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翻译人员: Sammi Wang
校对人员: Lening Xu
00:04
By 2033,
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到 2033 年,
00:06
you just might have a smaller
wardrobe than you have now.
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你的衣柜可能会比现在的小。
00:10
Not just because you've already checked
which items spark joy,
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这不仅是因为你已经检查过
哪些物品能激发欢乐,
00:15
but because you probably won't own
as much physical clothing.
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而是你可能不会拥有
那么多的实体服装。
00:19
I'm not just saying this because typically
we own more than we need,
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我之所以这样说,不只是因为
我们通常会拥有超出需求的东西,
00:22
and we actually only wear
20 percent of our wardrobe,
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我们实际上只会
穿衣柜中 20% 的衣服,
00:26
but because dematerialization
will have taken over fashion.
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而是因为非物质化
将取代时尚。
00:30
Think about the books that you own,
the music that we listen to.
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想想你拥有的书,
我们听的音乐。
00:34
They are now in the cloud.
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它们现在在云端上。
00:36
And many of our favorite
stores are online,
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我们最喜欢的许多商店都在网上,
00:39
and this is happening to our clothes too.
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我们的衣服也会如此。
00:42
Digital versions of physical products
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实体产品的数字版本和纯数字产品
00:45
and digital-only products are making their
way into our lives through gaming,
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正在通过游戏、社交媒体和购物
进入我们的生活。
00:50
social media and shopping.
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00:53
This is an Alexander McQueen
digital tee that you can download
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这是一款
Alexander McQueen的数字T恤,
00:56
to an avatar to wear inside a game.
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你可以将其下载到头像上
以便在游戏中穿着。
01:00
Digital fashion is made of pixels
rather than threads,
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数字时尚是由像素
而非针线组成,
01:04
and it's still a relatively new sector
of the virtual goods industry.
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它仍然是虚拟商品行业中
一个相对较新的领域。
01:08
But in the last five years,
it's kind of exploded,
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但是在过去的五年中,
它呈爆炸式增长,
01:12
and we've seen zeitgeist moments
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我们看到了像Fabricant、
01:14
from digital-first brands
like the Fabricant,
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Tribute brand 和 Auroboros
01:17
Tribute brand and Auroboros.
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等数字优先品牌的时代潮流。
01:20
And RTFKT,
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还有RTFKT,
01:21
who got the world
talking about “phygitals:”
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它让全世界都在谈论“phygitals”:
01:24
physical and digital versions
that you buy together.
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同时购买物理和数字版本。
01:28
And luxury brands are also in this space,
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奢侈品牌也进入了这一领域,
01:32
like Vuitton, Balenciaga and Gucci,
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例如路易威登、巴黎世家和古驰,
01:35
and they're doing something surprising
at surprising price points.
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他们正以惊人价格
做一些令人惊讶的事。
01:39
So they're bringing together
the worlds of gaming and luxury.
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他们将游戏和奢华融合在一起。
01:42
Some of these items
are less than 20 dollars,
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其中一些物品不到 20 美元,
01:46
and this Gucci Roblox handbag
actually resold for 4,000 dollars,
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而这款Gucci Roblox手提包
在Roblox上架仅一小时后,
01:52
which is more than
the physical one retails for,
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就以 4,000 美元的价格转售,
01:55
just an hour after it went
for sale on Roblox.
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超过了实体手袋的零售价。
01:59
This is interesting
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这很有趣,
02:00
because quite often our first luxury
purchase is sunglasses or a lipstick.
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因为我们第一次购买的奢侈品
通常是太阳镜或口红。
02:07
In the kind of near future,
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在不久的将来,
02:09
and especially for the next generation,
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尤其是对于下一代来说
02:12
that's not going to be the case.
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情况并非如此。
02:13
It will be a virtual item
that you can wear,
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它将是一个你可以佩戴的虚拟物品,
02:15
just like that handbag inside a game.
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就像游戏中的那个手提包一样。
02:18
And if your pockets are deep enough,
you can also pay luxury prices.
