The case for stubborn optimism on climate | Christiana Figueres

47,345 views ・ 2020-10-29

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00:00
Transcriber: TED Translators Admin Reviewer: Rhonda Jacobs
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翻译人员: TED Translators Admin 校对人员: Yolanda Zhang
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Any reality we are given is not set in stone,
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我们面前的任何现实 都不是一成不变的,
00:16
it can be changed.
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而是可以被人为改变。
00:18
I come from Costa Rica,
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我来自哥斯达黎加,
00:19
a country known for our deep commitment to peace,
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一个以坚定不移的 致力于维护和平、
00:22
our high level of education
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高教育水平,
00:24
and our far-sighted stewardship of nature.
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并以长远的眼光管理自然环境 而闻名的国家。
00:27
But it wasn't always like that.
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但起初,情况远不是这样。
00:30
Way back in the '40s,
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早在 40 年代,
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my father, José Figueres Ferrer,
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我的父亲 何塞·菲格雷斯·费雷尔 ( José Figueres Ferrer)
00:34
was a young farmer, tilling the soil of these mountains,
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还是一个年轻的农夫, 在这些山上耕种土地,
00:39
and cultivating his vision of a country grounded in social justice
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并致力于建设 一个以社会正义为根基、
00:45
and guided by the rule of law.
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以法治为指导的国家。
00:47
His vision was tested, when in 1948,
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然而在 1948 年, 他的愿景面临着挑战:
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the government refused to accept the result of democratic elections
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政府拒绝接受民主选举的结果,
00:55
and brought in the military.
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还让军队介入其中。
00:57
My father could have been indifferent,
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我父亲本可以无动于衷,
01:00
but he chose to do what was necessary to restore democracy,
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但他选择了 采取必要的措施恢复民主,
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surviving the burning of his home and his farm.
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却险些因家里和农场 发生的大火而丧命。
01:10
From here, he launched a revolutionary army
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自此,他发动了一支革命军,
01:14
of a few courageous men and women,
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这支军队由一些勇敢的民众组成,
01:17
who against all odds, defeated the government forces.
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他们克服重重困难, 最终打败了政府军。
01:21
Then he disbanded his army,
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然后,他解散了自己的军队,
01:24
outlawed the national army,
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宣布国民军为非法,
01:27
and redirected the military budget
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并重新调整了军事预算,
01:30
to establish the basis of the unique country Costa Rica is today.
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为今日哥斯达黎加的独树一帜 奠定了基础。
01:35
From my father, I learned stubborn optimism,
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从父亲那里,我学到了 顽强的乐观主义精神,
01:40
the mindset that is necessary to transform the reality we're given
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这种心态是将我们所面对的现实
01:44
into the reality we want.
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转变为理想中现实的必要因素。
01:48
Today, at the global level,
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今天,在全球范围内,
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we face a rapidly accelerating climate emergency,
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我们正面临着 加速恶化的气候危机,
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daunting because we have procrastinated way too long.
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这难免令人望而生畏, 因为我们迟迟未能采取必要的行动。
01:59
We now have one last chance to truly change our course.
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目前,我们正面临着最后一次 真正改变未来轨迹的机会。
02:04
This is the decisive decade in the history of humankind.
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这将是人类历史上决定性的十年。
02:10
That may sound like an exaggeration, but it's not.
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这听起来可能有点夸张, 但形势就是如此严峻。
02:15
If we continue on the current path,
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如果我们继续沿着 目前的道路上走下去,
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we condemn our children and their descendants
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就将使我们的子孙后代
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to a world that is increasingly uninhabitable,
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生活在一个越来越不宜居,
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with exponentially growing levels of disease,
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疾病、饥荒和冲突
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famine, and conflict,
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呈指数级增长,
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and irreversible ecosystem failures.
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且生态系统遭到 不可逆转的摧毁的世界。
02:35
Conversely, if we cut our current greenhouse gas emissions in half
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相反,如果我们在未来的 10 年内
02:40
over the next 10 years,
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将目前的温室气体排放量减半,
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we open the door to an exciting world
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我们就将迎来 一个激动人心的世界——
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where cities are green, the air is clean,
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绿色的城市,干净的空气,
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energy and transport are efficient,
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高效的能源和交通,
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jobs in a fair economy are abundant,
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工作无处不在的、 公平的经济环境,
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and forests, soil and waters are regenerated.
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并拥有可再生的 森林、土壤和水源。
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Our world will be safer and healthier,
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我们的世界将更加安全和健康,
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more stable and more just than what we have now.
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比现在更稳定、更公正。
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This decade is a moment of choice unlike any we have ever lived.
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这十年将是一个 我们从未经历过的抉择时刻。
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All of us alive right now share that responsibility
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所有在世的人都面对着
03:17
and that opportunity.
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同等的责任和机会。
03:19
There are many changes to make over the next 10 years,
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在未来 10 年中, 有许多变化亟待发生,
03:24
and each of us will take different steps along the way.
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而我们每个人在这条道路上 都会采取不同的方法。
03:28
But all of us start the transformation in one place, our mindset.
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但所有的转变都始于我们的心态。
03:34
Faced with today's facts,
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面对今天的现状,
03:36
we can be indifferent,
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我们可以无动于衷,
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do nothing
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坐以待毙,
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and hope the problem goes away.
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希望问题能自动消失。
03:43
We can despair and plunge into paralysis,
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我们可以陷入绝望, 感到无能为力,
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or we can become stubborn optimists
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或者,我们也可以成为 顽固的乐观主义者,
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with a fierce conviction that no matter how difficult,
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并坚信,无论多么困难,
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we must and we can rise to the challenge.
