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翻译人员: Sabrina Wang
校对人员: Bruce Wang
00:07
The year is 2050 and your morning
is not off to a good start.
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这一年是 2050年,而你的早晨
却不是一个很好的开始。
00:14
School is closed for yet another heat day,
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学校又因为高温停课,
00:18
meaning the kids need to stay home
and the AC needs to stay on.
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意味着孩子们得待在家里,
空调也要一直开着。
00:24
Your usual babysitter can’t come help
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你平常的保姆不能来帮忙,
00:26
because the rails for their commuter train
were warped by the heat.
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因为高温把她通勤火车的铁轨
都烤变形了。
00:31
And to make matters worse,
your dog is desperate for a walk,
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更糟糕的是,
你的狗迫切希望散步,
00:35
but the pavement is hot enough
to give third degree burns
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但地面热得足以让任何
接触到它的爪子
00:39
to any paw or person that touches it.
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或是行人,烫出三度烧伤。
00:43
In many parts of the world,
this sweltering future is already here.
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在世界的许多地方,
这样炎热的未来已经成为现实。
00:49
On average, heat waves are happening
more often with greater intensity
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平均而言,热浪发生的频率
越来越高,强度越来越大,
00:55
and for longer durations.
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持续的时间也越来越长。
00:57
But according to a 2022 projection,
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但是根据2022年的预测,
01:00
by 2050, Earth’s mid-latitudes could be
experiencing extreme heat
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到2050年,地球中纬度地区
每年可能会经历
01:07
between 90 and 180 days a year,
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90到180天的极端高温,
01:10
with tropical regions enduring even more.
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热带地区的高温天数甚至更多。
01:14
So, how hot is too hot, and what can
people do to handle the heat?
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那么到底多热才算太热呢?
人们该如何应对高温呢?
01:20
While human bodies are decent
at managing temperature,
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虽然人体在调节体温方面还算不错,
01:23
our cooling mechanisms only work
under the right conditions.
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但我们的散热机制只能在
适当的条件下发挥作用。
01:28
When air temperatures climb,
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当气温升高时,
01:30
the hypothalamus tells blood vessels
near the skin to widen,
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下丘脑会告诉皮肤附近的血管扩张,
01:35
allowing more blood to flow near the
body's surface and release heat.
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让更多的血液流向
人体表面附近并释放热量。
01:41
This hormonal cascade also
turns on our sweat glands.
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这种荷尔蒙级联反应也会
激发我们的汗腺。
01:46
As sweat evaporates, it pulls
the heat from our skin.
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当汗水蒸发时,
它会从皮肤带走热量。
01:51
But if humidity is high, the rate of
evaporation slows and eventually stops.
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但是,如果湿度过高,
蒸发的速度会减慢并最终停止。
01:58
Scientists use this principle to track
humidity with a metric
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科学家们利用这一原理,
采用了一种指标来追踪湿度,
02:02
called wet-bulb temperature,
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把它叫做“湿球温度”。
02:05
in which they wrap a wet, room temperature
cloth around a thermometer
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他们用一块常温的湿布
包裹温度计,
02:10
to see if evaporation will
lower the reading.
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看蒸发是否会降低读数。
02:13
If it doesn't, it's too humid
for sweat to cool us off.
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如果没有降低,说明湿度太高,
汗水无法帮我们降温。
02:18
A wet-bulb temperature of roughly 35°C
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湿球温度大约达到35°C时,
02:23
is generally considered
the limit of human survival,
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会普遍被认为是人类生存的极限,
02:27
though current temperatures
rarely reach this threshold.
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尽管目前的气温很少达到这一极限。
02:32
The US National Weather Service uses
the relationship between humidity
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美国国家气象局使用
湿度和气温之间的关系
02:36
and air temperature as the basis
for their heat index.
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作为热指数的基础。
02:40
As those two metrics rise,
so too does the heat index;
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当这两个指标上升时,
热指数也会上升;
02:45
and heat is considered dangerous
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如果指数超过 39.4°C,
02:47
if the index climbs above 39.4°C.
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就被认为是危险高温。
02:53
That’s 103°F.
