How AI can enhance our memory, work and social lives | Tom Gruber

196,832 views ・ 2017-08-21

TED


Videoni ijro etish uchun quyidagi inglizcha subtitrlarga ikki marta bosing.

Translator: Furkat Sharipov Reviewer: Nazarbek Nazarov
00:12
I'm here to offer you a new way to think about my field,
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Men bu yerda turishimdan maqsad, soham, sun'iy intellekt haqida
00:16
artificial intelligence.
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yangicha fikrlashni taklif qilish.
00:18
I think the purpose of AI
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Menimcha SI ning maqsadi
00:20
is to empower humans with machine intelligence.
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bu insonlarni mashina intellekti bilan kuchaytirishdir.
00:25
And as machines get smarter,
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Mashinalar aqlliroq bo'lgan sari
00:27
we get smarter.
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biz aqlliroq bo'lamiz.
00:29
I call this "humanistic AI" --
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Men buni "insoniy SI" deb atayman.
00:32
artificial intelligence designed to meet human needs
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Sun'iy intellekt odamlar bilan o'zaro ishlashi va ularni rivojlanishiga
00:35
by collaborating and augmenting people.
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yordam berishi orqali insonlarning ehtiyojlarini qondiradi.
00:39
Now, today I'm happy to see
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Hozirgi kunda yordamchi intellekt
00:41
that the idea of an intelligent assistant
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g'oyasi katta mavzuga aylanganligidan
00:44
is mainstream.
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juda hursandman.
00:45
It's the well-accepted metaphor for the interface between humans and AI.
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Bu odamlar va SI o'rtasidagi faollikni ifodalash uchun o'rinli metaforadir.
00:51
And the one I helped create is called Siri.
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Men yaratishga hissamni qo'shgan SI Siri deb ataladi.
00:54
You know Siri.
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Siz Sirini bilasiz.
00:55
Siri is the thing that knows your intent
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Siri sizning maqsadingizni tushuna oladi, hamda uni
00:58
and helps you do it for you,
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amalga oshirishda yordam beradi,
01:00
helps you get things done.
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va uni bajarishda qo'l keladi.
01:02
But what you might not know is that we designed Siri
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Ammo siz bilmaydigan bitta narsa bor: Sirini aslida
01:05
as humanistic AI,
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ijtimoiy SI sifatida, suhbat interfeysida
01:07
to augment people with a conversational interface
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insonni o'rnini to'ldirib turishi uchun va mobil hisoblash
01:10
that made it possible for them to use mobile computing,
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vazifalarini bajarishda yordam berishi uchun
01:14
regardless of who they were and their abilities.
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ishlab chiqqan edik.
01:18
Now for most of us,
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Hozirda ko'pchiligimiz uchun bu
01:20
the impact of this technology
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texnologiyaning ta'siri ish bajarishni biroz bo'lsa-da
01:23
is to make things a little bit easier to use.
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yengillashtirishidadir.
01:25
But for my friend Daniel,
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Lekin mening do'stim Daniel uchun
01:29
the impact of the AI in these systems is a life changer.
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buning ta'siri butun hayotini o'zgartirdi.
01:33
You see, Daniel is a really social guy,
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Bilasizmi, Daniel juda ham kirishimli yigit,
01:37
and he's blind and quadriplegic,
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lekin u ko'r va qo'l oyoqlari shol.
01:40
which makes it hard to use those devices that we all take for granted.
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Shuning uchun biz bemalol ishlata oladigan moslamalarni u ishlata olmaydi.
01:44
The last time I was at his house, his brother said,
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Ohirgi marta men uning uyiga borganimda uning akasi
01:46
"Hang on a second, Daniel's not ready.
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"Biroz kuting, Daniel hali tayyor emas.
01:48
He's on the phone with a woman he met online."
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U online tanishgan qizi bilan gaplashyapti" dedi.
01:52
I'm like, "That's cool, how'd he do it?"
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Men "Zo'rku, buni qanday uddaladi?" dedim.
01:54
Well, Daniel uses Siri to manage his own social life --
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Daniel ijtimoiy hayotini boshqarish uchun Siridan foydalanadi.
01:58
his email, text and phone --
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U ko'makdoshining yordamisiz
02:00
without depending on his caregivers.
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e-mail, sms va qo'ng'iroq qila olishi mumkin.
02:04
This is kind of interesting, right?
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Bu qiziq, shunday emasmi?
02:06
The irony here is great.
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Taqdir hazili shundaki,
02:07
Here's the man whose relationship with AI
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Sun'iy Intellekt unga aqlli inson bilan muloqot qilishda
02:10
helps him have relationships with genuine human beings.
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yordam berayapti.
02:14
And this is humanistic AI.
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Bu insoniy Sun'iy Intellektdir.
