In the war for information, will quantum computers defeat cryptographers? | Craig Costello

152,010 views ・ 2019-12-06

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Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

00:00
Translator: Joseph Geni Reviewer: Camille Martínez
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Prevodilac: Milenka Okuka Lektor: Ivana Korom
00:12
I'm in the business of safeguarding secrets,
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Radim u oblasti zaštite tajni,
00:16
and this includes your secrets.
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a to podrazumeva vaše tajne.
00:19
Cryptographers are the first line of defense
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Kriptografi su prva linija odbrane
00:21
in an ongoing war that's been raging for centuries:
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u ratu koji već vekovima bukti:
00:24
a war between code makers
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ratu između tvoraca šifri
00:27
and code breakers.
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i razbijača šifri.
00:29
And this is a war on information.
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A radi se o ratu za informacije.
00:32
The modern battlefield for information is digital.
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Savremeno ratište za informacije je digitalno.
00:35
And it wages across your phones,
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I zbiva se na vašim telefonima,
00:37
your computers
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kompjuterima
00:39
and the internet.
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i internetu.
00:41
Our job is to create systems that scramble your emails and credit card numbers,
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Naš posao je da stvorimo sisteme
koji šifruju vaše mejlove i brojeve kreditnih kartica,
00:46
your phone calls and text messages --
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vaše telefonske pozive i tekstovne poruke,
00:48
and that includes those saucy selfies --
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a to uključuje i one pikantne selfije -
00:50
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
00:52
so that all of this information can only be descrambled
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kako bi sve ove informacije mogle da budu dešifrovane
00:54
by the recipient that it's intended for.
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od strane primaoca kome su namenjene.
00:58
Now, until very recently,
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Sve do nedavno,
01:00
we thought we'd won this war for good.
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smatrali smo da smo za svagda pobedili u ovom ratu.
01:03
Right now, each of your smartphones is using encryption
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Trenutno svi vaši pametni telefoni koriste enkripciju
01:06
that we thought was unbreakable and that was going to remain that way.
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koju smo smatrali nesalomivom verujući da će tako i da ostane.
01:11
We were wrong,
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Pogrešili smo
01:13
because quantum computers are coming,
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jer stižu kvantni kompjuteri,
01:16
and they're going to change the game completely.
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a oni će u potpunosti da izmene pravila igre.
01:20
Throughout history, cryptography and code-breaking
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Kroz istoriju, kriptografija i razbijanje šifri
01:22
has always been this game of cat and mouse.
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su oduvek bili igra mačke i miša.
01:25
Back in the 1500s,
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Tokom 1500-ih,
01:27
Queen Mary of the Scots thought she was sending encrypted letters
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kraljica Meri od Škotske je mislila da šalje šifrovana pisma
01:30
that only her soldiers could decipher.
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koja jedino njeni vojnici mogu da dešifruju.
01:33
But Queen Elizabeth of England,
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Međutim, kraljica Elizabeta od Engleske
01:35
she had code breakers that were all over it.
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je imala razbijače šifri koji su pomno radili.
01:38
They decrypted Mary's letters,
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Dešifrovali su Merina pisma,
01:40
saw that she was attempting to assassinate Elizabeth
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videli da pokušava da ubije Elizabetu
01:43
and, subsequently, they chopped Mary's head off.
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i stoga su odsekli Merinu glavu.
01:47
A few centuries later, in World War II,
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Nekoliko vekova kasnije, u Drugom svetskom ratu,
01:50
the Nazis communicated using the Engima code,
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nacisti su komunicirali upotrebom šifre Enigma,
01:53
a much more complicated encryption scheme that they thought was unbreakable.
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daleko komplikovanije enkripcijske sheme koju su smatrali nesalomivom.
01:58
But then good old Alan Turing,
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No, onda je dobri stari Alan Tjuring,
02:00
the same guy who invented what we now call the modern computer,