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而且,如果你的口袋足够大,
你也可以付出奢侈的代价。
02:24
CryptoPunks and Tiffany
last year did a collaboration
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02:27
where they made phygital pendants,
250 personalized ones,
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制作了 250 个个性化phygital吊坠
02:32
which were the princely sum
of 50,000 dollars.
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售价高达 5 万美元。
02:38
I'm a fashion academic and innovator,
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我是一名时尚学者和创新者,
02:40
and I've spent a lot of years researching
how and when people adopt new trends,
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我花了很多年时间研究
人们如何以及何时接纳新时尚,
02:45
whether their dad's sneakers
or Snapchat filters.
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无论是父亲的运动鞋
又或是Snapchat的滤镜。
02:48
And it's kind of ironic because I fell
in love with digital fashion,
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这有点讽刺,
我爱上了数字时尚的原因,
02:53
because I like vintage fashion,
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是因为我喜欢复古时装,
02:55
and the thought of being able to wear
key pieces from fashion history
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想到能够穿上时尚史上的经典单品
02:59
is something that keeps me
awake late at night.
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让我彻夜难眠。
03:02
This jacket by Mugler
has been painstakingly digitized
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Mugler 的这件夹克由
Superficial Studio
03:05
by Superficial Studio.
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进行了数字化处理。
03:08
What's super exciting is
that we're at the very beginning
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非常令人兴奋的是,
我们正处于这场时尚革命的起点,
03:11
of this revolution within fashion,
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03:14
and when it goes mainstream,
probably within the next five years,
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当它成为主流时,
可能在未来五年内,
03:18
it's really going to change
not only what we wear,
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它不仅会真正改变我们的穿着,
03:20
but also how we produce and consume goods,
hopefully for the better.
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还会改变我们生产和消费商品的方式,
希望能变得更好。
03:27
Just because something isn't physical
doesn't mean it's not real.
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仅仅因为某物不是物理的,
并不意味着它不是真实的。
03:31
And just because something
is dematerialized
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仅仅因为某种东西被非物质化,
03:34
doesn't mean it gives you a warm,
funny feeling in your stomach
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并不意味着当你购买、
拥有它或佩戴它时,
03:37
when you buy it or own it or wear it.
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它会在你的肚子里
给你一种温暖、滑稽的感觉。
03:40
Especially when it looks like this.
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特别是当它看起来像这样的时候。
03:43
So for digital fashion, there's something
really for everybody,
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因此,对于数字时尚来说,
每个人都有适合自己的东西,
03:47
from sportswear to couture
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从运动服到高级时装,
03:50
to the kind of straight out ethereal.
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再到直截了当的空灵服装。
03:52
And when I see pieces like these
that are so cool
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当我看到这样非常酷的作品
03:56
that I want to own them physically,
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以至于我想亲自拥有它们时,
03:58
I get frustrated because there isn't
a word to describe that.
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我会感到沮丧,
因为没有一个词可以形容。
04:02
So I’ve started calling it “meta-desire.”
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所以我开始称其为 “元欲望”。
04:05
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
04:06
And I'm still working on an emoji for it,
which I think is very important.
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而且我还在为它制作表情符号,
我认为这很重要。
04:11
Digital fashion is characterized
by infinite creativity.
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数字时尚的特点是
无限的创造力。
04:15
When you design in the physical dimension,
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不幸的是,当你在物理维度上进行设计时,
04:18
you unfortunately have constraints
like gravity, how a fabric drapes,
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你会受到诸如重力、面料的垂坠效果,
04:23
perhaps the cost of raw materials.
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也许还有原材料成本等限制。
04:25
But when you design virtually,
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但是,当你进行虚拟设计时,
04:27
you have limitless possibilities
of say, for example,
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你有无限的可能性,
比如说一件连衣裙会是什么样子,
它的性能或功能如何。
04:30
what a dress could look like,
how it could perform or function.