02:19
Another example with life-changing consequences
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Yana bir yorqin misol bu saraton kasalligiga
02:21
is diagnosing cancer.
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tashhis qo'yishdadir.
02:24
When a doctor suspects cancer,
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Vrachlar saratonni gumon qilganda,
02:26
they take a sample and send it to a pathologist,
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ular qondan namuna olib patologga jo'natadi.
02:29
who looks at it under a microscope.
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Patolog uni mikroskopda ko'radi.
02:31
Now, pathologists look at hundreds of slides
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Patologlar bir kunda yuzlab namunalar va
02:34
and millions of cells every day.
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minglab hujayralarga qaraydi.
02:37
So to support this task,
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Bu vazifani yengillashtirish
02:38
some researchers made an AI classifier.
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maqsadida ba'zi olimlar tasniflagich SI yaratishdi.
02:43
Now, the classifier says, "Is this cancer or is this not cancer?"
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Ushbu tasniflagich namunalarga qarab saraton bor
02:47
looking at the pictures.
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yoki yo'qligini aytadi.
02:50
The classifier was pretty good,
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Dastlab tasniflagich juda yaxshi
02:52
but not as good as the person,
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ishlayotgan edi, lekin inson kabi
02:55
who got it right most of the time.
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doim ham to'g'ri aytib bera olmasdi.
02:58
But when they combine the ability of the machine and the human together,
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Ammo qachonki olimlar inson intellekti va mashina qobiliyatini birlashtira olganda
03:04
accuracy went to 99.5 percent.
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aniqlik 99.5 foizga oshdi.
03:08
Adding that AI to a partnership eliminated 85 percent of the errors
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Shunda SI bilan hamkorlikda ishlash patologlar bir o'zlari
03:13
that the human pathologist would have made working alone.
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ishlaganda qiladigan xatoliklarini 85 foizga kamaytirdi.
03:18
That's a lot of cancer that would have otherwise gone untreated.
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Bu juda ham ko'p oldi olinmagan saraton kasalliklaridir.
03:22
Now, for the curious, it turns out
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Qizig'i shundaki, insonlar yolg'on
03:24
that the human was better at rejecting false positives,
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alomatni inkor etishni yaxshi uddalasa, mashina esa aniqlanishi qiyin
03:28
and the machine was better at recognizing those hard-to-spot cases.
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bo'lgan alomatlarni topa oladi.
03:31
But the lesson here isn't about which agent is better
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Bundagi saboq qaysi biri tasniflash vazifasini
03:35
at this image-classification task.
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yaxshi bajara olishida emas.
03:37
Those things are changing every day.
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Chunki narsalar doim o'zgarib turadi.
03:39
The lesson here
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Balki,
03:41
is that by combining the abilities of the human and machine,
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inson va dastgoh qobiliyatini birlashtirish orqali
03:44
it created a partnership that had superhuman performance.
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superinsoniy vazifani bajarishda sheriklik yaratilishidir.
03:50
And that is humanistic AI.
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Bu insoniy SI dir.
03:54
Now let's look at another example
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Keling, yana bir misolni olaylik.
03:56
with turbocharging performance.
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Bu tezlikni
03:58
This is design.
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yaratishdir.
04:00
Now, let's say you're an engineer.
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Masalan, siz muhandissiz.
04:02
You want to design a new frame for a drone.
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Siz dron uchun rom yaratmoqchisiz.
04:04
You get out your favorite software tools, CAD tools,
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Siz uni eng yoqtirgan dasturli 3D dasturingizda tayyorlaysiz
04:07
and you enter the form and the materials, and then you analyze performance.
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va shaklni hamda homashyolarni kiritasiz. So'ng siz bajarilishini tahlil qilasiz.
04:11
That gives you one design.
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Bu bitta dizaynni beradi.
04:13
If you give those same tools to an AI,
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Agar siz o'sha dastgohlarni SI ga bersangiz,
04:17
it can generate thousands of designs.
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u minglab dizaynlarni yarata oladi.
04:22
This video by Autodesk is amazing.
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Autodesk yaratgan ushbu video ajoyib.
04:23
This is real stuff.
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Bu haqiqatdan ham ajoyib.
04:25
So this transforms how we do design.
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U biz dizayn qilgan narsani yaratadi.
04:29
The human engineer now
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Muhandis inson dizayn bilan
04:30
says what the design should achieve,
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nimaga erishish kerakligini aytadi
04:33
and the machine says,
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va mashina
04:34
"Here's the possibilities."
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"Mana namunalar" deb
04:37
Now in her job, the engineer's job
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ko'rsatadi va endi muhandisning vazifasi inson sifatida o'zi
04:40
is to pick the one that best meets the goals of the design,
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ma'qul deb biladigan, dizayn maqsadiga mos tushadigan
04:43
which she knows as a human better than anyone else,
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variantni insoniy fikr va tajribaga asoslanib
04:47
using human judgment and expertise.
