Freeman H. Shen: A future with fewer cars | TED

翻译人员: George Sze 校对人员: Alvin Lee

I love cars. I really do.

我喜欢车，真的很喜欢。

But what we are currently doing is a bit insane.

但我们目前在做的事情有点疯狂。

Cars put smog in the air,

汽车会向空气中排放烟雾，

create traffic and congestion

导致交通拥堵，

and cause accidents.

以及引发交通事故。

This might seem like a crazy thing for me to say,

听起来会有点疯狂，

but I am hoping for a future with fewer cars,

但我希望未来汽车会变少，

mostly smart EVs and cars that can do more for us.

留下的也主要是智能电动汽车 和其他多功能的汽车。

Some of the biggest changes that ever took place in the auto industry

汽车行业正在发生有史以来最大的变革，

are happening right now, affecting not only the cars,

不仅会影响汽车，

还会影响我们居住城市的结构。

but the very fabric of the cities in which we live.

Governments across the world are committing to change the way we move,

世界各国政府都致力于 改变我们的出行方式，

and EVs are at the center of this change.

而电动汽车是改变的核心。

Today, most of the cars powered by engine or battery are not truly smart vehicles.

当下，大多数由发动机或电池驱动的汽车 并不是真正的智能汽车。

Only smart EVs are computers on wheels.

只有智能电动汽车 才是真正意义上的“车轮上的电脑”。

They not only connect vehicles, but more importantly,

它们不仅将车辆彼此连接，更重要的是

use a lot of technology, including artificial intelligence,

使用了很多高新技术，包括人工智能、

autonomous driving, big data, cloud and agile computing,

自动驾驶、大数据、云计算和敏捷计算、

5G connectivity

5G 技术和高效的电动力总成等。

and highly efficient e-powertrain, etc.

These technologies are creating cars that can talk to us

这些技术正在创造新的汽车，能与我们，

and the world around them,

与周围世界进行交互，

and act accordingly.

还能根据交互结果采取相应行动。

This will have a huge impact on our cities and the way we live in them.

这将对我们的城市 和生活方式产生巨大影响。

Let's start with something that's always a challenge in a city: parking.

让我们从城市生活 不可避免的难题——停车——开始说起。

The reality is that cars are parked nearly all of the time,

现实是，汽车几乎每时每刻都在停着，

taking space in our cities,

占用城市空间，

花费我们的金钱。

costing us money.

But right now,

但是现在，

technology that allows your car to drop you off and then go park itself exists.

一项技术出现了，它可以让车 放下你之后自己去停好。

My company, with our partners, has created an autonomous valet parking system

我们公司同合作伙伴一起 打造了一个自动代客停车系统，

which will be powerful enough to allow you to step out of your car

该系统很强大，可以在你下车后，

and leave it to park itself hundreds of meters away.

自动把车停到几百米外。

这项技术是真实存在的 已经安装在我们的量产车中了。

This technology is real. It's already in our production car.

In the near future,

在不久的将来，

你的车将可以提前预订车位，

your car will be able to book a space beforehand,

and it doesn't take up room and cause traffic jams looking for one,

不会再发生为寻找车位 而占用交通空间，造成拥堵的情况，

simply by talking to the parking lot.

只需要与停车场交流即可。

When full autonomy becomes the norm in just five to 10 years,

当完全自动驾驶 在短短 5 到 10 年内成为常态时，

the car won't even need to park.

汽车甚至都不需要停了。

It will be driving other people around on a car-sharing platform,

汽车会通过共享平台去拉别的乘客，

plugging itself into the grid to charge when needed.

并在需要时自行接入电网充电。

这样一来， 路上不再需要这么多汽车。

When this is the case, we don't need so many cars on the road.

Access to cars will be prioritized over ownership,

人们更重视汽车使用权， 而不是所有权，

and this will be great for cities.

这对城市来说是件好事。

In my vision of future mobility,

在我对未来出行的愿景中，

autonomy will reduce congestion

自动驾驶会改善拥堵，

and necessary infrastructure,

减少必要的基础设施，

creating more room for better-looking, greener spaces.

留出更多空间给公园和绿地。

Imagine a shopping center next to a huge playground for our kids,

想象一下，购物中心旁 是一个供孩子们玩耍的巨型游乐场，

instead of miles of concrete and cars lined up in the sun.

而不是数英里长的混凝土路面 和烈日下成排的汽车。

And what about all those roads and bridges and signage

那些指引我们穿越城市的 道路、桥梁和标志呢？

that carry us through a city?

