Can you solve the rogue submarine riddle? - Alex Rosenthal

1,487,840 views ・ 2021-09-23

TED-Ed


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譯者: Lilian Chiu 審譯者: Amanda Zhu
00:07
Smuggling yourself aboard the rogue submarine was the easy part.
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偷搭上叛逃的潛水艇 還算是簡單的部分,
00:11
Hacking into the nuclear missile launch override— a little harder.
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駭入核彈發射撤消系統 這就稍微難一點了。
00:15
But now you’ve got a problem: you don’t have the override code.
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但,現在你遇到問題了: 你沒有撤消密碼。
00:19
You know you need the same two numbers
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你知道你需要的兩個數字,
00:21
that the agents of chaos just used to authorize the launch.
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就是混亂特務剛才 用來授權發射的數字。
00:25
But one wrong answer will lock you out.
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但弄錯一個數字就會讓系統鎖住。
00:28
From your hiding spot, you’ve been able to learn the following:
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從你躲藏的位置, 你得到了下列資訊:
00:32
The big boss didn’t trust any minion with the full information
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大頭目不相信任何嘍囉, 不會把全部的資訊都給同一個人,
00:36
to launch nuclear missiles on their own.
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以免樓囉自己發射核彈。
00:39
So he gave one launch code to Minion A, the other to minion B,
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所以他把一個發射密碼給嘍囉 A,
另一個給嘍囉 B,
00:43
and forbade them to share the numbers with each other.
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並禁止他們告訴對方自己的數字。
00:47
When the order came,
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命令下來時,
00:48
each entered their own number and activated the countdown.
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他們各自輸入他們的數字, 啟動發射倒數。
00:52
That was 50 minutes ago,
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那是五十分鐘前的事,
00:54
and there's only 10 minutes left before the missiles launch.
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只剩下十分鐘核彈就要發射了。
00:58
Suddenly, the boss says, “Funny story— your launch codes were actually related.
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突然,頭目說:
「說件趣事——你們的 發射密碼其實是相關的。
01:03
I chose a set of distinct positive integers with at least two elements,
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我選了一組正整數,
至少有兩個數字,
01:08
each less than 7, and told their sum to you, A, and their product to you, B.”
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每個都小於 7,
把它們的加總告訴 A,
乘積告訴 B。」
01:15
After a moment of awkward silence, A says to B,
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在短暫的尷尬沉默後,A 對 B 說:
01:18
“I don’t know whether you know my number.”
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「我不知道你是否知道我的數字。」
01:21
B thinks this over, then responds,
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B 想過之後,回應說:
01:24
“I know your number, and now I know you know my number too.”
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「我知道你的數字,
且現在我知道你也知道我的數字。」
01:28
That’s all you’ve got.
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你就只聽到這些。
01:30
What numbers do you enter to override the launch?
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你要輸入什麼數字來撤銷飛彈發射?
01:33
Pause now to figure it out for yourself. Answer in 3
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[若要自行解題,請在此暫停。 答案公佈倒數:三]
01:36
Answer in 2
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[二]
01:39
Answer in 1
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[一]
01:40
Ignorance-based puzzles like this are notoriously difficult to work through.
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這種以「不知情」為基礎的謎題
是出名了難解。
01:45
The trick is to put yourself in the heads of both characters
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技巧在於從兩位角色的角度來思考,
01:49
and narrow down the possibilities based on what they know or don’t know.
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並根據他們知道什麼
或不知道什麼, 來找到更接近的答案。
01:54
So let's start with A's first statement.
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咱們先從 A 的第一句陳述開始。
01:56
It means that B could conceivably have something with the potential
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意即, B 可能有資訊 可以揭露出 A 的數字,
02:00
to reveal A’s number, but isn’t guaranteed to.
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但不保證一定可以。
02:05
That doesn’t sound very definitive, but it can lead us to a major insight.
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聽起來無法確定什麼,
但能讓我們窺見一件重要的事:
02:09
The only scenarios where B could know A’s number
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只有一種情況下, B 會知道 A 的數字,
02:13
are when there’s exactly one valid way to factor B’s number.
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就是 B 的數字只有 一種因數拆解的方式。
02:17
Try factoring a few and you’ll find the pattern—
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試著拆解幾個數字, 你就會找到模式;
02:20
It could be prime— where the product must be of 1 and itself—
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可能是質數
——乘積即 1 和質數本身——
02:24
or it could be the product of 1 and the square of a prime, such as 4.
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或是一和質數的平方,比如 4。
02:29
In both cases, there is exactly one sum.
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在這兩種情況下, 都剛好只有一個加總值。
02:32
For a number like 8, factoring it into 2 and 4, or 1, 2, and 4,
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如果是八這類數字,
因數可能是 2 與 4,
或者 1、2、4,
02:38
creates too many options.
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會有太多加總的可能性。
02:40
Because the boss’s numbers must be less than 7,
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因為頭目說每個數字都小於七,
02:43
A’s list of B’s possibilities only has these 4 numbers.
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A 把 B 可能的數字列成清單,
上面就只會有這四個數字。
02:50
Here’s where we can conclude a major clue.
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這裡我們就能得到一條重要線索。
02:53
To think B could have these numbers, A’s number must be a sum of their factors—
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A 認為 B 可能有這些數字,
