候危机引发的另一场超级风暴

from another superstorm fueled by the climate crisis.

在菲律宾造成大量伤亡。

Chile just yesterday declared a drought emergency.

昨天，智利宣布进入干旱紧急状态。

But we are seeing the development of the solutions.

但是，我们看到， 人们正在制定解决方案。

Unfortunately, the financial interest,

遗憾的是，因为经济利益，

the fossil fuel companies,

化石燃料公司

have captured the policy-making process in key countries

已控制了主要国家的政策制定过程，

and have intentionally zombified as many people as they can

并通过传播已知的虚假消息，

around the world

有意使全世界

with false messaging that they knew was false.

尽可能多的人成为他們的傀儡。

They knew it,

他们知道，

it's been proven to a fare-thee-well.

这证明是一种“完美状态”。

And as a consequence,

因此，

our political decision-making process in key countries

我们在主要国家的政策制定过程

is locked, paralyzed.

已被控制，处于瘫痪状态。

So the political will necessary to break through this

那么，需要打破这种困局的政治意愿

has to be expressed in a much more effective way.

必须以更有效的方式來表达。

We are nearing a political event horizon.

我们正接近政治事件的临界点。

And in the United States, JP Morgan Chase, Citi, Wells Fargo ...

在美国，摩根大通银行、 花旗银行、富国银行等......

Others, Bank of America, Royal Bank of Canada here ...

其他如美国银行、 这里的加拿大皇家银行......

Several banks in Canada joined the Net-Zero Banking Alliance,

加拿大的几家银行都加入了 净零碳排放银行业联盟，

and then last year they doubled the amount of money

在去年，他们却将投资加倍

pumped into the tar sands,

以生产焦油砂，

which is the dirtiest form of fossil fuels.

这是污染最严重的化石燃料。

You know, when junkies

如果吸毒者再也不能使用手臂

can't use the veins in their arms and legs anymore,

或腿上的静脉，他们会

they shoot between their toes.

在脚趾之间注射。

That's what the tar sands is like.

焦油砂就与那种情况类似。

So I want to say

因此，我想说的是，

that this is a moment when we have to rise to this occasion.

现在，我们必须行动起来， 应对这种情况。

Abraham Lincoln said the occasion is piled with difficulty,

亚伯拉罕.林肯讲过：情况艰难，

piled high with difficulty,

形势困难重重，

and we have to rise with the occasion.

我们必须随机应变。

As our case is new, we must think anew and act anew.

面对新情况，我们必须 重新思考并重新采取行动。

We have to find ways to solve the democracy crisis

我们必须想办法解决民主危机，

in order to solve the climate crisis.

进而解决气候危机。

(Applause)

（掌声）

WPR: Well, you know, I think with the war in Ukraine,

惠特尼：大家知道， 由于乌克兰的战争，

we're now seeing the question of energy security being brought center-stage.

我们看到，能源安全问题 现在被提到了核心位置。

And I'm curious what you think that will do in terms of accelerating

我很好奇，关于能源过渡 是加速还是减缓，

or decelerating the energy transition?

你有什么看法？

AG: Yeah, well, this should be a moment of global epiphany.

阿尔：是，现在应该成为 全球顿悟时刻。

This is a fossil fuel war, as many have said.

如许多人所说， 这是一场化石燃料战争。

And the timidity of some European countries, understandably,

由于十分依赖俄罗斯的石油和天然气，

because they are so dependent on Russian gas and oil,

一些欧洲国家犹豫不决，这可以理解的，

is another consequence of our dependence.

但这也是我们对化石燃料 过分依赖的另一个后果。

And then we see this horrible scene

然后，我们看到这种可怕的情景：

where the United States goes begging other petrostates,

美国开始恳求其他石油国家，

like Saudi Arabia and Venezuela and Iran,

像沙特阿拉伯、委内瑞拉和伊朗，

to pump up more and more fossil fuels.

请求他们生产越来越多的化石燃料。

We should see this as a threat to national security and global security.

我们应将这看作是 对国家安全和全球安全的威胁。

It is a threat to disadvantaged communities.

这是贫困社区所面临的威胁。

I mean, the coal pollution from burning fossil fuels

我要说的是， 燃烧化石燃料带来的燃煤污染

kills nine million people every year.

每年会导致900万人死亡。

A large multiple of the number of people killed by COVID

每年死于新冠病毒的人数

are killed annually by the particulate pollution

造成的死亡人数，很大一部分

that comes from fossil fuels.

是来自化石燃料的颗粒物污染。

We can save money,

我们可以节省资金，

we can fight inflation, by the way.

可以抗击通货膨胀。

The sustainability revolution,

可持续革命，

including renewable energy, is massively deflationary.

包括可再生能源， 会带来大规模的通货紧缩。

The cost continues to go down.

成本会继续下降。

There are multiple reasons why we should see this

由于多方面的原因，我们应将这看作

as a moment of decision

是一个决定性时刻，

to make a big change and get off of fossil fuels.

以便做出巨大改变，摆脱化石燃料。

We can't keep pumping more and more money in pursuit of short term profit

我们不能继续投入 更多资金去追求短期利益，

in activities that are destroying the future of humanity.

而去摧毁人类的未来。

This is not a time for moral cowardice.

我们不能再在道德上表现怯懦。

This is not a time for surrender

我们不能屈服，

and reckless indifference to the fate of humanity.

