Freeman H. Shen: A future with fewer cars | TED

52,229 views ・ 2021-09-24

TED


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翻译人员: George Sze 校对人员: Alvin Lee
00:12
I love cars. I really do.
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我喜欢车,真的很喜欢。
00:15
But what we are currently doing is a bit insane.
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但我们目前在做的事情有点疯狂。
00:18
Cars put smog in the air,
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汽车会向空气中排放烟雾,
00:21
create traffic and congestion
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导致交通拥堵,
00:23
and cause accidents.
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以及引发交通事故。
00:25
This might seem like a crazy thing for me to say,
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听起来会有点疯狂,
00:28
but I am hoping for a future with fewer cars,
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但我希望未来汽车会变少,
00:34
mostly smart EVs and cars that can do more for us.
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留下的也主要是智能电动汽车 和其他多功能的汽车。
00:38
Some of the biggest changes that ever took place in the auto industry
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汽车行业正在发生有史以来最大的变革,
00:42
are happening right now, affecting not only the cars,
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不仅会影响汽车,
还会影响我们居住城市的结构。
00:48
but the very fabric of the cities in which we live.
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00:52
Governments across the world are committing to change the way we move,
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世界各国政府都致力于 改变我们的出行方式,
00:57
and EVs are at the center of this change.
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而电动汽车是改变的核心。
01:01
Today, most of the cars powered by engine or battery are not truly smart vehicles.
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当下,大多数由发动机或电池驱动的汽车 并不是真正的智能汽车。
01:08
Only smart EVs are computers on wheels.
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只有智能电动汽车 才是真正意义上的“车轮上的电脑”。
01:12
They not only connect vehicles, but more importantly,
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它们不仅将车辆彼此连接,更重要的是
01:16
use a lot of technology, including artificial intelligence,
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使用了很多高新技术,包括人工智能、
01:20
autonomous driving, big data, cloud and agile computing,
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自动驾驶、大数据、云计算和敏捷计算、
01:25
5G connectivity
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5G 技术和高效的电动力总成等。
01:27
and highly efficient e-powertrain, etc.
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01:31
These technologies are creating cars that can talk to us
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这些技术正在创造新的汽车,能与我们,
01:35
and the world around them,
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与周围世界进行交互,
01:37
and act accordingly.
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还能根据交互结果采取相应行动。
01:40
This will have a huge impact on our cities and the way we live in them.
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这将对我们的城市 和生活方式产生巨大影响。
01:45
Let's start with something that's always a challenge in a city: parking.
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让我们从城市生活 不可避免的难题——停车——开始说起。
01:50
The reality is that cars are parked nearly all of the time,
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现实是,汽车几乎每时每刻都在停着,
01:56
taking space in our cities,
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占用城市空间,
花费我们的金钱。
01:59
costing us money.
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02:00
But right now,
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但是现在,
02:01
technology that allows your car to drop you off and then go park itself exists.
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一项技术出现了,它可以让车 放下你之后自己去停好。
02:08
My company, with our partners, has created an autonomous valet parking system
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我们公司同合作伙伴一起 打造了一个自动代客停车系统,
02:13
which will be powerful enough to allow you to step out of your car
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该系统很强大,可以在你下车后,
02:17
and leave it to park itself hundreds of meters away.
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自动把车停到几百米外。
这项技术是真实存在的 已经安装在我们的量产车中了。
02:21
This technology is real. It's already in our production car.
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02:23
In the near future,
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在不久的将来,
你的车将可以提前预订车位,
02:25
your car will be able to book a space beforehand,
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02:27
and it doesn't take up room and cause traffic jams looking for one,
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不会再发生为寻找车位 而占用交通空间,造成拥堵的情况,
02:31
simply by talking to the parking lot.
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只需要与停车场交流即可。
02:34
When full autonomy becomes the norm in just five to 10 years,
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当完全自动驾驶 在短短 5 到 10 年内成为常态时,
02:37
the car won't even need to park.
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汽车甚至都不需要停了。
02:39
It will be driving other people around on a car-sharing platform,
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汽车会通过共享平台去拉别的乘客,
02:44
plugging itself into the grid to charge when needed.
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并在需要时自行接入电网充电。
这样一来, 路上不再需要这么多汽车。
02:48
When this is the case, we don't need so many cars on the road.
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02:52
Access to cars will be prioritized over ownership,
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人们更重视汽车使用权, 而不是所有权,
02:56
and this will be great for cities.
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这对城市来说是件好事。
02:58
In my vision of future mobility,
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在我对未来出行的愿景中,
03:01
autonomy will reduce congestion
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自动驾驶会改善拥堵,
03:04
and necessary infrastructure,
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减少必要的基础设施,
03:06
creating more room for better-looking, greener spaces.
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留出更多空间给公园和绿地。
03:10
Imagine a shopping center next to a huge playground for our kids,
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想象一下,购物中心旁 是一个供孩子们玩耍的巨型游乐场,
03:16
instead of miles of concrete and cars lined up in the sun.
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而不是数英里长的混凝土路面 和烈日下成排的汽车。
03:21
And what about all those roads and bridges and signage
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那些指引我们穿越城市的 道路、桥梁和标志呢?
03:25
that carry us through a city?
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03:26
That will, of course, change, too.
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它们当然也会发生改变。
03:28
Autonomous cars will be designed to read the environment around them,