所以 A 的數字一定是 其因數的總和——
02:59
so 3, 4, 5, or 6.
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3、4、5,或 6。
03:02
We can eliminate 3 and 4, because if the sum was either,
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我們可以拿掉 3 和 4, 因為如果總和是 3 或 4,
03:06
the product could only be 2 or 3,
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那乘積就只有可能是 2 或 3,
03:08
in which case A would know that B already knows A’s number,
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不論是 2 或 3,A 都能知道 B 已經知道 A 的數字。
03:12
contradicting A’s statement.
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這和 A 的說法矛盾。
03:15
5 and 6, however, are in play,
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不過,5 和 6 都有可能,
03:17
because they can become sums in multiple ways.
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因為有多種方式加總出這兩個數字。
03:21
The need to consider this is one of the most difficult parts of this puzzle.
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知道要考量這一點
是這類謎題最困難的地方。
03:25
The crucial thing to remember is that there’s no guarantee
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重點是要記住,
B 的數字並不保證 一定在 A 的清單,
03:28
that B’s number is on A’s list—
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03:31
those are just the possibilities from A’s perspective
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清單上的只是從 A 的角度 認為可能的數字,
03:34
that would allow B to deduce A’s number.
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A 認為這樣 B 就能 推理出 A 的數字。
03:38
That ambiguity forces us to go through unintuitive multi-step processes like:
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這種模糊性,迫使我們要進行
非直覺式的多步驟過程,
比如:先想一個乘積,
03:44
consider a product, see what sums can result from its factors,
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看看它的因數能加出哪些總和,
03:49
then break those apart and see what products can result.
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接著再把這些總和拆開,
看能乘出哪些乘積。
03:53
We’ll soon have to do something similar going from sums to products
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我們很快就得要採用類似的 過程,從總和到乘積,
03:57
and back to sums.
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再回到總和。
03:59
But now we know— when A made his first statement,
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但現在我們知道, 當 A 說出第一句陳述時,
04:02
he must have been holding either 5 or 6.
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他的數字一定是五或六。
04:05
B has access to the same information we do,
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我們能得到的資訊 B 也都能得到,
04:08
so he knows this too.
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所以他也知道這一點。
04:10
Let’s review what’s in each brain at this point:
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咱們來回顧一下 每個人的腦中有什麼:
04:13
everyone knows a lot about the sum, but only B knows the product.
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大家都對總和知道很多,
但只有 B 知道乘積。
04:18
Now let’s look at the first part of B’s statement.
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咱們來看看 B 陳述的第一部分。
04:21
What if A’s number was 5?
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如果 A 的數字是 5 呢?
04:23
That could be from 1+4 or 2+3,
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5 有可能是 1+4 或 2+3,
04:26
in which case B would have either 4 or 6.
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這兩種情況下, B 的數字分別會是 4 或 6。
04:30
4 would tell B what A had, like he said,
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若是 4,B 就會知道 A 的數字,如他所言,
04:33
because there’s only one option to make the product: 4 times 1.
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因為要讓乘積是 4 ,只有一種可能:
四乘以一。
04:38
6, on the other hand, could be broken down three ways, which sum like so.
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另一方面,6 則有 3 種拆解方式,
其總和如圖所示。
04:44
7 isn’t on B’s list of possible sums, but 5 and 6 both are.
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B 的可能總和清單中沒有 7,
但有 5 和 6。
04:49
Meaning that B wouldn’t know whether A’s number was 5 or 6,
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意思就是 B 不會知道
A 的數字是 5 或 6,
04:54
and we can eliminate this option because it contradicts his statement.
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我們可以剔除這個選項, 因為和 B 的陳述矛盾。
04:58
So this is great— 5 and 4 could be the override code,
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這樣很棒,5 和 4 有可能是撤銷密碼,
05:02
but how do we know it's the only one?
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但我們怎麼知道只有這個可能性?
05:06
Let’s consider if A’s number was 6—
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咱們來看看 A 的數字 若是 6 會如何——
05:09
which would be 1+5, 2+4, or 1+2+3,
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6 可能是 1+5、2+4、1+2+3
05:14
giving B 5, 8, or 6, respectively.
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則 B 分別會是 5、8、6。
05:17
If B had 5, he’d know that A had 6.
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如果 B 的數字是 5, 他就會知道 A 的是 6。
05:20
And if he had 8, the possibilities for A would be 2+4 and 1+2+4.
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如果 B 是 8,
A 可能會是 2+4 或1+2+4。
05:28
Only 6 is on the list of possible sums, so B would again know that A had 6.
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只有 6 出現在可能的總和清單上,
所以同樣的, B 會知道 A 的數字是 6。
05:35
To summarize, if A had 6,
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總結一下,如果 A 是 6,
05:37
he still wouldn’t know whether B had 5 or 8.
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他不會知道 B 是 5 還是 8。
05:41
That contradicts the second half of what B said,
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不符合 B 陳述的後半段,
05:45
and 5 and 4 must be the correct codes.
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所以 5 和 4 就一定是正確的密碼。
05:49
With seconds to spare you override the missile launch,
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在只剩幾秒的時候, 你撤銷了核彈發射,
05:52
shoot yourself out of the torpedo bay,
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從魚雷艙把你自己發射出去,
05:54
and send the sub to the bottom of the ocean.
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送潛水艇到海底長眠。
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