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我们都必须, 并且有能力迎接挑战。
03:59
Optimism is not about blindly ignoring the realities that surround us,
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乐观不是盲目的无视现实问题——
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that's foolishness.
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这叫愚蠢。
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It's also not a naive faith that everything will take care of itself,
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乐观也不是天真的相信 即便什么都不做,
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even if we do nothing.
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一切问题也都会自行解决——
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That is irresponsibility.
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这叫不负责任。
我说的乐观主义不是成就的产物,
04:15
The optimism I'm speaking of is not the result of an achievement,
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04:19
it is the necessary input to meeting a challenge.
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而是迎接挑战的必要条件。
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It is, in fact, the only way to increase our chance of success.
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事实上,它也是 增加成功机会的唯一途径。
04:30
Think of the impact of a positive mindset on a personal goal you have set yourself.
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想想积极心态对你为自己 设定的个人目标的影响。
跑马拉松、学一门新语言、
04:36
Running a marathon, learning a new language,
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04:39
creating a new country, like my father,
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像我父亲那样创建一个的新国家,
04:41
or like me, reaching a global agreement on climate change.
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或者像我一样, 就气候变化问题达成全球协议。
04:46
The Paris Agreement of 2015 is hailed as a historical breakthrough.
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2015 年的《巴黎协定》 被公认为是一个历史性的突破。
04:51
What we started in utter gloom
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2010 年,
在哥本哈根会议失败六个月后,
04:54
when I assumed leadership
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04:56
of the international climate change negotiations in 2010,
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我开始领导国际气候变化谈判,
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six months after the failed Copenhagen meetings,
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当时,全世界在气候变化问题上
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the world was in a very dark place on climate change.
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正处于一个非常黑暗的时刻。
05:07
No one believed we would ever agree on global decarbonization.
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没人相信我们会 在全球脱碳的问题上
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Not even I believed it was possible.
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连我都不相信这是可能的。
05:15
But then I realized,
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但后来我意识到,
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a shared vision
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一个共同的愿景和全球一致同意 实现这一愿景的道路
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and a globally agreed route toward that vision was indispensable.
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是必不可少的。
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It took a deliberate change of mindset, first in me,
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这需要一个主动的心态转变, 最先从我开始,
05:28
and then in all other participants,
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然后是所有其他与会者。
05:31
who gradually but courageously moved from despair to determination,
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大家都秉持着一种谨慎但无畏的态度, 逐渐从绝望走向决心,
05:37
from confrontation to collaboration,
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从对抗走向合作,
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until we collectively delivered the global agreement.
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直到我们集体 就全球协议达成了共识。
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But we have not moved fast enough.
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但我们的行动还不够快。
05:49
Many now believe it is impossible
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目前,许多人还认为不可能
05:52
to cut global emissions in half in this decade.
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在十年内将全球排放量减半。
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I say, we don't have the right to give up or let up.
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我想说,我们没有放弃 或任其发展的权力。
06:02
Optimism means envisioning our desired future
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乐观主义意味着 设想我们所期望的未来,
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and then actively pulling it closer.
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然后积极主动的去实现。
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Optimism opens the field of possibility,
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乐观主义开启了 一个充满可能性的世界,
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it drives your desire to contribute, to make a difference,
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它驱使你为了实现改变 而渴望有所作为,
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it makes you jump out of bed in the morning
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它让你每天早上兴奋的醒来,
06:18
because you feel challenged and hopeful at the same time.
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充满希望的准备好迎接挑战。
06:23
But it isn't going to be easy.
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但这条路并不容易,
06:25
We will stumble along the way.
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一路上充满了艰难险阻。
06:28
Many other global urgencies could temper our hope for rapid progress,
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许多其他的全球危机都可能 阻碍我们希望快速进步的愿景,
06:33
and our current geopolitical reality could easily dampen our optimism.
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当前的地缘政治现实 也很容易打击我们的乐观情绪。
06:39
That's where stubbornness comes in.
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这就是我们需要“顽固”的原因。
06:42
Our optimism cannot be a sunny day attitude.
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我们的乐观不能 只是一种轻松、愉快的态度。
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It has to be gritty, determined, relentless.
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它必须是坚韧不拔、 坚定不移、不屈不挠的。
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It is a choice we have to make every single day.
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这是我们每天都要做出的选择。
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Every barrier must be an indication to try a different way.
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每一个障碍都必须 指引着我们尝试不同的方式。
06:58
In radical collaboration with each other,
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在通力合作的情况下,
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we can do this.
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我们就可以做到。
07:03
For years, I had a recurring nightmare
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多年来,我经常做同样的噩梦,
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in which I saw seven pairs of children's eyes,
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梦到七双孩子的眼睛,
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the eyes of seven generations,
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七代人的眼睛,
07:13
staring back at me, asking,
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盯着我问,
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"What did you do?"
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“你做了什么?”
07:18
Now, we have millions of children in the streets,
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现在,我们有数百万儿童走上街头,
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asking us adults the same question,
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在问成年人同样的问题,
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"What are you doing?"
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“你们在干什么?”
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And we have to respond.
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我们必须做出回应。
07:33
Like our fathers and mothers before us,
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就像我们父母那一代人一样,
07:36
we are the farmers of the future.
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我们都在为 一个更美好的未来播种。
07:40
I invite each of you to ask yourself:
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我邀请你们每个人都扪心自问:
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What is the future you want,
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你想要的未来是什么,
07:46
and what are you doing to make that future a reality?
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为此你做出了哪些行动?
07:51
You will each have a different answer,
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每个人都有不同的答案,
07:54
but you can all start by joining the growing family
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但你们都可以 从加入世界各地不断壮大的
07:58
of stubborn optimists around the world.
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顽固乐观主义者大家庭开始。
08:02
Welcome to the family.
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欢迎加入我们!
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