更不能不计后果地漠视人类的命运。

WPR: I think in thinking about this being a time for change,

惠特尼：我想，我们现在 应考虑做出改变。

the IPCC recently put out a report

IPCC最近发表了一份报告，

where they said that if we do want to come around the bend,

其中指出，如果我们 确实希望扭转局势，

that we have until 2025 to see CO2 levels peak.

CO2水平将在 2025年才达到峰值。

I mean, that's just three years from now.

离开现在只三年时间。

How realistic do you think that actually?

你认为那种情况现实吗？

AG: Well, actually, what they said,

阿尔：实际上，他们是说，

it needs to peak between 2020 and no later than 2025, yes.

那需要在 2020 年到 2025 年前达到峰值，是的。

First, let me share some good news from that dire IPCC report.

首先，我来分享那份可怕的 IPCC报告中的一些好消息。

They also said if we reach net-zero, true net-zero,

他们还说，如果我们达到净零碳排放， 真正的净零碳排放，

then the temperatures on our planet will stop going up

那么，地球的温度将停止上升，

with a lag of as little as three to five years.

但时间会略微滞后三到五年。

And if we stay at net-zero,

如果我们保持净零碳排放，

half of the human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere

大气层中人类生成的一半CO2

will fall out of the atmosphere in as little as 25 to 30 years.

将只要25到30年 就可以从大气层中消失。

We have the technologies, we have the solutions,

我们拥有各种技术，各种解决方案，

we have the ability to stop this progressive destruction

我们有能力阻止这种对人类未来的

of the future of humanity and start the long healing process.

日趋严重的破坏， 并开始长时间的恢复过程。

But we have to break through the capture of our political systems.

但是，我们必须解除 政治体制的瘫痪状态。

They say boycotts don't work.

他们说抵制没有作用。

Should we boycott all of these banks and all of these financial institutions?

我们应该抵制所有 这些银行和金融机构吗？

(Applause)

（掌声）

You know, scientists, climate scientists,

科学家，气候科学家，

some of them announced last week and started doing this,

他们中的一些人上周宣布开始这样做：

gluing themselves to the doors,

把他们自己粘在门上，

to the gates of these fossil fuels facilities.

粘在这些化石燃料机构的大门上。

If climate scientists have reached the conclusion

如果气候科学家得出结论，

that more facts and more data and more research is of absolutely no good

认为更多事实、数据 和研究都完全于事无补，

unless we, the people, can find the means

除非我们所有人能够想出办法，

to break through the imprisonment of our self-determination

针对只追求经济利益的大型污染机构，

on the part of large, massive polluters who are just looking at profits,

打破我们自主权的被控制状态；

then the scientists say they have to go into the streets.

然后，科学家表示， 他们不得不上街抗议。

So I'm sorry to get all hot and charged-up about this.

很抱歉，这件事让大家闹心了。

WPR: I think everyone appreciates it.

惠特尼：我想大家都表示赞赏。

(Applause and cheers)

（掌声和欢呼声）

AG: But yes, what the IPCC report --

阿尔：但确实， 如那份IPCC报告所说——

I mean, you know, it's an asymptotic curve

我是说，一条渐近曲线，

that gets closer and closer to absolute panic, OK?

越来越接近绝对恐慌，对吧？

And all the reports are very similar.

所有报告的内容都非常类似。

This is real.

情况确实如此。

You know, Voltaire once said, if you can convince people of absurdities,

伏尔泰曾讲过， 如果你让人们相信谬论，

you can convince them to commit atrocities.

你就可以让他们实施暴行。

We are seeing that in Ukraine today.

现在乌克兰就是这样。

We are seeing that on a global basis

在全球范围内，我们都看到了，

with this reckless indifference to the future of humanity.

这种对人类未来的无情漠视。

What will we say to the next generations

如果我们本可以做出改变却没有行动，

when they look back and see, you had the chance to do this?

当下一代回顾历史时， 我们该向他们说些什么呢？

We have the means.

我们有办法做到。

The International Energy Agency,

国际能源署表示，

says that in order to cut emissions by 50 percent in 2030,

作为在2030年 将排放量减少50%，

we have all of the technologies we need,

我们已有了所需的各种技术，

fully developed, with deployment plans that have been proven to work.

完全成熟，而且部署的计划 也证实有效。

For the next 50 percent between 2030 and 2050,

至于在2030-2050年间 减少另外50%的排放量，

all of the technologies are in various stages of development.

所有技术都处在不同的开发阶段。

They can be ready if we decide to develop them quickly enough,

只要我们决定足够快速地进行开发， 它们就可以预备好。

they will be ready.

一齐将会就绪

We have to stop destroying our future.

我们必须停止摧毁我们的未来。

It sounds so simple,

这听起来很简单，

but we have to break through this paralysis.

但我们必须打破这种瘫痪状态。

WPR: Well, we have to break through this paralysis.

惠特尼：我们 必须打破瘫痪的状态。

先生与女士，阿尔·戈尔。

Ladies and gentlemen, Al Gore.

AG: I have one other thing to say, and I've said this before.

阿尔：我还要讲另一件事， 我之前也提到过这一点。

Do not give up hope.

不要放弃希望。

And remember always,

请务必记住，

that political will is itself a renewable resource.

政治意愿本身也是一种可再生资源。

Thank you.

谢谢大家！

WPR: Thank you so much, Al.

惠特尼：阿尔，非常感谢！

(Applause and cheers)

（掌声和欢呼声）