Can you solve the rogue AI riddle? - Dan Finkel

4,018,315 views ・ 2018-08-07

TED-Ed


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譯者: Lilian Chiu 審譯者: Helen Chang
00:07
A hostile artificial intelligence called NIM has taken over the world’s computers.
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有敵意的人工智慧「NIM」 已經主宰了全世界的電腦。
00:12
You’re the only person skilled enough to shut it down,
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你是世界上唯一有足夠技能 可以將它關閉的人,
00:15
and you’ll only have one chance.
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你只有一次機會。
00:17
You’ve broken into NIM’s secret lab,
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你闖入了 NIM 的秘密實驗室,
00:20
and now you’re floating in a raft on top of 25 stories of electrified water.
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現在你坐在橡皮艇上, 漂浮在 25 層通電的水上。
00:25
You’ve rigged up a remote that can lower the water level
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你草草做出了一個遙控器, 可以降低水位,
00:28
by ejecting it from grates in the sides of the room.
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讓水從房間側邊的格柵排出。
00:31
If you can lower the water level to 0,
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如果你能把水位降到 0,
00:34
you can hit the manual override,
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你就可以進行手動覆寫,
00:36
shut NIM off,
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將 NIM 關機,
00:37
and save the day.
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拯救世界。
00:38
However, the AI knows that you’re here, and it can lower the water level, too,
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然而,人工智慧知道你在這裡, 且它也能夠降低水位,
00:43
by sucking it through a trapdoor at the bottom of the lab.
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它的做法是從實驗室 底部的活板門將水吸出。
00:46
If NIM is the one to lower the water level to 0,
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如果 NIM 將水位降到 0,
00:49
you’ll be sucked out of the lab,
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你就會被吸到實驗室外,
00:51
resulting in a failed mission.
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任務就會失敗。
00:53
Control over water drainage alternates between you and NIM,
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排水的控制權是由 你和 NIM 輪流取得,
00:57
and neither can skip a turn.
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且誰都不可以跳過一輪。
00:59
Each of you can lower the water level by exactly 1,
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你們兩個都能將水位 一次降低一層、
01:02
3,
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三層或是四層。
01:03
or 4 stories at a time.
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01:05
Whoever gets the level exactly to 0 on their turn
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誰能在自己的那一輪 將水位剛好降至 0,
01:08
will win this deadly duel.
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就能贏得這場生死對決。
01:10
Note that neither of you can lower the water below 0;
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要注意的是,你們兩個 都不能把水位降到比 0 更低;
01:13
if the water level is at 2,
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如果水位是在 2,
01:15
then the only move is to lower the water level 1 story.
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那麼唯一能做的就是 將水位降低一層。
01:19
You know that NIM has already computed all possible outcomes of the contest,
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你知道 NIM 已經計算出了 這場比賽的所有可能結果,
01:23
and will play in a way that maximizes its chance of success.
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且一定會採取讓它的 成功機會最大的做法。
01:27
You go first.
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由你先控制。
01:29
How can you survive and shut off the artificial intelligence?
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你要如何存活下來 並將人工智慧關閉?
01:32
Pause here if you want to figure it out for yourself.
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如果你想要自己解解看, 在這裡按暫停。
01:36
Answer in: 3
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公佈答案倒數:三。
01:37
Answer in: 2
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公佈答案倒數:二。
01:38
Answer in: 1
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公佈答案倒數:一。
01:40
You can’t leave anything up to chance - NIM will take any advantage it can get.
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你不能完全靠運氣—— NIM 只要能佔便宜就一定會佔。
01:44
And you’ll need to have a response to any possible move it makes.
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你得要針對它可能的 每一步棋做出反應。
01:48
The trick here is to start from where you want to end and work backwards.
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這裡的密訣在於要從 你想要的結果反向推導回來。
01:53
You want to be the one to lower the water level to 0,
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你想要成為將水位降至 0 的人,
01:56
which means you need the water level to be at 1, 3, or 4
