How supply chain transparency can help the planet | Markus Mutz

79,469 views ・ 2020-02-14

TED


请双击下面的英文字幕来播放视频。

翻译人员: Archi Xiao 校对人员: Jiasi Hao
几乎在我们生活中的方方面面
00:13
In almost all aspects of our lives
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00:15
we have perfect information available instantaneously.
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我们都能立马 获得非常全面的信息。
我的手机能随时告诉我 我财务状况的一切,
00:20
My phone can tell me everything about my finances,
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00:23
where precisely I am on a map
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我现在处于地图上的什么精确位置
00:25
and the best way to my next destination,
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以及到下一个目的地的最佳路线,
00:27
all with a click of a button.
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一切都只需要轻点一次按钮。
00:30
But this availability of information and transparency
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但是当我们谈论消费者产品的时候,
00:33
almost completely disappears when it comes to consumer products.
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这种信息的可获得性和透明度 几乎消失不见。
00:38
If you go to the seafood counter at your local supermarket,
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如果你去当地超市的海鲜档口,
00:41
you can probably choose between several different types of fish.
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那里有多种不同类型的鱼供你选择。
00:45
But chances are, they won't be able to tell you
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但是很可能 没有人能告诉你
00:47
who caught the fish, where precisely it was caught,
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是谁捕的鱼,在哪里捕的鱼,
00:51
whether it is sustainable to catch it there
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在那里捕鱼 是否符合可持续性原则,
00:53
and how it got transported.
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以及鱼是怎样被运输到你眼前的。
这对于我们购买的 几乎所有东西都是一样的。
00:56
And that holds true for almost everything we buy.
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每一罐汤,
00:59
Every can of soup,
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01:00
every piece of meat, every T-shirt.
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每一块肉,每一件 T 恤。
01:03
We as humans, right now,
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作为人类的我们,此时此刻,
01:05
are destroying the only thing we really need to survive:
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正在一点点破坏 我们赖以生存的唯一的东西:
我们的星球。
01:09
our planet.
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01:10
And most of the horrible problems that we're facing today,
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我们目前所面临的 最可怕的问题,
01:13
like climate change
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比如气候变化
01:14
and modern slavery in supply chains,
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还有供应链上的现代奴役,
01:17
come down to decisions.
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都归咎于我们所做的决定。
01:19
Human decisions to produce something one way and not another.
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当制造商选择了某种方式, 而非另一种方式生产。
01:24
And that's how we, as consumers,
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这就是为什么 作为消费者的我们
01:27
end up making decisions that harm the planet
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最终在产品选择上 做出了错误的决定,
于是伤害了我们的星球,
01:30
or our fellow humans.
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01:31
By choosing the wrong products.
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或我们的人类同伴。
但是我不愿意相信 在座任何人,
01:35
But I refuse to believe that anybody here in this room,
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01:38
or frankly, anybody on this planet,
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或更坦白地说, 这个地球上的任何人,
01:40
really wants to buy a product
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如果让他自由选择 自己真正想要的产品,
01:42
that harms the planet or our fellow humans
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他会真的选择购买一个
能伤害这个星球 或人类同伴的产品。
01:46
if given the choice.
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01:48
But you see, choice is a loaded word.
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但是你看, 选择是一个很沉重的词。
01:50
Choice means there's another option.
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选择意味着还有另一个选项。
选择意味着你能负担得起那个选项。
01:53
Choice means you can afford that option.
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但是选择也意味着
01:56
But choice also means
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01:57
you have enough information to make an informed decision.
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你有足够的信息并且 经过充分思考后做出的决定。
02:01
And that information nowadays simply just doesn't exist.
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而现在我们面临的问题是 这样的信息根本不存在。
02:06
Or at least it's really, really hard to access.
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或者说获取信息的渠道 少之又少。
02:11
But I think this is about to change.
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但我认为这一切即将出现转机。
02:13
Because we can use technology to solve this information problem.