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04:34
This is a piece by Institute
of Digital Fashion,
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这是数字时尚学院的一件作品,
04:37
which is part jewelry, part clothing.
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它既是珠宝,又是服装。
04:40
And in the near future,
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在不久的将来,
04:42
we have completely new categories
of materials and products.
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我们将推出全新的材料和产品类别。
04:46
And magazines are also using this as well.
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杂志也在使用它。
04:50
They're adopting digital fashion
to make the pages and the fashion
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他们正在采用数字时尚
来使页面和时尚
变得更加身临其境。
04:53
become more immersive.
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04:55
But so what?
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但是那又怎样?
04:56
That's what my mom often asks me.
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那是我妈妈经常问我的。
04:58
"What's the point of digital fashion?"
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“数字时尚的意义何在?”
05:01
Well, you have two choices.
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好吧,你有两个选择。
05:03
You can either wear it
on your real self, your physical self,
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你可以把它戴在你的真实自我,
你的身体上,
05:07
or you can wear it on your digital self.
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也可以戴在你的数字自我上。
05:09
And gamers have already
been doing this for over 25 years.
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游戏玩家这样做已经超过 25 年了。
05:14
They already understand
the value of virtual goods.
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他们已经了解虚拟商品的价值。
05:17
They've been earning, modifying
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他们一直在赚钱、修改,
05:20
and putting skins and cosmetics
on their characters
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给角色配置皮肤和化妆品,
05:23
to wear inside games.
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让他们在游戏中穿着。
05:26
Digital dressing is a thing.
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数码着装是一回事。
05:28
This is me during the pandemic
when I couldn't get to any stores,
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这是疫情期间的我,
当时我无法去任何商店,
05:33
but I could get a dopamine hit
and, of course, share it on social media.
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但我可能会受到多巴胺的打击
当然,还可以在社交媒体上分享。
05:37
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
05:39
You guys can try this yourselves
if you go to platforms
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如果你去像 Dematerialized
或 DressX这样的平台,
05:42
like The Dematerialised or DressX.
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你们也可以自己试试这个。
05:46
And a relatively new company,
Zero10, also does this.
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而一家相对较新的公司
Zero10 也在这样做。
05:49
So digital dressing
is when an extra layer,
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数字服饰是指在照片
或视频中添加额外的图层,
05:52
like an augmented reality,
is added on to a photo or a video.
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例如增强现实。
05:57
And this is something
which I call “soft wearables.”
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我称之为
“可穿戴软设备”。
06:01
So effectively you have a kind of,
like a new form of fast fashion,
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因此,实际上有一种新的快时尚形式,
06:07
because you could update the clothes
that you're wearing with new messages,
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因为如果你愿意,
你可以每天用新的信息、
06:11
slogans on a daily basis if you want.
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标语来更新你所穿的衣服。
06:15
This was a project from Nike
and RTFKT last year,
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这是耐克
和RTFKT去年的一个项目,
06:20
and something that I'm excited about
in the farther future
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在更远的将来,令我兴奋的是,
06:23
is that we won't need to view
this extra digital content
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我们不需要通过手机观看
这些额外的数字内容。
06:27
through our mobile phone.
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06:29
It'll actually emit
from the smart materials
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它实际上会从面料本身的
智能材料中发出。
06:32
in the fabrics themselves.
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06:35
But why do we need digital fashion?
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但是为什么我们需要数字时尚?
06:38
Well today,
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今天,
06:39
we already spend
one third of our time online.
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我们已经有三分之一的时间在上网。
06:43
And as we move into the next generation
of the internet, known as web3,
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当我们进入下一代互联网
即 web3.0 时,
06:48
we won't just be on the internet,
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我们不仅会上网,
06:51
we're actually going to be inside it.
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还会进入互联网。
06:53
And just like Dolly,
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就像多莉一样,
06:56
we already curate different
aspects of who we are
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我们已经为我们展示
自己的每个不同平台
07:01
for each of the different platforms
that we show ourselves on.
