3 ways to upgrade democracy for the 21st century | Max Rashbrooke

61,331 views ・ 2021-02-25

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00:00
Transcriber:
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譯者: 至磊Zi Le 黃Ng 審譯者: Helen Chang
(毛利語)各位好。
我今天想和你們討論民主,
討論它正面臨的挑戰,
還有這房間裡的我們 全都可能是其解方。
00:13
(Māori) Kia ora koutou, everyone.
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00:16
I want to you today about democracy,
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但在我們進到主題之前,
我想先繞點彎路,討論過去的事。
00:20
about the struggles that it's experiencing,
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這是一張雅典的照片,
00:23
and the fact that all of us together in this room
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更精確地說,這是普尼克斯的照片,
00:26
might be the solution.
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00:28
But before I get onto that,
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大約兩千五百年前
00:30
I want to take a little detour into the past.
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古希臘人、古雅典人聚集於此,
00:34
This is a picture from Athens,
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共同做出重大的政治決定。
00:37
or more specifically, it's a picture of a place called the Pnyx,
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我說古雅典人,
但實際上只包括男人。
00:41
which is where, about two and a half thousand years ago,
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其實只有自由、定居、 擁有財產的男人。
00:44
the ancient Greeks, the ancient Athenians,
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00:46
gathered to take all their major political decisions together.
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但儘管有這些缺點,
這仍是個革命性的想法:
00:51
I say the ancient Athenians.
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平民可以解決當時最重要的議題,
00:52
In fact, it was only the men.
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00:55
Actually, it was only the free, resident, property-owning men.
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不必依賴一位高高在上的統治者。
01:00
But with all those failings,
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你知道,這是一種做事情的方法,
01:02
it was still a revolutionary idea:
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01:03
that ordinary people were capable of dealing
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這是一種政治體系,
01:06
with the biggest issues of the time
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你可以說這是一種適合 那個時代的民主制度。
01:08
and didn't need to rely on a single supposedly superior ruler.
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時間快轉到十九世紀,
01:13
It was, you know, it was a way of doing things,
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民主來到另一個蓬勃發展的時機,
01:15
it was a political system.
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當時他們所使用的 民主制度是代議民主。
01:18
It was, you could say, a democratic technology appropriate to the time.
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01:24
Fast-forward to the 19th century
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你必須選出一夥人——
01:26
when democracy was having another flourishing moment
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男人,在這張照片裡都是男人, 在那個時代是理所當然——
01:29
and the democratic technology that they were using then
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01:33
was representative democracy.
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你必須選出他們守護你的最佳利益。
01:36
The idea that you have to elect a bunch of people --
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如果你考慮到當時的情況,
01:40
gentlemen, in the picture here, all gentlemen, at the time, of course --
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不可能實體地聚集所有人,
當然也沒有虛擬地 聚集所有人的方法,
01:45
you had to elect them to look after your best interests.
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這又是一種適合 那個時代的民主制度。
01:49
And if you think about the conditions of the time,
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01:52
the fact that it was impossible to gather everybody together physically,
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再度快轉到二十一世紀。
01:56
and of course they didn’t have the means to gather everyone together virtually,
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全世界都知道我們生活於 民主的災難之中。
02:00
it was again a kind of democratic technology
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我稱之為代議民主的災難,
02:03
appropriate to the time.
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人們開始不愛用這個制度
02:06
Fast-forward again to the 21st century.
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把事情給完成,
認為這根本不可行。
02:09
And we're living through what's internationally known
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02:11
as the crisis of democracy.
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我們看到這個災難 在各國有不同的形式。
02:13
What I would call the crisis of representative democracy,
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在英國,
02:16
the sense that people are falling out of love with this
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你看到一個國家有時幾乎無法治理。
02:18
as a way of getting things done,
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02:20
that it's not fundamentally working.
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在匈牙利和土耳其這些地方,
02:24
And we see this crisis take many forms in many different countries.
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可怕的是專制的領導者被選了出來。
02:27
So in the UK,
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在紐西蘭,
02:29
you see a country that now at times looks almost ungovernable.
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我們看到將近一百萬人
可以在最近一次大選投票,
02:34
In places like Hungary and Turkey,
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但他們決定不投。
02:36
you see very frighteningly authoritarian leaders being elected.