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因为我们可以使用科学技术 来解决这个信息问题。
02:17
And many of the specific technologies that we need to do that
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解决这个问题我们所需的 很多特定的技术
02:20
have become better and cheaper over the recent years,
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近年来变得更加先进, 价格也变得可以接受,
02:24
and are now ready to be used at scale.
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而且已经进入 可以投入大规模应用的阶段。
02:27
So, over the past two years,
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在过去的两年里,
02:28
my team and I have been working
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我们团队和 世界上最大的保护组织之一
02:30
with one of the world's largest conservation organizations, WWF,
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世界自然基金会(WWF)合作,
02:34
and we've founded a company called OpenSC,
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共同创立了一家 名为 OpenSC 的公司,
02:38
where SC stands for supply chain.
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其中 SC 为 供应链(Supply Chain)的缩写。
02:41
And we believe that by using technology
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我们相信:通过技术
我们可以帮助建立起
02:44
we can help to create
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02:47
transparency and traceability in supply chains,
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供应链的透明性和可追溯性,
02:50
and through that, help to completely revolutionize
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随后能彻底颠覆
02:54
the way that we buy and also produce products as humans.
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人们购买乃至生产产品的方式。
03:00
Now, some of this is going to sound a little bit like science fiction,
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有些构思听起来 有点像科幻片中的场景,
03:04
but it's already happening.
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但是这确确实实在发生。
03:06
Let me explain.
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我来解释一下吧。
03:08
So, in order to solve this information problem,
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为了解决这个信息的问题,
03:10
we need to do three things:
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我们需要做三件事:
03:12
verify, trace and share.
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查核,追溯以及共享。
03:15
Verify specific sustainability
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利用基于数据的自动化方法
03:19
and ethical production claims
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来查核特定的可持续性
03:21
in a data-based and automated way.
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以及伦理生产主张。
然后在那些单个实体产品的供应链上
03:24
Then trace those individual physical products
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03:26
throughout their supply chains,
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追溯其源头及去向。
03:28
and finally, share that information with consumers
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最后和消费者共享这些信息,
03:31
in a way that truly gives them a choice
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把选择权真正交给他们,
让他们可以作出 符合自己价值取向的
03:34
and lets them make consumption decisions
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03:36
that are more aligned with their values.
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消费决策。
03:38
I'm going to use a real product
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接下来我要用一个 我们已经在供应链上
03:42
and a supply chain where we've made all of this a reality already:
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已经实现这一设想的 一款的产品来作进一步说明:
03:46
a Patagonian toothfish,
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南极银鳕鱼,
03:48
or Chilean sea bass, as it's called in the US.
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在美国我们叫它“智利黑鲈”。
第一步,查核。
03:51
Number one, verify.
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03:53
Verify how something is produced.
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查核其生产方式。
03:56
But not just by saying, "Trust me, this is good,
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并非全凭口头承诺 “相信我,这货真不错,
03:59
trust me, we've done all the right things,"
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相信我, 我们的生产没有一点问题”,
04:01
but by producing evidence for that individual physical product,
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而是凭借每个单位 实体产品的生产证明,
04:05
and the way it was produced.
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以及其生产方式。
04:07
By producing evidence
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依靠是符合特定的可持续性 及伦理生产主张的
04:09
for a specific sustainability or ethical production claim.
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生产证明。
04:12
So for example, in the case of the fish,
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就拿这银鳕鱼举个例子,
04:15
has this fish been caught in an area where there's enough of them,
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捕获这条鱼的海域里 鱼苗是否充足?
04:19
so that it's sustainable to catch it there
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也就是说在那里捕鱼 是否符合可持续性原则?
04:21
and not in a marine protected area?
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而不是在一个 受保护的海域里捕鱼?