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tanlaydi.
04:49
In this case, the winning form
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Natijada yaratilgan mahsulot
04:50
looks kind of like something nature would have designed,
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huddi tabiat yaratgan narsaday ko'rinadi.
04:53
minus a few million years of evolution
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Bir necha million yillik evolyutsiya
04:55
and all that unnecessary fur.
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va shuncha keraksiz bo'lgan mo'yna.
05:00
Now let's see where this idea of humanistic AI might lead us
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Keling endi bu insoniy SI, agar biz uni ortidan ergashsak, qayerga yetaklab
05:04
if we follow it into the speculative beyond.
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olib borishi mumkinligi haqida gaplashaylik.
05:07
What's a kind of augmentation that we would all like to have?
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Biz hammamiz qanaqa rivojlanishni istaymiz?
05:11
Well, how about cognitive enhancement?
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Kognitiv rivojlanishga nima deysiz?
05:15
Instead of asking,
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"Biz mashinalarni qanchalik
05:17
"How smart can we make our machines?"
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aqlli qila olamiz?" deb so'rashni o'rniga,
05:19
let's ask
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keling, "Ular bizni
05:20
"How smart can our machines make us?"
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qanchalik aqlli qilishi mumkin?" deb so'raylik.
05:24
I mean, take memory for example.
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Misol sifatida xotirani olaylik.
05:27
Memory is the foundation of human intelligence.
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Xotira bu inson intellektining asosidir.
05:31
But human memory is famously flawed.
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Lekin inson xotirasi kamchilikka egaligi hammaga ma'lum.
05:35
We're great at telling stories,
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Biz hikoya qilishda yaxshimiz, ammo uning
05:37
but not getting the details right.
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detallarida unchalik emas.
05:39
And our memories -- they decay over time.
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Va bizning xotiramiz vaqt o'tishi bilan sustlashadi.
05:42
I mean, like, where did the '60s go, and can I go there, too?
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Ya'ni, 60-yillar qayga ketgan bo'lsa men ham o'sha yerga ketaman.
05:45
(Laughter)
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(Kulgu)
05:48
But what if you could have a memory that was as good as computer memory,
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Ammo sizda kompyuter xotirasi singari xotira bo'lganda
05:53
and was about your life?
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nima qilgan bo'lardingiz?
05:57
What if you could remember every person you ever met,
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Siz hayotingizda uchratgan har bir inson ismini eslab,
06:00
how to pronounce their name,
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ismini qanday qilib talaffuz qilishni,
06:02
their family details, their favorite sports,
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ularning oilasiga taaluqli detallarni, xatto
06:04
the last conversation you had with them?
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so'nggi bor qachon gaplashganingizni
06:06
If you had this memory all your life,
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eslay olganingizda nima bo'lardi? Sizda shunday xotira
06:09
you could have the AI look at all the interactions
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butun umr davomida bo'lsa, barcha insonlar bilan qilingan suhbatlarni
06:12
you had with people over time
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ko'rish va ancha oldingi
06:13
and help you reflect on the long arc of your relationships.
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munosabatlaringizni eslashga yordam bera oladigan SI bo'lsa.
06:18
What if you could have the AI read everything you've ever read
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Agarda SI siz o'qigan har qanday narsani o'qib bera olsa va eshitgan har qanday
06:23
and listen to every song you've ever heard?
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musiqasini kuylab bera olsa nima bo'lgan bo'lardi?
06:27
From the tiniest clue, it could help you retrieve
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Kichkinagina ishora bilan u sizga oldin eshitgan har qanday narsani
06:30
anything you've ever seen or heard before.
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eslatib bera olsa, siz yangi aloqalar qilish
06:33
Imagine what that would do for the ability to make new connections
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va yangi g'oyalar shakllantirish qobiliyatiga ega bo'lishni
06:37
and form new ideas.
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tasavvur qilib ko'ring.
06:38
And what about our bodies?
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Bizning tanamizchi?
06:41
What if we could remember the consequences of every food we eat,
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Biz yegan har bitta ovqatimiz, qabul qilgan tabletkamiz
06:45
every pill we take,
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va yotishdan oldin qabul qilgan
06:48
every all-nighter we pull?
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dori ta'sirini eslay olganimizdachi?
06:50
We could do our own science on our own data
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Bizda to'plangan ma'lumotlardan kelib chiqib, nimalar
06:53
about what makes us feel good and stay healthy.
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o'zimizni yaxshi his qilishimizga undashi haqida ilmiy ish qilishimiz mumkin.
06:57
And imagine how this could revolutionize
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Tasavvur eting, allergiya va surunkali kasalliklarni
06:59
the way we manage allergies and chronic disease.