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這些各種困難、
02:40
In places like New Zealand,
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各種形式的民主災難 當然有很多根源,
02:42
we see it in the nearly one million people
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但對我而言其中最重大的
02:44
who could have voted at the last general election,
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是我們沒有升級民主制度。
02:47
but who chose not to.
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我們目前仍太依賴繼承自 十九和二十世紀的制度。
02:50
Now these kinds of struggles,
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02:52
these sort of crises of democracy have many roots, of course,
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02:55
but for me, one of the biggest ones
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我們知道這點, 因為在一次次調查中,
02:57
is that we haven't upgraded our democratic technology.
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眾人告訴我們:
「我們不覺得我們有公平的決策權,
03:01
We're still far too reliant on the systems
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03:03
that we inherited from the 19th and from the 20th century.
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決定發生在其他地方。」
03:07
And we know this because in survey after survey
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他們說:「我們不覺得 現在的體系和我們的政府
03:10
people tell us, they say,
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真的有實現共同利益,
03:12
“We don’t think that we’re getting a fair share of decision-making power,
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也就是我們身為公民 應享有的利益。」
他們說:「我們比以前 更不畢恭畢敬,
03:17
decisions happen somewhere else."
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03:19
They say, “We don’t think the current systems
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我們比以前要求得更多,
03:21
and our government
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我們比以前更想要
03:23
genuinely deliver on the common good,
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參與影響我們的重大政治決策。」
03:25
the interests that we share as citizens."
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03:27
They say, “We’re much less deferential than ever before,
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他們知道我們的民主體系跟不上
03:31
and we expect more than ever before,
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03:33
and we want more than ever before
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二十一世紀的期望和潛能。
03:35
to be engaged in the big political decisions that affect us.”
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對我而言,這代表我們需要 對民主體系進行顯著的升級。
03:40
And they know
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03:41
that our systems of democracy have just not kept pace
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03:45
with either the expectations
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03:47
or the potential of the 21st century.
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這不代表我們要拋棄 現有體系中的一切,
03:51
And for me, what that suggests
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因為我們永遠需要民意代表
03:53
is that we need a really significant upgrade of our systems of democracy.
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執行現代世界某些複雜的工作。
但這確實代表要跟雅典更像一點,
03:59
That doesn't mean we throw out everything that's working about the current system,
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少一點維多利亞時代的英國。
04:03
because we will always need representatives
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這也表示一大步轉移,
04:06
to carry out some of the complex work of running the modern world.
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轉往所謂的日常民主。
04:10
But it does mean a bit more Athens
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其之所以得名,
是因為這是要找到方法, 讓人民離民主更近,
04:14
and a bit less Victorian England.
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04:16
And it also means a big shift towards what's generally called
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給我們更多有意義的機會參與其中,
讓我們感覺到我們不只在 數年一次的投票日是政府的一部分,
04:21
everyday democracy.
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04:24
And it gets this name
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04:25
because it's about finding ways of bringing democracy closer to people,
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其他的每一天也都是。
04:29
giving us more meaningful opportunities to be involved in it,
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日常民主有兩項關鍵的特質,
04:32
giving us a sense that we're not just part of government
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根據我做過的研究, 我看見它們屢次證明其價值,
04:35
on one day, every few years when we vote,
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04:38
but we're part of it every other day of the year.
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第一點是參與,
因為唯有身為公民的我們
04:42
Now that everyday democracy has two key qualities
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盡可能地參與會影響我們的決策,
04:46
that I've seen prove their worth time and again,
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04:49
in the research that I've done.
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才能夠得到我們需要的政治生態,
04:51
The first is participation
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04:53
because it's only if we as citizens,
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才能夠實現我們的共同利益。
04:56
as much as possible,
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第二個重要的特質是商議。
04:58
get involved in the decisions that affect us,
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這是高品質公共討論的花俏說法,
05:02
that we'll actually get the kind of politics that we need,
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因為人們參與固然好,
05:05
that we'll actually get our common good served.
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但唯有我們聚在一起並互相傾聽,
05:09
The second important quality is deliberation.
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舉出佐證,仔細地思考自己的意見,
05:13
And that's just a fancy way of saying high-quality public discussion,
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05:16
because its all very well people participating,
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我們才能確實地 將智慧和想法搬上檯面,
05:20
but it's only when we come together and we listen to each other,
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而非分散和孤立地處在 我們這個群體之中。
05:24
we engage with the evidence, and reflect on our own views,
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只有在這個時候群體 才會真正比個人聰明。
05:28
that we genuinely bring to the surface the wisdom and the ideas
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如果我們問說這個抽象的點子,
05:32
that would otherwise remain scattered and isolated
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亦即日常民主實行起來會是如何,
05:36
amongst us as a group.
