Freeman H. Shen: A future with fewer cars | TED

譯者: Wilde Luo 審譯者: Helen Chang

我熱愛車子。真的很喜歡。

但我們現在所做的有點瘋狂。

車子排放廢氣到空氣中，

造成交通阻塞，

更是許多意外傷亡的成因。

I love cars. I really do.

這句話從我嘴裡說出來 可能有些瘋狂，

But what we are currently doing is a bit insane.

但我希望在未來，車子可以少ㄧ點，

Cars put smog in the air,

create traffic and congestion

並且大多數是智慧電動汽車 或者多功能車子。

and cause accidents.

This might seem like a crazy thing for me to say,

汽車工業正面臨許多 前所未有的重大改變。

but I am hoping for a future with fewer cars,

這些改變不只會影響車子，

mostly smart EVs and cars that can do more for us.

更對我們所居住的都市的結構 有所影響。

Some of the biggest changes that ever took place in the auto industry

世界各地的政府承諾 改變我們出行的方式，

are happening right now, affecting not only the cars,

電動汽車就是這改變的中心。

but the very fabric of the cities in which we live.

現今大部分靠發動機或電池啟動的車 還不完全算是智慧交通工具。

Governments across the world are committing to change the way we move,

只有智慧電動車才是帶輪子的電腦。

and EVs are at the center of this change.

它們不僅和車子連結， 更重要的是，

Today, most of the cars powered by engine or battery are not truly smart vehicles.

這其中運用了許多不同的科技， 包含人工智慧、

Only smart EVs are computers on wheels.

自動駕駛、大數據、雲端和敏捷計算、

They not only connect vehicles, but more importantly,

5G通信、

高效能電子動力系統，還有更多。

use a lot of technology, including artificial intelligence,

這些科技可以製造出能和我們

autonomous driving, big data, cloud and agile computing,

以及周圍的世界對話的車子，

5G connectivity

更可以根據人們及周遭環境行動。

and highly efficient e-powertrain, etc.

這將對我們所居住的城市 以及生活方式帶來很大的影響。

These technologies are creating cars that can talk to us

就拿在城市中常常讓我們 很頭痛的停車來說，

and the world around them,

and act accordingly.

現實上車子大部分時間 處在停泊狀態。

This will have a huge impact on our cities and the way we live in them.

這不僅佔據城市的空間，

Let's start with something that's always a challenge in a city: parking.

更花費很多錢。

但現有的科技

可以讓您的車等您下車後， 然後自己去停車。

The reality is that cars are parked nearly all of the time,

taking space in our cities,

我的公司及合作夥伴，發明了 自動代客停車系統，

costing us money.

But right now,

technology that allows your car to drop you off and then go park itself exists.

非常強大，可以讓您離開您自己的車，

然後讓它自己去幾百米的附近停車。

My company, with our partners, has created an autonomous valet parking system

這個科技已經存在 於我們製造的車子裡。

在不久的將來，

which will be powerful enough to allow you to step out of your car

您的車可以事先預約停車位，

這不會佔到空間， 更不會因為找車位而造成塞車。

and leave it to park itself hundreds of meters away.

透過跟停車場的連結與對話， 可以簡單地完事。

This technology is real. It's already in our production car.

在五到十年後， 當全自動化成為標準，

In the near future,

your car will be able to book a space beforehand,

車子根本不用停泊，

and it doesn't take up room and cause traffic jams looking for one,

而是在汽車共享平台上到處載人，

simply by talking to the parking lot.

然後必要時也可以自己去充電。

When full autonomy becomes the norm in just five to 10 years,

當這成真，我們根本不需要 這麼多車子在路上。

the car won't even need to park.

It will be driving other people around on a car-sharing platform,

車子的使用權會比所有權更受到重視，

plugging itself into the grid to charge when needed.

而這對城市是一件大好事。

在我對未來出行的想像中，

When this is the case, we don't need so many cars on the road.

自動化會減少塞車

Access to cars will be prioritized over ownership,

和必要的基礎設施，

創造出更多的美化、綠化空間。

and this will be great for cities.

In my vision of future mobility,

想像一個百貨公司的旁邊有一大片 給小孩跑跳的運動場，

autonomy will reduce congestion

and necessary infrastructure,

而不是幾哩長的水泥 和太陽底下排隊的車子。

creating more room for better-looking, greener spaces.

那麼在城裡那些道路、橋和路標呢？

Imagine a shopping center next to a huge playground for our kids,

那些當然也會有所改變。

instead of miles of concrete and cars lined up in the sun.