04:24
So what we're doing here
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我们所做的是
04:25
is we're taking almost real-time GPS data from the ship --
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从正在捕鱼的渔船上
获取近乎实时的定位数据,
04:29
the ship that's fishing --
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04:31
and that tells us where the ship is
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这些数据告诉我们船的位置、
04:33
and where it's going at what speed.
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船速,以及船的去向。
接着我们可以把这 和其他类型的数据结合在一起,
04:36
And we can then combine that with other types of data,
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04:39
like, for example, how deep the sea floor is.
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例如海底深度。
结合这些信息之后,
04:42
And combining all of this information,
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04:44
our machine-learning algorithms can then verify, in an automated way,
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我们的机器学习算法 就能进行自动查核
04:48
whether the ship is only fishing where it's supposed to, or not.
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这艘船是否 仅在规定的海域里捕鱼。
04:53
And as sensors become cheaper,
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随着传感器的价格下降,
04:56
we can put them in more places.
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我们可以安装更多的传感器。
04:58
And that means we can capture more data,
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这意味着 我们可以获取更多数据。
05:00
and combining that with advancements in data science,
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再结合数据科学的发展,
05:03
it means that we can now verify
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这也就意味着我们现在可以
以自动、实时,且持续的方式
05:07
specific sustainability and ethical production claims
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核查特定的可持续性及伦理生产主张。
05:11
in an automated, real-time and ongoing manner.
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05:15
And that really lays the basis for this information revolution.
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而这正好为供应链的信息革命 奠定了基础。
05:19
So, number two, trace.
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第二步,追溯。
05:21
Trace those individual physical products,
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追溯那些单个实体产品,
05:24
so that we can truly say
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以至于我们可以拍着胸脯说
05:26
that the claim that we've verified about a certain product
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消费者面前的这个产品
05:29
actually belongs to that individual product
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和我们已经查核过的产品信息
05:32
that we as consumers have right in front of us.
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是对得上号的。
因为如果没有 该等级追溯工作的支持,
05:35
Because without that level of traceability,
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05:38
all that we've really verified in the first place
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我们第一步所做的 所有查核工作将白费——
05:41
is that somebody, somewhere, at some point
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也就是谁,在哪里,什么时候
用可持续的方式捕过一条鱼,
05:44
caught a fish in a sustainable way,
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05:46
or didn't harm the employee when asking them to produce a T-shirt,
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或者生产一件 T 恤的时候 并没有对员工造成伤害,
05:51
or didn't use pesticides when growing a vegetable that didn't actually need it.
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或者没有对蔬菜 使用毫无必要的杀虫剂。
05:57
Only if I give a product an identity from the start
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只有当我从源头开始 就赋予一个产品一个身份,
06:01
and then trace it throughout the whole supply chain,
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并且在整条供应链上 追踪它,
它的可持续性、伦理生产主张,
06:04
can this claim and the value that's been created
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06:07
by producing it in the right way
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以及通过正确方式生产 所创造的价值
才是真实存在的。
06:10
truly stay with it.
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06:13
Now, I've talked about cheaper sensors.
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我刚刚谈及的价格变低的传感器。
06:16
There are many other technological developments
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其实还有很多其他的技术
06:18
that make all of this much more possible today than every before.
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为眼前的这些想法创造了 前所未有的可能性。
06:22
For example, the falling costs of tags.
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举个例子,变低的标签成本。
06:26
You give a product a name,
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当你赋予一个产品一个名字、
06:29
a serial number, an identity,
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一个序列号、一个身份,
06:31
the tag is its passport.
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这个标签就是它的通行证。
这里你看到的是 一条被捕的银鳕鱼。
06:34
What you can see here is a toothfish being caught.
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06:37
This is what's called a longline fishery,
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这是一种被称为 ”延绳钓“的捕鱼方式,
06:39
so the fish are coming up onto the boat on individual hooks.
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这些鱼通过单独的鱼钩被拉上船。
一旦鱼被捕上船,
06:44
And as soon as the fish is on board,
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06:46
it is killed, and then after that,
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就会被处理,紧接着,
06:48
we insert a small tag into the fish's flesh.