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好消息是我們不需要憑空想像,
05:38
It's only then that the crowd really becomes smarter than the individual.
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因為這些事情已經發生於世界各地。
05:43
So if we ask what could this abstract idea,
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05:45
this everyday democracy actually look like in practice,
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我最喜歡的名言之一來自 科幻小說作家威廉‧吉布森,
05:49
the great thing is we don't even have to use our imaginations
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他曾說:「未來已經來了, 只是尚未均質地傳播至各處。」
05:52
because these things are already happening in pockets around the world.
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我對這尚未均質傳播的未來很興奮,
05:57
One of my favorite quotes comes from the science fiction writer,
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所以我要和你們分享 與其相關的三件事情,
06:00
William Gibson, who once said,
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06:01
"The future's already here,
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06:03
it's just unevenly spread."
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談論我們研究的民主升級。
06:06
So what I want to do is share with you three things
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潛在的民主升級的三個要素。
06:11
from this unevenly spread future that I'm really excited about
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第一個是公民議會。
06:15
in terms of upgrading the system of democracy that we work with.
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這個點子是政府 和民調公司簽訂契約,
06:20
Three components of that potential democratic upgrade.
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選出例如一百位公民,
06:25
And the first of them is the citizens assembly.
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使其完美地代表整個國家。
06:29
And the idea here is that a polling company is contracted by government
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完美地代表各年齡、 姓別、種族、收入階級等。
06:34
to draw up, say, a hundred citizens
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將這些人聚在一起 幾個週末或一個星期,
06:38
who are perfectly representative of the country as a whole.
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支付他們酬勞,
06:41
So perfectly representative in terms of age, gender,
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請他們討論一個對公眾 至關重要的議題。
06:44
ethnicity, income level and so on.
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他們被訓練
06:47
And these people are brought together over a period of weekends or a week,
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如何好好地彼此討論議題,
從在網路上爭執的經驗, 我們當然都知道
06:51
paid for their time
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06:53
and asked to discuss an issue of crucial public importance.
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若無處練習,
這不是我們與生俱來的能力,
06:57
They're given training
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很令人沮喪。
06:59
on how to discuss issues well with each other,
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在公民議會中,
07:01
which we'll all know of course, from our experiences of arguing online,
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人們要提出證據或專家的說法,
他們會有時間與同胞 深入探討該議題,
07:05
if nowhere else,
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07:07
is not an ability that we're all born with innately,
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07:09
more’s the pity.
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達成一致的意見。
07:12
In the citizens assembly,
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07:13
people are also put in front of evidence and the experts,
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這種議會已經在加拿大獲得使用,
07:16
and they're given time to discuss the issue deeply
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用來為整個國家草擬一份新的 心理健康的全國行動計畫。
07:19
with their fellow citizens
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07:21
and come to a state of consensus recommendations.
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最近公民議會也被使用於墨爾本,
07:26
So these kinds of assemblies have been used in places like Canada,
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為全市新的十年財政計畫奠定基礎。
07:29
where they were used to draw up
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07:31
a new national action plan on mental health
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07:34
for the whole country.
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所以這些議會可以 真的有實權和份量。
07:37
A citizens assembly was used recently in Melbourne
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第二個民主升級的關鍵元素:
07:40
to basically lay the foundation
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07:42
of a new 10-year financial plan for the whole city.
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參與式預算。
這個點子是地方議會或市議會
07:46
So these assemblies can have real teeth, real weight.
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拿出用在新建築和新服務的預算,
07:51
The second key element of the democratic upgrade:
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並說:
07:54
participatory budgeting.
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我們會把這一堆資金交由公眾決定,
07:57
The idea here is that a local council or a city council
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但你們必須先彼此 謹慎地討論此議題。
08:01
takes its budget for spending on new buildings, new services,
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這個過程從街坊鄰居的層級開始。
08:05
and says,
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08:06
we're going to put a chunk of this up for the public to decide,
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請人在社區大樓、籃球場一起開會,
08:09
but only after you've argued the issues over carefully with each other.
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達成妥協,
說:「我們要把錢花在新的健康中心
08:16
And so the process starts at the neighborhood level.
