Jack Dangermond: An ever-evolving map of everything on Earth | TED Countdown

40,355 views ・ 2022-02-11

TED


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翻译人员: Mingming Ma 校对人员: Yip Yan Yeung
00:08
The world that we live in is not well-known.
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我们对自己所生活的 这个世界知之甚少。
00:11
It's fragile.
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它很脆弱。
00:12
It’s rich in biodiversity.
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它有着丰富的生物多样性。
00:14
And it’s increasingly impacted by human activities.
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它越来越受到人类活动的影响。
00:18
Geologists are beginning to call this era the Anthropocene.
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地理学家们开始 将这个时代称为“人类世”。
00:22
Today, our world is in trouble because humans are living carelessly.
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如今,由于人类生活得粗心大意, 我们的世界陷入了困境。
00:26
We are threatening our very future.
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我们正在威胁我们自己的未来。
00:29
We are, as human beings,
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作为人类,我们
00:30
going to have to collectively come together
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必须要团结起来,
00:33
and address these challenges.
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共同应对这些挑战。
00:36
A sustainable future, in my mind, is possible,
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在我看来,一个可持续发展的 未来是有可能实现的,
00:39
but we’re going to have to do many things,
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但我们还需要做很多事情,
00:41
and we're going to have to do these now.
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而且这些事情 我们现在就必须要做。
00:43
Sustainability really requires that we see the world as one system.
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可持续性发展确实要求我们 将世界视作一个系统。
00:47
Today, in my field, the geospatial field,
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今天,在我的专业领域—— 地理空间学中,
00:50
we are seeing technologies emerge that are becoming interconnected.
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我们正看到各种技术的出现, 这些技术也在变得相互关联。
00:55
They're allowing us to measure,
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这些技术让我们能测量、
00:57
analyze and understand what's occurring on our globe.
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分析以及理解 地球上正在发生的事情。
01:00
We're bringing together geographic information from many sources,
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我们将来自各方的 地理信息汇集在一起,
01:05
virtually describing everything that is occurring on our planet.
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几乎就能描述我们 星球上发生的一切。
01:09
These technologies are being systematically interconnected
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这些技术正在系统地
01:12
with the web,
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与网络互联,
01:14
and opening up,
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并对外开放,
01:15
allowing organizations to be able to see information
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让各组织机构能够看到信息,
01:20
and create what I like to describe
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从而创建了一个系统, 我想把它描述为
01:22
as a geographic information system for our entire planet.
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整个地球的地理信息系统。
01:26
This system promises to be a platform
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这个系统有希望成为一个平台,
01:29
for better understanding and managing our planet,
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让我们能更好地理解 和管理我们的地球,
01:33
a kind of nervous system for a more sustainable future.
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这像是一种为了能有更可持续发展的 未来而创建的“神经系统”。
01:38
A central part of this system is content.
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这个系统的核心部分是内容。
01:41
We are creating a living atlas of our planet
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我们正在为我们的地球创建 一部活的地图册。
01:43
that provides a massive collection of authoritative data and map layers,
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它能提供大量的权威数据和地图层,
01:48
describing information on things like population and the economy.
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描绘很多诸如人口和经济等方面的信息。
01:52
A wealth of information on natural systems,
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还会提供丰富的自然系统信息,
01:54
including all the -ologies:
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包括各种学科类别:
01:57
hydrology, biology, vegetation
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水文学、生物学、植被,
02:00
and, of course, the rich biodiversity that sustains us.
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当然,还包括我们赖以生存的、 丰富的生物多样性。
02:03
This atlas also includes imagery from many sources,
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这份地图册还包括各种图像,
02:07
from satellites, aerial photography,
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可能来自卫星、航空拍摄,
02:09
describing the changing human footprint on our planet.
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用以描述我们地球上 正在发生变化的人类足迹。
02:13
Some of these layers are also almost real-time,
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其中有些地图层几乎是实时的,
02:17
providing information about pollution and weather and land cover.
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提供关于污染、天气 以及土地覆盖方面的信息。
02:20
Remote sensing and machine learning are making it possible for us
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遥感和机器学习技术让我们有可能
02:23
to see things like wildfires here in the US,
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看到像美国地区发生野火的情况,
02:26
but also in Greece and Russia,
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而且,今年还可能 观察到希腊、俄国、
02:28
in Italy and Turkey this year.
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意大利和土耳其的情况。
02:32
This data has been made available by thousands of individual,
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这些数据已经由成千上万的个人、
02:35
trusted scientific government and NGO organizations
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可信赖的科研型政府机构和 非政府组织提供。
02:38
who wish to share and make their data available openly.
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他们希望分享他们的数据 并公开使用。
02:42
Recently, my colleagues and I developed a new 10-meter global map of land cover
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最近,我和我的同事们开发了 一款长达 10 米的新型
02:46
for the entire planet.
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全球土地覆盖地图。
02:48
This was computed in less than a week using AI and machine learning.
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这是使用人工智能和机器学习技术 在不到一周的时间里计算出来的。
02:52
It has given us a clear picture of land-cover patterns today