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我们会把一个小小的标签 放进鱼肉里。
在那个标签里,是一个 带有独特序列号的 RFID 芯片,
06:52
And in that tag, there is an RFID chip with a unique serial number,
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06:56
and that tag follows the fish throughout the whole supply chain
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在整条供应链的每个环节里, 这个标签会一直跟着这条鱼,
06:59
and makes it really easy to sense its presence
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无论在哪个港口、哪辆货车, 还是在哪个加工厂,
07:01
at any port, on any truck or in any processing plant.
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标签会让人很容易感受到 这些鱼的存在。
07:05
But consumers can't really read RFID tags.
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但是消费者并不能读取 RFID 标签。
07:08
And so, when it comes to filleting and packaging the fish,
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所以到切块和打包的环节,
07:12
we read the RFID tag and then remove it.
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我们读取 RFID 标签, 后并取走它们。
07:15
And then we add a unique QR code to the packaging of the fish.
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接着在这条鱼的包装上 贴上独有的二维码。
07:20
And that QR code then points back to the same information
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这个二维码所含的信息 和之前标签的一样——
07:24
that we've verified about the fish in the first place.
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那是已经经过查核的信息。
07:29
And so, depending on the type of product that we're working with,
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也就是说 根据我们需要处理的产品类型,
07:32
we may use QR codes, bar codes, RFID tags
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我们可以使用二维码、 条形码、 RFID 标签,
07:36
or other tag technologies.
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或者其他标签技术。
07:38
But there are also technologies
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但是也有一些其他技术
07:40
that are at the brink of large-scale breakthrough
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可能将会取得大规模突破,
从而淘汰这些标签技术。
07:43
that make tags themselves obsolete.
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07:45
Like, for example,
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比如说,
07:46
analyzing a product for trace elements
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分析一个产品的 各类追溯信息的元素,
07:49
that can then tell you quite accurately where it is actually from.
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这些信息可以相较准确地 告诉你产品的来源地。
还有区块链技术。
07:53
Then there's blockchain.
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07:54
A decentralized technology can act as a catalyst for this revolution.
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这种去中心式技术可以 催化这场革命。
07:59
Because it can help mitigate some of the trust issues
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因为它可以缓解
人们提供信息时必会产生的 一些信用问题,
08:03
that are inherent to giving people information
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08:06
and then asking them to change their consumption behavior
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接着基于这些信息,
08:09
because of that information.
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建议人们改变自己的消费行为。
08:12
And so, we use blockchain technology
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我们也可以利用区块链技术
08:14
where it adds value to what we're doing.
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为我们目前的工作进行增加价值。
更重要的是,
08:18
But importantly,
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08:19
we don't let the limitations that this technology still has today,
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我们不再让目前的技术限制,
08:22
like, for example, with regards to scaling,
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例如就规模化而言的 技术限制,
08:24
we don't let that stand in our way.
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阻挠我们前进的步伐。
08:26
And that brings us to the third point.
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这也就引出第三步。
共享。
08:29
Share.
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08:30
How to share the information that we've verified and tracked
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如何共享我们经过核查 并追溯的信息?
08:34
about where a product is from, how it was produced
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关于产地和生产方式的信息?
08:37
and how it got to where it is?
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以及物流信息?
08:39
How to share this information
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根据产品的不同,
08:41
is really different from product to product.
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以及购买场景的不同,
08:44
And different from where you buy it.
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信息共享的方式不尽相同。
08:46
You behave differently in those situations.
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在不同的场景下, 你的行为会存在差异。
08:49
You are stressed and time-poor in the supermarket.
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比如说在超市里的你 精神紧张,缺乏时间。
或者在餐桌上心猿意马,
08:53
Or with short attention span over dinner,
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08:55
because your date is so cute.