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这相当于 103 华氏度。
02:56
But even a lower heat index can
be hazardous over multiple days.
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但即便是较低的热指数,持续多天
也可能是有害的。
03:01
A heat wave is a streak of two or more
days of unusually hot weather
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热浪是指在某地某个季节
连续两天或以上
03:07
for a place and season.
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出现异常高温的天气。
03:09
For example, a string of 32°C days
in Houston, Texas,
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例如,在德克萨斯州的休斯顿,
32°C的连续高温
03:14
is standard in the summer,
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在夏季很常见,
03:16
but would constitute a heat wave in March.
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但如果出现在三月,
就是热浪的形成。
03:19
And the impact of these events touches
nearly every aspect of daily life.
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这些事件的影响几乎涉及到
日常生活的方方面面。
03:25
Imagine a June heat wave
strikes a tropical city.
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想象一下,一场六月的热浪
袭击了整个热带城市。
03:29
The first to experience effects
are outdoor workers.
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首先感受到影响的是户外工作者。
03:33
Their excessive sweating leads
to dehydration and muscle pain
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他们出汗过多会
导致脱水和肌肉疼痛,
03:38
known as heat cramps.
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也就是所谓的热痉挛。
03:40
If they push on,
their conditions could worsen
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如果他们继续扛下去,
情况可能会恶化
03:43
to heat exhaustion and even heat stroke—
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导致中暑,甚至是热射病 --
03:47
a life-threatening ailment that occurs
when a body’s temperature exceeds 40°C.
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这是一种当人体温度超过
40度时发生的危及生命的疾病。
03:53
Medical emergency calls
spike across the city,
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整个城市的医疗紧急电话激增,
03:57
often for children and people
who are pregnant or elderly.
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通常是为儿童、孕妇或老人拨打的。
04:02
The heat also increases hospital
visits for heart, kidney,
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高温还会增加因心脏、肾脏
04:07
and lung-related conditions,
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和肺部疾病而就诊的人数,
04:09
creating an influx of patients that
threatens to overwhelm medical providers.
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从而导致患者大量涌入,
让医务人员不堪重负。
04:15
Over the following week,
the city slows to a crawl.
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在接下来的一周里,
整个城市陷入停滞状态。
04:19
Schools and construction sites close.
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学校和建筑工地关闭。
04:23
Airplanes need to reduce
their weight limits to take off,
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飞机必须减少起飞时的重量限制,
04:28
bumping countless travelers
from their flights.
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导致无数旅客被迫取消航班。
04:31
Restaurants shut down as overheated
kitchens become unbearable.
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过热的厨房让人难以忍受,
餐馆纷纷停业。
04:38
Residents who remain inside
with air conditioners stay safe.
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在室内使用空调的居民
虽能保持安全,
04:43
But blasting AC isn’t cheap,
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但是老吹空调并不便宜,
04:46
and many families have to choose
between keeping cool and staying fed.
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许多家庭不得不在保持凉爽
和维持温饱之间做出选择。
04:51
Either way, if the heat continues,
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无论如何,如果高温持续下去,
04:54
the stress of these air conditioners
could overwhelm the power grid,
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大量使用空调所致的压力
可能会使电网不堪重负,
04:59
potentially leading to city-wide outages.
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甚至导致全城停电。
05:03
These consequences are all very real.
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这些后果都是非常真实的。
05:06
Each year, close to 500,000 people
die due to excessive heat,
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每年有近50万人死于过热,
05:12
and these extreme conditions
are only growing more common.
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而这些极端情况
正在变得越来越常见。
05:17
We can limit medical impacts by seeking
help for heat-related illnesses,
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我们可以通过寻求
与过热相关疾病的帮助、
05:23
staying hydrated,
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保持水分、
05:24
and keeping people cool
through public access to water and AC.
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以及通过使用公共供水、空调
让人们保持凉爽来控制疾病的影响。
05:30
But don’t let anyone tell you
1 to 2 degrees doesn’t matter.
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但不要让任何人告诉你1到2度的
高温变化无关紧要,
05:36
It will change our very way of life.
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它会彻底改变我们的生活方式。
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