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還是用來改善本地道路的安全性?」
08:19
You have people meeting together in community halls, in basketball courts,
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人們發揮各自在生活中的專長。
08:24
making the trade-offs,
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這些討論接著會提升到 市郊或市區的層級,
08:27
saying, "Well, are we going to spend that money on a new health center,
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08:30
or are we going to spend it on safety improvements to a local road?"
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然後再到市的層級,
最後經過整個公眾的檢視,
08:34
People using their expertise in their own lives.
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社會大眾自己決定預算的最終分配。
08:37
Those discussions are then pushed up to the suburb or ward level,
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在參與式預算的發源地,
巴西的阿雷格里港,
08:42
and then again, to the city level
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其擁有大約一百萬名居民,
08:45
and in full view of the public,
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每年有五萬人可參與此過程。
08:47
the public themselves makes the final allocation of that budget.
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08:51
And in the city where this all originated,
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第三項升級的元素:
08:53
Porto Alegre in Brazil,
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線上共識形成。
08:56
a place with about a million inhabitants,
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08:58
as many as 50,000 people get engaged in that process every year.
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幾年前在臺灣, 優步叫車服務剛進入市場,
09:03
The third element of the upgrade:
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政府立即展開線上討論的過程,
09:06
online consensus forming.
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利用一個叫 Polis 的軟體,
這也恰巧或不恰巧地是
09:10
In Taiwan a few years ago, when Uber arrived on their shores,
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古雅典人做出集體決定時的自稱。
09:15
the government immediately launched an online discussion process
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Polis 的運作方式是 將人們組合在一起,
09:19
using a piece of software called Polis,
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09:21
which is also coincidentally, or not coincidentally,
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接著利用機器學習 和很多其他的技術,
09:25
what the ancient Athenians call themselves
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鼓勵參與者進行良好的討論。
09:27
when they were making their collective decisions.
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它允許人們提出提案, 然後獲得討論,
09:29
And the way Polis works is it groups people together,
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退回,修正,
09:34
and then using machine learning and a bunch of other techniques,
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直到達成百分之八十的共識。
09:37
it encourages good discussion amongst those participating.
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在當時的這個例子,於大約四週內,
09:40
It allows them to put up proposals, which are then discussed,
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這個過程產生了六項提議,
09:44
knocked back, refined,
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反映人們希望如何管制優步。
09:47
until they reach something like 80 percent consensus.
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那些建議幾乎全部立即被政府採用,
09:50
And in the time, in this case, within about four weeks,
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並獲得優步的接受。
09:53
this process had yielded six recommendations
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09:56
for how people wanted to see Uber regulated.
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我覺得這些案例非常鼓舞人心。
09:59
And those, almost all of them,
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別人有時會問我為什麼這麼樂觀,
10:01
were immediately picked up by the government
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而答案很大一部分是因為這些創新,
10:04
and accepted by Uber.
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因為你知道,我認為它們確實展現出
10:08
Now I find these examples really inspiring.
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政治可以積極回應公民需求,
10:12
People sometimes ask me why I'm an optimist
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10:14
and a large part of the answer
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10:17
is these kinds of innovations,
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但避免侵害人類自由的危險,
10:19
because I think they,
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10:21
you know, they're really show us that we can have a kind of politics
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不威脅公民自由,
10:25
which is deeply responsive to our needs as citizens,
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不會跟專制的民粹主義者一樣。
10:29
but which avoids the peril of the threats to human liberties,
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它們呈現出即便我們 看似身處相當黑暗的時期,
有些事物卻如緊急照明一般,
10:35
the threats to civil liberties
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10:37
that authoritarian populism descends into.
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指引我們往更好邁進。
10:41
They show us that even though we live in what looks like quite a dark time,
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雖然這些都是西方文化的想法,
但它們也可以和各地的 本土文化結合、調整,
10:46
there are things that act a bit like emergency lighting,
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10:49
guiding us towards something better.
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只要其也重視讓各方輪流發言 並在做決定時取得共識。
10:53
And although these are all ideas from the Western tradition,
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能將各種文化繫在一起的絲線
10:56
they can also be combined with, adapted by Indigenous traditions
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本質上正是對他人的信心。
11:01
that also value turn-taking in speech and consensus decision-making.
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相信他人有能力處理困難的決定,
相信人類有能力聚在一起
11:07
And the thread that binds all these traditions together
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並做出聰明的政治決策。
11:11
is essentially a faith in other people.