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精心策划了自己的不同方面。
07:06
But we're not just going to be 2D images
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但是,我们不再只是
社交媒体圈子
07:08
inside social media circles
or squares anymore.
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或方块中的二维图像了。
07:13
We're actually going
to be full-bodied avatars working,
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实际上 ,我们将成为在
3D 空间中工作、
07:16
shopping, dating even, in 3D spaces.
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购物、甚至约会的完整化身。
如果你去韩国,
07:21
If you go to South Korea,
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07:22
the avatar culture
is already very well embedded.
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头像文化已经深入人心了。
07:26
From K-pop brands
to digital banking advisors.
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从K-pop品牌到数字银行顾问。
07:30
They're kind of everywhere.
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它们无处不在。
07:32
And they have an app called Zepeto.
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他们还有一款名为
Zepeto的应用程序。
07:35
And this is my Zepeto avatar here,
the one in purple.
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这是我的 Zepeto
头像,那个紫色的。
07:39
This is just a selection
of my digital twins,
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这只是我的数字双胞胎中的一部分,
07:42
the avatars that I use
on a daily basis in messaging
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我每天在信息中使用这些头像
来传达不同的情感,
07:46
to convey different emotions,
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07:48
also to meet friends and to go
to digital events in 3D spaces.
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也可以用来结识朋友和
参加三维空间的数字活动。
07:53
And you can probably tell
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你大概可以看出
07:54
that I try to convey different aspects
of my personality in my avatars,
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我试图在我的头像中传达
我个性的不同方面,
07:59
different trends
that I want to kind of show,
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我想表现出不同的趋势,
08:03
and also which tribes I want to belong to.
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以及我想加入哪些部落。
08:06
But the metaverse
that we've all been promised
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但是,我们都被承诺的元宇宙实际上
已经有一段时间没有出现了。
08:09
isn't actually here for a while yet.
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08:11
Some people are quite excited
that it's not going to be here
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有些人对它暂时还不会出现
感到非常兴奋。
08:14
for a while yet.
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08:15
However, it's actually
the physical fashion sector
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但是, 受数字时尚影响最大的实际上
是实体时尚行业
08:18
that could be impacted
by digital fashion the most.
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你们当中有些人可能听说过
很多关于NFT的负面炒作和情绪
08:22
Some of you might have heard
a lot of negative hype
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08:24
and sentiment around NFTs,
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08:27
non-fungible tokens,
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NFT即不可替代的代币,
08:29
but actually they are key
to the future of digital fashion
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但实际上它们是数字时尚
未来的关键,
08:33
because they turn
a regular file, like a jpeg,
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因为它们将像jpeg这样的常规文件
变成了你可以拥有和交易的资产。
08:36
into an asset that you can own
and that you can trade.
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08:40
Brands like Roberts Wood, Prada
and Diesel have all done this.
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罗伯茨·伍德、普拉达
和迪塞尔等品牌都这样做了。
08:45
They've all sold phygital items as NFTs.
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他们都以NFT的形式出售数字物品。
08:48
For us, as consumers, this is really good
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作为消费者,对于我们来说,
这确实是件好事,
08:51
because we can check to see if something
is real or authentic before we buy it.
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因为我们可以在购买之前检查
某件东西是真实的或是正品。
08:56
Also, once we actually buy it,
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此外,一旦我们真正购买了它,
08:59
people can see that it's us
that owns it on a blockchain.
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人们就会在区块链上看到
是我们拥有它。
09:03
And for designers,
especially emerging ones,
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对于设计师,
尤其是新兴设计师来说,
09:06
it helps them protect their designs.
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它可以帮助他们保护自己的设计。
每当这件作品被转售时,
设计师都会获得特许权使用费。
09:09
And each time this piece is resold,
the designer gets a royalty fee.
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09:14
This is going to be a game changer
for the fashion sector,
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这将改变时尚界的游戏规则,
09:17
because it redistributes power and money
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因为它将权力和金钱
09:20
back towards the original
designers and creators.