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自动驾驶汽车可以读取周围环境,
03:32
knowing the best routes
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制定最佳路线,
03:34
and guiding passengers to their destination with less congestion.
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在尽量避免拥堵的情况下 将乘客送到目的地。
03:38
We won't need signs for one-way streets
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我们不再需要 单行道和人行横道的标志,
03:41
or pedestrian crossings
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03:42
or how to get to the bridge
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也不再需要 指示桥梁和禁止左转的标志。
03:44
or when not to take a left turn.
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03:46
Imagine an intersection between two busy roads
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想象一下,在两条繁忙道路的交叉口,
03:49
that has no traffic lights.
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却没有交通指示灯。
03:51
Cars will speed up and slow down automatically
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车辆会自动加速和减速
03:55
to avoid other cars in the intersection.
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以避开交叉路口的其他车辆。
03:57
The sky above the road will be clear and open.
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道路上方的天空将变得清爽而开阔。
在汽车行业,
04:02
In the auto industry,
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04:03
the ability for vehicles to interact with their environment
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车辆与环境交互,
同时从云端获取数据,
04:07
while taking data from essential storage in the cloud
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关于道路和导航的数据,
04:13
about roads and navigation
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04:15
is called V2X or "vehicle-to-everything."
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这样的能力被称为 V2X,也就是“车联万物”。
V2X 势在必行,
04:20
V2X is what needs to happen
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04:22
in order for us to take the final steps toward a city
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它是城市车辆自动驾驶的最后一步。
04:26
where cars can drive themselves,
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因为到那时,车辆需要替人类掌控一切,
04:29
because it is at that point that our vehicle will hold everything
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04:34
us humans need in order to drive at an even greater scale
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来实现在更大规模内,
04:41
and definitely more safely.
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更安全的驾驶。
具有 V2X 功能的汽车数量 在全球范围内增长迅速,
04:44
The number of cars with V2X capabilities is growing rapidly around the world,
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尤其是在中国。
04:50
and especially in China.
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在中国江苏省无锡市, 一个拥有 650 万人口的城市,
04:53
In Wuxi, a city of 6.5 million people in China's Jiangsu province,
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04:58
there are already experiments with V2X in autonomous driving.
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已经开展了 V2X 自动驾驶实验。
05:04
Around 220 square kilometers of the central city is designed for V2X,
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中心城区有大约 220 平方公里的区域 专为 V2X 设计,
05:10
with over 40 assistance-driving solutions.
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并有着 40 多种辅助驾驶解决方案。
05:14
You will see traffic lights automatically adjust to green for ambulances
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在无锡,当救护车接近十字路口时, 交通灯会自动变绿。
05:18
as they approach intersections.
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05:20
Cameras spot pedestrians on the road
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摄像头能探测路上的行人,
05:23
and deliver a warning directly to the cars if they are approaching too quickly.
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并在汽车超速接近时, 直接向汽车发出警告。
05:28
Smart EVs can also receive alerts about unexpected situations,
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智能电动汽车还能接收意外情况的警报,
05:34
such as nearby construction sites, accidents, traffic jams
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例如附近的施工路段、事故、 交通拥堵或应急车辆。
05:39
or emergency vehicles.
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05:41
And with this comes massive implications for safety.
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这对于安全有重大意义。
05:45
Imagine someone is having a medical emergency.
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想象一下,有人需要紧急救治。
05:50
Today, getting yourself or someone else to a hospital in a hurry
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今天,让你自己或是他人匆匆忙忙赶往医院,
05:54
can put you and others in danger.
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会给你和其他人带来危险。
05:57
A car can only tell you the best routes to the hospital.
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现在的汽车只能告诉你去医院的最佳路线。
06:01
In the future,
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而在未来,
汽车可以提前发送医疗信息给医院,
06:03
the car will be able to send the medical information ahead of time
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06:06
to the hospital,
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让他们提前准备相应的医疗设备。
06:08
allowing them to prepare corresponding medical equipment in advance.
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06:12
The car could signal to the city that it has a sick person on board,
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汽车可以向城市发出信号, 表明车上有病人,
整个城市都可以做出反应,
06:16
and the whole city can respond,
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06:17
making traffic lights green the whole way,
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比如让交通灯一路绿灯,
06:20
clearing bus lanes
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清理公交车道,
06:21
and letting the medical response teams automatically tie into the car
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让急救人员通过系统自动连接到汽车进行通话。
06:25
through the connecting systems.
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06:27
This new era where our cars talk to the world and the world talks back
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这是一个汽车与世界互相对话的新时代,
06:33
will dramatically change us,
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它将极大地改变我们、
06:35
our mobility
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改变我们的出行方式和城市。
06:37
and our cities.
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06:39
I believe we'll have fewer cars on the road,
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我相信,路上的汽车会更少,
06:43
but we'll get where we need to go more efficiently, safely
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但我们会更高效、更安全地抵达目的地,
06:48
and with more fun green space and blue skies along the way.
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一路上会有更多美好的绿地和蓝天。
06:54
Thank you.
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谢谢。
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