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boshqarishimizda bu qanchalik qo'l kelishini.
07:04
I believe that AI will make personal memory enhancement a reality.
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Men SI shaxsiy xotirani kuchaytira olishiga ishonaman.
07:10
I can't say when or what form factors are involved,
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Men qachon va qanday omillar bilan bog'liqligini aniq
07:14
but I think it's inevitable,
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aytolmayman, ammo bu muqarrarligi aniq,
07:17
because the very things that make AI successful today --
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chunki SI ni hozirgi kunda muvaffaqqiyatli qilgan narsa bu
07:22
the availability of comprehensive data
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keng qamrovli ma'lumotlar bazasidir,
07:25
and the ability for machines to make sense of that data --
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mashinalarning ushbu bazadan har kunlik turmushda
07:28
can be applied to the data of our lives.
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foydalana olishidadir.
07:32
And those data are here today, available for all of us,
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Ushbu ma'lumotlar bazasi hozir hammamiz uchun mavjud,
07:35
because we lead digitally mediated lives,
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chunki biz telefonda va online orqali
07:40
in mobile and online.
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raqamli, vositali hayot olib borayapmiz.
07:43
In my view, a personal memory is a private memory.
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Mening fikrimcha, shaxsiy xotira bu xususiy xotiradir.
07:47
We get to choose what is and is not recalled and retained.
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Biz nimani eslash kerakligini o'zimiz tanlaymiz.
07:52
It's absolutely essential that this be kept very secure.
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Bu mutlaqo alohida saqlanishi kerak.
07:57
Now for most of us,
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Hozir, bizning ko'pchiligimiz
07:58
the impact of augmented personal memory
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uchun rivojlangan shaxsiy xotira ta'siri
08:01
will be a more improved mental gain,
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yaxshilangan ruhiy yutuq bo'lardi.
08:04
maybe, hopefully, a bit more social grace.
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Ehtimol, bu ijtimoiy yutuq hamdir.
08:08
But for the millions who suffer from Alzheimer's and dementia,
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Lekin Altsgeymer va ruhiy kasalligiga uchragan millionlab odamlar uchun
08:15
the difference that augmented memory could make
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rivojlangan xotira ularning hayotiga o'zgarish
08:17
is a difference between a life of isolation
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kiritishi ular hayotidagi yolg'izlik, qadr-qimmat,
08:20
and a life of dignity and connection.
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hamda o'zaro aloqadagi o'zgarishdir.
08:23
We are in the middle of a renaissance in artificial intelligence right now.
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Biz hozir sun'iy intellektning renessans davri o'rtasida turibmiz.
08:30
I mean, in just the past few years,
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Ya'ni, o'tgan bir necha yil davomida
08:32
we're beginning to see solutions to AI problems
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biz yillar davomida kurashib kelayotgan
08:36
that we have struggled with literally for decades:
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SI muammolariga yechimni kuzatishimiz mumkin.
08:41
speech understanding, text understanding,
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Bu muammolar suhbatni anglash, yozuvni va rasmni
08:43
image understanding.
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fahmlashdan iborat edi.
08:45
We have a choice in how we use this powerful technology.
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Biz bunday kuchli texnologiyani qanday foydalanishni o'zimiz tanlashimiz mumkin.
08:51
We can choose to use AI to automate and compete with us,
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Biz SI ni bizni avtomatlashtirish va biz bilan raqobatlasha olishi,
08:55
or we can use AI to augment and collaborate with us,
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yoki undan bizni rivojlantirishi va biz bilan birga ishlashi uchun,
08:59
to overcome our cognitive limitations
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bizning kognitiv cheklovlarimizni yengish
09:03
and to help us do what we want to do,
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va biz qilayotgan ishni yaxshiroq bajarish maqsadida
09:06
only better.
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foydalanishimiz mumkin.
09:08
And as we discover new ways to give machines intelligence,
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Biz mashinalarga intellekt o'rnatishning yangi yo'llarini topganimiz sari,
09:14
we can distribute that intelligence
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ushbu intellektni sharoitidan qat'iy nazar,
09:17
to all of the AI assistants in the world,
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har bir ko'makdoshga muhtoj bo'lgan odamga
09:20
and therefore to every person, regardless of circumstance.
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yordam berishga hissamizni qo'shishimiz mumkin.
09:25
And that is why,
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Shuning uchun,
09:26
every time a machine gets smarter,
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har safar mashina aqlliroq bo'lgani sari
09:30
we get smarter.
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biz aqlliroq bo'lamiz.
09:32
That is an AI worth spreading.
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Shu sababli SI boshqalar bilan ulashishga arziydi.
09:36
Thank you.
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Rahmat.
09:37
(Applause)
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(Qarsaklar)
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