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重新分配给了原创设计师和创作者。
09:24
But it's not just
about creativity and aesthetics.
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但这不仅仅关乎创造力和美学。
09:27
Digital fashion could also make us
be more sustainable.
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数字时尚也可以使我们
更具可持续性。
09:31
150 billion garments
are manufactured every year,
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每年生产 1500 亿件服装,
09:37
and many of them are unsold.
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其中许多未售出。
09:39
This overproduction is unnecessary.
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这种生产过剩是不必要的。
09:42
And what we need to see more of --
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我们需要更多地了解——
09:44
and I’m talking specifically
to you, fast fashion retailers --
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我说的是快时尚零售商——
09:48
is that instead of just relying
on previous sales history,
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不是仅仅依靠以前的销售记录,
09:52
you actually showcase
digital versions of products
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而是在生产产品之前
展示数字版。
09:55
before you manufacture them.
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09:58
US brand Finesse already does this
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美国品牌Finesse已经这样做了,
并且在生产过程中没有浪费。
10:01
and has no waste in their
production processes.
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10:04
And how about a fashion tool
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那么,一款帮助你
10:06
that helps you wear that other
80 percent of your wardrobe?
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穿上衣橱中另外 80% 衣服的
时尚工具怎么样?
10:10
Save Your Wardrobe is an amazing tool
that digitizes your wardrobe,
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Save Your Wardrobe是一款很棒的工具 ,
它可以数字化你的衣柜,
10:16
kind of works a little bit
like a fitness tracker,
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有点像健身追踪器,
10:18
helps you style outfits together
and facilitates care and repair,
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可以帮助你整合衣服,
便于保养和维修,
10:23
so that your items last longer.
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从而延长物品的使用寿命。
10:25
And it could be a way that you could
help reduce the impact
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这可能是一种方法,
可以帮助减少每年最终被
填埋的 9200 万吨服装的影响。
10:29
of the 92 million tons of clothing
that ends up in landfill each year.
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10:35
So the exciting thing is, the "Clueless"
dream closet is actually already here.
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因此,令人兴奋的是,“Clueless” 的
梦幻壁橱实际上已经在这里。
10:41
(Laughter)
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(笑声)最后,
10:43
And lastly, e-commerce return
rates within fashion
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时尚行业的电子商务退货率非常高,
10:47
are scarily high,
between 40 to 60 percent.
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在 40% 至 60% 之间。
10:50
And this has a real environmental cost.
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这会带来真正的环境成本。
再说一遍,如果零售商在我们购买之前
10:53
So again, how about if retailers
helped us try things digitally
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10:58
before we purchased them physically?
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帮助我们进行数字化尝试,
那会怎么样呢?
11:00
John Lewis in the UK
uses artificial intelligence
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英国的约翰·刘易斯
使用人工智能
11:04
to do digital dressing
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制作数字服装,
这样消费者可以在购买前先试用。
11:06
so that consumers can try before they buy.
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11:09
And what they've been finding
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他们发现,
11:11
is that people have been trying
over 80 items every time they shop,
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人们每次购物都会
尝试 80 多种物品,
11:15
and it also makes
online shopping much more fun.
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这也使在线购物变得更加有趣。
11:19
Looking to the future, by 2033,
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展望未来,到 2033 年,
你很可能会有Spotify风格的订阅,
11:23
it's probably likely that you'll have
a Spotify-style subscription
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11:27
to download the latest fashion to wear
on your work hologram calls
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下载最新的时装以
在工作全息图通话中穿着,
11:32
or to flex on your avatar
to a virtual gallery opening.
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或者在虚拟画廊开幕时
展示你的头像。
这只是你衣柜里可能少了
很多东西的另外几个原因。
11:36
Just another couple of reasons
why that wardrobe of yours
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11:39
might have a lot less in it.
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11:41
Thank you.
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谢谢。
11:42
(Applause)
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(掌声)
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