自動車的設計使得它們 能夠判斷周邊環境，

能算出最好的路綫，

And what about all those roads and bridges and signage

避開擁堵，將乘客導到他們的目的地。

that carry us through a city?

That will, of course, change, too.

我們不再需要路標， 不管是單行道路標、

Autonomous cars will be designed to read the environment around them,

行人通行標示、

橋樑指引路標、

knowing the best routes

或禁止左轉的路牌。

and guiding passengers to their destination with less congestion.

想像兩條繁忙道路之間的十字路口，

沒有紅綠燈。

We won't need signs for one-way streets

車子會自動加速和減速，

or pedestrian crossings

or how to get to the bridge

來避開十字路口中的其他車子。

or when not to take a left turn.

天空會是清楚乾淨的。

Imagine an intersection between two busy roads

that has no traffic lights.

在汽車工業中，

Cars will speed up and slow down automatically

車子和周遭環境相互作用

to avoid other cars in the intersection.

和運用雲端裡儲存的數據

The sky above the road will be clear and open.

去了解道路與導航的能力

In the auto industry,

the ability for vehicles to interact with their environment

稱為 V2X 或「車聯網」。

while taking data from essential storage in the cloud

我們需要車聯網，

有了它，城市中的汽車 就能夠自動駕駛，

about roads and navigation

is called V2X or "vehicle-to-everything."

到了那個時候，

V2X is what needs to happen

為了讓我們在更廣的 範圍內、更安全地駕駛，

in order for us to take the final steps toward a city

我們的交通工具會 擁有我們所需要的一切條件。

where cars can drive themselves,

because it is at that point that our vehicle will hold everything

擁有車聯網技術的汽車的數量 在全世界內急劇增長，

us humans need in order to drive at an even greater scale

特別是在中國。

and definitely more safely.

在無錫這個中國江蘇省 650 萬人口的城市

The number of cars with V2X capabilities is growing rapidly around the world,

已經有了自動駕駛技術中 有關於車聯網的實驗。

and especially in China.

市中心大約 220 平方公里的 面積是為車聯網設計的，

In Wuxi, a city of 6.5 million people in China's Jiangsu province,

there are already experiments with V2X in autonomous driving.

擁有包括 40 多種輔助駕駛解決方案。

在無錫，交通燈會在急救車靠近 十字路口時自動變成緑色。

Around 220 square kilometers of the central city is designed for V2X,

攝像機會發現路上的行人，

with over 40 assistance-driving solutions.

並對快速靠近的車輛直接發出警告。

You will see traffic lights automatically adjust to green for ambulances

智慧電動汽車也能夠接收 有關意外情況的警告，

as they approach intersections.

Cameras spot pedestrians on the road

例如附近的施工場地、 交通事故、交通擁堵，

and deliver a warning directly to the cars if they are approaching too quickly.

或者急救車。

Smart EVs can also receive alerts about unexpected situations,

這對於安全有着重大的意義。

想像某個人需要急救。

such as nearby construction sites, accidents, traffic jams

如今，將您或者別人火速送往醫院

or emergency vehicles.

And with this comes massive implications for safety.

可能會使您和其他人陷入危險。

Imagine someone is having a medical emergency.

汽車只能告訴您去往醫院的最優路線。

在未來，

Today, getting yourself or someone else to a hospital in a hurry

汽車能夠提前向醫院 發送醫療信息，

can put you and others in danger.

使得醫院能夠提前 準備相關的醫療器械。

A car can only tell you the best routes to the hospital.

汽車能夠向城市說明車上有病人，

In the future,

the car will be able to send the medical information ahead of time

整個城市也會隨之響應，

讓車輛在行駛過程中一路緑燈，

to the hospital,

allowing them to prepare corresponding medical equipment in advance.

清空公共汽車專用車道，

讓醫療效應團隊透過連接系統 自動與車輛相連接。

The car could signal to the city that it has a sick person on board,

在這個新的時代， 汽車與世界對話，世界也回應，

and the whole city can respond,

making traffic lights green the whole way,

clearing bus lanes

and letting the medical response teams automatically tie into the car

這會極大地改變我們、

我們的出行，

through the connecting systems.

以及我們的城市。

This new era where our cars talk to the world and the world talks back

我相信城市的道路上車輛會更少，

但是我們能夠更高效、更安全地 去往我們要去的地方，

will dramatically change us,

our mobility

並且路上有更多有趣的 緑色空間和藍天白雲。

and our cities.

I believe we'll have fewer cars on the road,

謝謝大家。

but we'll get where we need to go more efficiently, safely

and with more fun green space and blue skies along the way.

Thank you.