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因为你的约会对象是那么地迷人。
08:57
Or you are critical and inquisitive
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或者在网上 购买高金额商品时,
09:00
when researching for a larger purchase online.
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你往往很警惕,问题很多。
09:04
And so for our fish,
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对于我们的银鳕鱼,
09:06
we've developed a digital experience
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我们构建了一套数字化体验——
09:09
that works when buying the fish in a freezer in a fish specialty store
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你从店铺的冰柜中 拿出并购买这条银鳕鱼时,
你可以获取到有关这条鱼 及其生产历程的所有信息。
09:15
and that gives you all of the information about the fish and its journey.
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09:18
But we also worked with a restaurant
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同时我们也和餐馆合作
09:21
and developed a different digital experience
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构建另一套不同的数字化体验——
09:24
that only summarizes the key facts about the fish and its journey,
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仅仅总结了这条鱼 及其生产历程的关键信息,
09:28
and works better in a dinner setting
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更符合就餐的场景,
09:30
and, hopefully, there doesn't annoy your date too much.
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也希望不会打扰到你的 约会对象。
这就形成了一个完整的闭环。
09:34
Now, that brings us full circle.
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09:36
We've verified that the fish was caught
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我们查核这条鱼被捕的环境
09:39
in an area where it's sustainable to do so.
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是否符合可持续性原则。
09:42
We've then traced it throughout the entire supply chain
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接着在整条供应链上追溯它,
09:45
to maintain its identity and all the information that's attached to it.
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以保留它的身份及所有相关信息。
09:49
And then, we've shared that information with consumers
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然后和消费者共享这些信息,
好让他们可以选择,
09:52
in a way that gives them a choice
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09:53
and lets them make consumption decisions
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而且是让他们可以做出
更符合自己价值取向的 消费决策。
09:56
that are more in line with their values.
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09:59
Now, for this fish example, this is already rolled out at scale.
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这个银鳕鱼的案例 已经进入规模化实施阶段了。
10:03
This season,
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这个季度,
10:04
the entire fleet of the world's largest toothfish fishing company,
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世界上最大的银鳕鱼公司的 一整支捕鱼队,
10:08
Austral Fisheries,
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南方渔业(Austral Fisheries),
10:09
is tagging every single fish that they catch
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在每一条他们捕的鱼上 都添置了标签,
10:12
and that ends up in their premium branded "Glacier 51" product.
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最终会出现在他们的高端品牌 ”冰河51号“的产品里。
10:17
And you can already buy this fish.
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你已经可以在市面上买到这些鱼了。
10:19
And with it, you can have all of the information I talked about today,
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有了这个标签,你可以获得 我今天提到的所有信息,
10:23
and much more,
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附在你可能购买的每一条鱼
10:24
attached to each individual fish or portion of the fish that you may buy.
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或者每一块鱼肉上的 更多信息。
10:30
But this is not a fish or seafood thing.
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这不仅仅是针对鱼类或者海鲜的方案。
10:34
We're working on many, many different commodities and products
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我们还在开发更多的、 针对不同商品和产品的,
10:37
and their supply chains across the globe.
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及其全球供应链的方案。
10:40
From dairy to fruit and vegetables,
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从乳制品到蔬果,
10:42
to nonfood products made out of wood.
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再到木制非食物制品。
10:45
As a consumer, all of this may sound like a huge burden,
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对于一名消费者来说, 这一切听起来好像是一个巨大的包袱,
10:50
because you don't have time to look at all of this information
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因为你每一次买东西,
10:53
every time you buy something.
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并不是都有时间 去看这么庞大的信息。
10:56
And I don't expect you to,
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我也不希望你这么做,
因为你将不需要靠自己完成。
10:58
because you'll have help with that.
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在未来,我们会把购买产品的决策
11:01
In the future, we'll leave the decision of which specific product to buy
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11:06
increasingly up to machines.
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更多地交给机器。
11:08
An algorithm will know enough about you
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交给一个非常懂你的算法
来为你做决策。
11:11
to make those decisions for you, so you don't have to.