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它让我们对今天的土地覆盖格局 有了清晰的了解,
02:56
and will also be the foundation for us to periodically show change,
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也将成为我们定期展示变化的基础,
03:00
update the footprint almost in real time.
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几乎实时更新足迹。
03:05
Here, for example, we can see in Malaysia
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举个例子, 我们能看到,在马来西亚
03:08
where the demand for palm oil is impacting and consuming natural areas.
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棕榈油的需求正在 影响和消耗自然区域。
03:14
In Buenos Aires, we can see the effect of urbanization and sprawl
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在布宜诺斯艾利斯(Buenos Aires), 我们可以看到城市化和城市扩张
03:19
on impacting natural lands around the city.
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对城市周围自然土地的影响。
03:22
In Xingu, in Brazil,
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巴西的兴古河(Xingu)流域
03:24
this is a really amazing point,
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是一个非常神奇的地方,
03:26
because it's showing where the government has actually looked ahead
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因为看得出来 当地政府确实很有远见,
03:29
and protected certain areas in special zones
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保护了特殊区域中的某些部分,
03:32
so that biodiversity will be sustained.
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从而生物多样性才能维持可持续性。
03:35
GS is also being used to model and forecast our future.
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地理空间系统(GS)也在被用于 为我们的未来建立模型和进行预测。
03:39
For example, this amazing map of 2050 land cover
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比如,这张神奇的 2050 年土地覆盖地图
03:43
predicts, using various statistical means,
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运用各种统计学方法预测到
03:45
the expansion of where the human footprint is going
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人类足迹正在往哪里扩展,
03:48
and how it might impact areas of rich biodiversity.
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以及,这将会如何影响 生物多样性很丰富的区域。
03:53
Organizations around the world are already leveraging this geospatial nervous system
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世界各地的组织机构也已经在 利用这个地理空间神经系统,
03:57
for better planning and decision making.
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用以进行更好地规划和做出决策。
03:59
In the future,
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今后,
04:01
we're going to have to empower virtually every organization
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我们将必须要让几乎所有的组织机构
04:04
to embrace this new geographic approach.
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接受这种新型的地理学方法。
04:08
The geographic approach is a way
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这种地理学方法是一种
04:10
to bring all this information together
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把所有信息汇总在一起的途径,
04:12
to see holistically how things are interrelated.
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然后从整体上看所有事情 是如何相互关联的。
04:16
A science-based approach which is inclusive,
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基于科学依据的方法具有包容性,
04:18
that can bring together multiple populations
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它可以将多个群体汇集在一起
04:21
to be able to create more intelligent actions
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从而能够创造出更明智的行动,
04:25
and create a more sustainable future.
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以及创造出一个更加可持续的未来。
04:28
These kinds of advances in technology and information
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这类技术和信息方面的进步
04:32
are increasingly available,
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越来越多地涌现,
04:34
but it's going to take more than simply technology
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但是,只是简单地 运用技术还不能
04:37
to create a sustainable future.
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创造一个可持续性的未来。
04:39
It’s going to require major segments of our society --
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它需要我们的社会主体——
04:42
organizations, governments, businesses around the world --
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世界各地的组织机构、政府、企业,
04:46
embracing this science,
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接受这类科学、
04:48
embracing what technology can offer
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接受科技能做到的一切,
04:51
and using their creative and design skills
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以及运用他们的创造力和设计技能,
04:53
to be able to create a better future.
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从而创造出一个更好的未来。
04:57
Ultimately, it'll require all of us to integrate this kind of thinking,
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最终,这将需要我们 所有人把这种思维,
05:02
this science-based thinking, this geographic-approach thinking,
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这种基于科学依据的思维, 这种地理学思维,
05:05
into the way that we make decisions,
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融合到我们的决策方式中,
05:07
both as individuals
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这既适用于个人
05:09
and also in all of our institutions,
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也适用于所有机构,
05:12
locally, regionally,
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本土的、区域性的、
05:14
nationally and ultimately globally.
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全国性的, 最终乃至全球范围内实现。
05:17
Like the internet and other pervasive technologies,
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像网络以及其他流行的技术,
05:20
this nervous system is going to grow and expand.
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这种神经系统将会增长和扩展。
05:23
It's going to empower our collective response
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它将增强我们集体应对的能力,
05:27
to understanding and taking action -- not only for climate,
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让我们能够理解并采取行动, 不仅仅是针对气候问题,
05:31
but also all the interrelated challenges that we are facing as a global society.
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还有是对我们作为一个全球社会 所面临的所有相互关联的挑战。
05:37
We have the tools and the science for better understanding.
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我们有了这些能更好地理解 地球的工具和科学方法。
05:41
Now that we can see as much as we can see,
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现在,既然我们已经 尽力拓宽了视野,
05:43
we must act.
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我们就必须行动起来。
05:45
Thank you very much.
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非常感谢您的聆听!
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