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在 Polis 的案例中,
11:14
A faith in people's ability to handle difficult decisions,
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我們看見政府面對科技的變化 可以保持敏捷靈活。
11:18
a faith in people's ability to come together
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從參與式預算
11:20
and make political decisions intelligently.
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我們看見我們可以建立 不成比例地為貧民所用的系統,
11:24
In the Polis example,
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11:26
we see that government can be agile and nimble
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建立比傳統方法的品質 更好的公共建設。
11:28
in the face of tech disruption.
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在公民議會,
11:31
In the participatory budgeting,
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常常參與的專家說 在這種良好的情況中,
11:33
we see that we can build systems
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11:35
that are disproportionately used by poor people
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11:38
and which deliver infrastructure
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人們一直有驚人的能力 聆聽他人、提出證據、
11:39
that is better quality than the traditional systems.
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11:42
In citizens assemblies,
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改變根深柢固的想法。
11:44
the experts who observed them time and again,
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11:47
say that in those good conditions people's ability to listen to others,
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這個發現十分讓人充滿希望,
因為我認為在我們生活的這個時代,
11:53
to engage with the evidence,
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11:55
and to shift from their entrenched views is consistently astounding.
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你可以看到在全世界
對其他人和其他公民高度懷疑,
12:00
And that's a really, really hopeful finding,
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高度質疑人們能否承擔
12:03
because, you know, I think we live at a time
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民主賦與的做決策的重擔。
12:07
where you see right around the world,
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12:09
huge suspicion of other people, of other citizens,
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但如果你擔心例如會不會有很多人
12:12
huge doubts about whether people are really able to bear the burden
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被線上宣傳誤導或欺騙,
12:16
of decision-making that democracy places on them.
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阻止這件事情比較好的方式
12:21
But if you're worried, for instance,
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12:23
about whether a lot of people out there,
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是確保他們能參與公共論壇,
12:27
you know, are misinformed or fallen prey to online propaganda,
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像新英格蘭鎮民會議的那種論壇。
這種論壇能讓人與人面對面,
12:32
what better way to push back against that
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或至少有接近的虛擬接觸,
12:36
than by ensuring that they're placed in forums.
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在這裡他們必須為自己的意見辯證,
12:39
Forums like the New England town hall meetings shown here.
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需要處理證據,
受到鼓勵去擺脫他們的成見。
12:43
Forums where they have to come face-to-face with other people,
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12:46
or at least be in close virtual contact,
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加拿大哲學家約瑟‧希斯說理性,
12:48
where they have to justify their opinions,
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12:51
have to deal with the evidence,
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亦即我們做出好決定的能力,
12:53
and are encouraged to step away from their prejudices.
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不是可以靠個人達成的,
因為我們是一起決定。
理性是要在群體中實現的事物。
12:59
The Canadian philosopher Joseph Heath
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理性最大的希望就是你我彼此。
13:02
says that rationality,
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13:04
our ability to make good decisions,
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用另一個方式看,
13:06
isn't something that we achieve as individuals,
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13:09
if we achieve it at all.
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民主的問題不是他人,
13:10
It's something we achieve in groups.
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不是其他公民。
13:13
Our best hope of rationality is each other.
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問題是他們——就是我們——
13:17
Or to put the thing a different way,
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被要求進行民主事務的情境。
13:21
the problem with democracy is not other people,
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問題是過時的民主技術,
13:24
it's not other citizens.
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我們全都被迫予以採用。
13:26
The problem is the situations in which they -- in which we all --
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所以這些案例展現給我的、
令我受到鼓舞的原因
13:32
have been asked to do our democratic work.
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是我認為他們顯示出 如果你讓情境正確,
13:34
The problem is the outdated democratic technology
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13:37
that we've all been forced to use.
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如果你讓民主升級,
那麼事實上我們以公民的身分 聚在一起時所做的事情
13:40
And so what these examples show to me,
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13:43
the reason I find them inspiring,
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可以很驚人,
13:45
is that I think they demonstrate that if you get the situations right,
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而且聚在一起,我們可以 建立一種民主的形式,
真正適合二十一世紀。
13:49
if you get the technology upgraded,
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13:51
then actually the things that we do when we come together as citizens
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非常謝謝你們。
(掌聲)
13:55
can be astounding,
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13:57
and together, we really can build a form of democracy
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14:00
that's genuinely fit for the 21st century.
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14:03
Thank you very much.
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14:05
(Applause)
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