That will, of course, change, too.

它们当然也会发生改变。

Autonomous cars will be designed to read the environment around them,

自动驾驶汽车可以读取周围环境，

knowing the best routes

制定最佳路线，

and guiding passengers to their destination with less congestion.

在尽量避免拥堵的情况下 将乘客送到目的地。

We won't need signs for one-way streets

我们不再需要 单行道和人行横道的标志，

or pedestrian crossings

or how to get to the bridge

也不再需要 指示桥梁和禁止左转的标志。

or when not to take a left turn.

Imagine an intersection between two busy roads

想象一下，在两条繁忙道路的交叉口，

that has no traffic lights.

却没有交通指示灯。

Cars will speed up and slow down automatically

车辆会自动加速和减速

to avoid other cars in the intersection.

以避开交叉路口的其他车辆。

The sky above the road will be clear and open.

道路上方的天空将变得清爽而开阔。

在汽车行业，

In the auto industry,

the ability for vehicles to interact with their environment

车辆与环境交互，

同时从云端获取数据，

while taking data from essential storage in the cloud

关于道路和导航的数据，

about roads and navigation

is called V2X or "vehicle-to-everything."

这样的能力被称为 V2X，也就是“车联万物”。

V2X 势在必行，

V2X is what needs to happen

in order for us to take the final steps toward a city

它是城市车辆自动驾驶的最后一步。

where cars can drive themselves,

因为到那时，车辆需要替人类掌控一切，

because it is at that point that our vehicle will hold everything

us humans need in order to drive at an even greater scale

来实现在更大规模内，

and definitely more safely.

更安全的驾驶。

具有 V2X 功能的汽车数量 在全球范围内增长迅速，

The number of cars with V2X capabilities is growing rapidly around the world,

尤其是在中国。

and especially in China.

在中国江苏省无锡市， 一个拥有 650 万人口的城市，

In Wuxi, a city of 6.5 million people in China's Jiangsu province,

there are already experiments with V2X in autonomous driving.

已经开展了 V2X 自动驾驶实验。

Around 220 square kilometers of the central city is designed for V2X,

中心城区有大约 220 平方公里的区域 专为 V2X 设计，

with over 40 assistance-driving solutions.

并有着 40 多种辅助驾驶解决方案。

You will see traffic lights automatically adjust to green for ambulances

在无锡，当救护车接近十字路口时， 交通灯会自动变绿。

as they approach intersections.

Cameras spot pedestrians on the road

摄像头能探测路上的行人，

and deliver a warning directly to the cars if they are approaching too quickly.

并在汽车超速接近时， 直接向汽车发出警告。

Smart EVs can also receive alerts about unexpected situations,

智能电动汽车还能接收意外情况的警报，

such as nearby construction sites, accidents, traffic jams

例如附近的施工路段、事故、 交通拥堵或应急车辆。

or emergency vehicles.

And with this comes massive implications for safety.

这对于安全有重大意义。

Imagine someone is having a medical emergency.

想象一下，有人需要紧急救治。

Today, getting yourself or someone else to a hospital in a hurry

今天，让你自己或是他人匆匆忙忙赶往医院，

can put you and others in danger.

会给你和其他人带来危险。

A car can only tell you the best routes to the hospital.

现在的汽车只能告诉你去医院的最佳路线。

In the future,

而在未来，

汽车可以提前发送医疗信息给医院，

the car will be able to send the medical information ahead of time

to the hospital,

让他们提前准备相应的医疗设备。

allowing them to prepare corresponding medical equipment in advance.

The car could signal to the city that it has a sick person on board,

汽车可以向城市发出信号， 表明车上有病人，

整个城市都可以做出反应，

and the whole city can respond,

making traffic lights green the whole way,

比如让交通灯一路绿灯，

clearing bus lanes

清理公交车道，

and letting the medical response teams automatically tie into the car

让急救人员通过系统自动连接到汽车进行通话。

through the connecting systems.

This new era where our cars talk to the world and the world talks back

这是一个汽车与世界互相对话的新时代，

will dramatically change us,

它将极大地改变我们、

our mobility

改变我们的出行方式和城市。

and our cities.

I believe we'll have fewer cars on the road,

我相信，路上的汽车会更少，

but we'll get where we need to go more efficiently, safely

但我们会更高效、更安全地抵达目的地，

and with more fun green space and blue skies along the way.

一路上会有更多美好的绿地和蓝天。

Thank you.

谢谢。