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11:15
And maybe it will even do a better job at it.
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说不定它甚至有出色的表现。
11:18
In a recent study, 85 percent of those
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在最近的研究中,
11:20
buying a product through a virtual assistant
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通过虚拟助理来购买产品的 85% 的消费者说,
11:23
said that they, on occasion,
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他们偶尔
11:25
actually went with the top product recommendation
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会直接采纳虚拟助理的推荐
进行购买,
11:28
of that virtual assistant,
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11:29
rather than the specific product or brand
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而不是选择一开始他们奔着去的
11:31
that they set out to buy in the first place.
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某个产品或者品牌。
你只需要说你想要厕纸,
11:34
You just say you need toilet paper,
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那么将会有个算法 来决定哪个品牌、什么价位,
11:36
it's then an algorithm that decides which brand, price point
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11:40
or whether you go with recycled or not.
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或者你喜不喜欢再生纸。
11:43
Well, nowadays this is usually based on what you bought in the past,
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现在的这些算法通常 建立在你过往的购买行为之上,
11:47
or whoever pays the most to the company behind the virtual assistant.
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或是建立在那些通过虚拟助理 给企业带来最大营收的人群之上。
11:52
But why shouldn't that be also based on your values?
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那基于你价值取向的算法 又有何不可?
11:57
Knowing that you want to buy planet-friendly
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知道你想要购买有益于地球的产品
12:00
and knowing whether and how much you're willing and able to pay for that.
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知道你购买欲和购买力有多强,
12:05
Now, that will make it easy and seamless,
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将会使一切变得简单 且无缝衔接起来,
12:09
but still based on granular effects and data
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但这仍然 基于颗粒效应和数据
12:11
to choose the right products.
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来选择正确的产品。
12:13
Not by necessarily doing it yourself
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不一定需要你亲力亲为
12:15
but by asking an algorithm
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只需通过询问算法,
这个明白你有多关心这个星球的算法。
12:18
that knows how much you care about this planet.
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12:21
Not by necessarily doing it yourself
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不一定需要你亲力亲为
12:23
but by asking an algorithm
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只需通过询问算法,
12:25
that is never time-poor or distracted,
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这个永远不会 没时间、不在状态,
12:29
or with short attention span because of the cute date,
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且因为你迷人的约会对象, 仅需要很少注意力的算法。
12:33
and that knows how much you care about this planet
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这个算法知道 你有多么关心这个星球
12:36
and the people living on it,
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以及居住在这个星球上的人,
12:37
by asking that algorithm to look at all of that information for you
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只需要让这个算法 帮你看看所有产品信息
12:41
and to decide for you.
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然后帮你做决策。
12:44
If we have reliable and trustworthy information like that
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如果我们拥有 这样可靠且可信的信息,
12:48
and the right systems that make use of it,
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以及能利用这些信息的 正确的系统,
消费者可以支持 那些行正确之事的人,
12:51
consumers will support those who are doing the right thing
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12:54
by producing products in a sustainable and ethical way.
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支持他们采用可持续性的, 符合伦理的生产方式。
12:58
They will support them every time
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每一次选购他们的产品
13:00
by choosing their goods over others.
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就是对于他们的支持和肯定。
也就意味着优良的 产品制造商、加工商和零售商
13:04
And that means that good producers and processors and retailers
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都会得到嘉奖。
13:09
will get rewarded.
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13:10
And bad actors will be forced to adjust their practices
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而居心不良的从业者 将会被迫调整自己的作为,
13:14
or get out of business.
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或者被淘汰出局。
13:17
And we need that.
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这正是我们所需要的。
如果我们希望继续 在这个美丽的星球上共存,
13:19
If we want to continue to live together on this beautiful planet,
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13:22
we really need it.
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我们真的需要这样的改变。
13:24
Thank you.
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谢谢大家。
13:25
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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