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那就表示當你拿到 控制權時,水位必須是
02:00
when control switches to you.
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在 1、3,或 4。
02:02
If the water level were at 2,
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如果水位在 2,
02:03
your only option would be to lower it 1 story,
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你唯一的選擇就是降低一層,
02:07
which would lead to NIM making the winning move.
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那就會讓 NIM 能做出 贏得勝利的一步。
02:09
If we color code the water levels,
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如果我們把水位用顏色編碼,
02:11
we can see a simple principle at play:
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我們就能看出這裡 有個簡單的原則:
02:14
there are “losing” levels like 2,
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有「必輸」的樓層,比如 2,
02:16
where no matter what whoever starts their turn there does, they’ll lose.
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無論如何,到了那一層的人必輸。
02:21
And there are winning levels, where whoever starts their turn there
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也有「必勝」的樓層, 如果你從那裡開始你的那一輪,
02:24
can either win or leave their opponent with a losing level.
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你就會贏,或是讓你的對手 只能到達必輸的樓層。
02:28
So not only are 1, 3, and 4 winning levels,
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所以「必勝」樓層 不只是 1、3,和 4,
02:32
but so are 5 and 6,
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還有 5 和 6,
02:34
since you can send your opponent to 2 from there.
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因為從這兩層你都可以 把你的對手送到 2 。
02:37
What about 7?
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那 7 呢?
02:39
From 7, all possible moves would send your opponent to a winning level,
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從 7,不論你做什麼, 都會把你的對手送到必勝樓層,
02:44
making this another losing level.
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因此 7 也是必輸樓層。
02:46
And we can continue up the lab in this way.
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我們可以用這種方式 一路向上做判斷。
02:50
If you start your turn 1, 3, or 4 levels above a losing level,
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如果你是在必輸樓層 向上加一、三,或四層樓,
02:55
then you’re at a winning level.
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那你就是在必勝樓層。
02:57
Otherwise, you’re destined to lose.
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要不然,你就注定會輸。
03:00
You could continue like this all the way to level 25.
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你可以一直這樣做,直到 25。
03:03
But as a shortcut,
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但有個截徑,
03:05
you might notice that levels 8 through 11 are colored identically to 1 through 4.
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你可能會發現,樓層 8 到 11 和 1 到 4 有一樣的顏色。
03:10
Since a level’s color is determined by the levels 1, 3, and 4 stories below it,
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因為一層樓的顏色是由它向下 一、三,及四層樓所決定的,
03:16
this means that level 12 will be the same color as level 5,
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這就表示樓層 12 和 5 的顏色會一樣,
03:20
13 will match 6,
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13 和 6 會一樣,
03:22
14 will match 7, and so on,
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14 和 7 會一樣,以此類推。
03:25
In particular, the losing levels will always be multiple of 7,
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特別的是,必輸樓層 都一定是 7 的倍數,
03:29
and two greater than multiples of 7.
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以及 7 的倍數再加 2。
03:32
Now, from your original starting level of 25,
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現在,回到你最初的樓層 25,
03:35
you have to make sure your opponent starts on a losing level every single turn—
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你得要確保你的對手每一輪 都要從必輸樓層開始——
03:40
if NIM starts on a winning level even once,
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如果 NIM 從必勝樓層開始,
03:43
it’s game over for you.
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你就玩完了。
03:45
So your only choice on turn 1 is to lower the water level by 4 stories.
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所以你第一輪唯一的選擇 就是向下降四層。
03:50
No matter what the AI does,
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不論人工智慧做什麼,
03:52
you can continue giving it losing levels
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你都可以持續一直給它必輸樓層,
03:55
until you reach 0 and trigger the manual override.
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直到你達到 0,進行人工覆寫。
03:59
And with that, the crisis is averted.
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這麼一來,危機就解除了。
04:02
Now, back to a less stressful kind of surfing.
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現在可以回到比較 沒有壓力的上網瀏覽了。
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