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isti tip koji je izumeo ono što sada nazivamo modernim kompjuterom,
02:03
he built a machine and used it to break Enigma.
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napravio je mašinu i koristio je da dešifruje Enigmu.
02:06
He deciphered the German messages
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Dešifrovao je nemačke poruke
02:08
and helped to bring Hitler and his Third Reich to a halt.
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i pomogao u slamanju Hitlera i njegovog Trećeg rajha.
02:11
And so the story has gone throughout the centuries.
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I tako se odvijala priča vekovima.
02:14
Cryptographers improve their encryption,
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Kriptografi unaprede enkripciju,
02:17
and then code breakers fight back and they find a way to break it.
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a onda razbijači šifri uzvrate udarac i pronađu način da je dešifruju.
02:20
This war's gone back and forth, and it's been pretty neck and neck.
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Ova ratna razmena je bila prilično tesna.
02:25
That was until the 1970s,
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Sve do 1970-ih
02:28
when some cryptographers made a huge breakthrough.
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kada su neki kriptografi napravili ogroman pronalazak.
02:31
They discovered an extremely powerful way to do encryption
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Otkrili su izuzetno moćan način enkripcije
02:35
called "public-key cryptography."
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nazvan „asimetrična kriptografija”.
02:37
Unlike all of the prior methods used throughout history, it doesn't require
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Nasuprot svim prethodno korišćenim metodama kroz istoriju, ova ne zahteva
02:42
that the two parties that want to send each other confidential information
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da dve strane koje žele da pošalju jedna drugoj poverljive informacije
02:45
have exchanged the secret key beforehand.
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moraju da prethodno razmene tajni ključ.
02:48
The magic of public-key cryptography is that it allows us to connect securely
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Čarolija asimetrične kriptografije je u tome što nam omogućuje bezbednu vezu
02:52
with anyone in the world,
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s bilo kim u svetu,
02:55
whether we've exchanged data before or not,
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bilo da smo prethodno razmenili podatke ili ne.
02:58
and to do it so fast that you and I don't even realize it's happening.
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A obavlja to toliko brzo da vi i ja ni ne shvatamo da se dešava.
03:03
Whether you're texting your mate to catch up for a beer,
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Bilo da šaljete poruku prijatelju da izađete na pivo
03:06
or you're a bank that's transferring billions of dollars to another bank,
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ili ste banka koja prebacuje milijarde dolara drugoj banci,
03:10
modern encryption enables us to send data that can be secured
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moderna enkripcija nam omogućuje da bezbedno šaljemo podatke
03:13
in a matter of milliseconds.
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brzinom milisekundi.
03:17
The brilliant idea that makes this magic possible,
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Briljantna ideja zbok koje je ova magija moguća
03:20
it relies on hard mathematical problems.
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se zasniva na teškim matematičkim problemima.
03:23
Cryptographers are deeply interested in things that calculators can't do.
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Kriptografi su suštinski zainteresovani za ono što digitroni ne mogu.
03:29
For example, calculators can multiply any two numbers you like,
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Na primer, digitroni mogu da množe bilo koja dva broja koja poželite,
03:32
no matter how big the size.
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bez obzira na veličinu.
03:35
But going back the other way --
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No, vraćajući se na drugi način -
03:37
starting with the product and then asking,
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započinjući proizvodom a onda pitanjem:
03:39
"Which two numbers multiply to give this one?" --
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„Koja dva broja pomnožena daju ovaj broj?” -
03:41
that's actually a really hard problem.
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zapravo se radi o uistinu teškom problemu.
03:45
If I asked you to find which two-digit numbers multiply to give 851,
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Ukoliko bih vam zatražio da otkrijete koji dvocifreni brojevi pomnoženi daju 851,
03:51
even with a calculator,
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čak i sa digitronom,
03:52
most people in this room would have a hard time finding the answer
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većini ljudi u ovoj prostoriji bi bilo teško da otkriju odgovor
03:55
by the time I'm finished with this talk.
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do kraja mog govora.
03:57
And if I make the numbers a little larger,
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A ako malo povećam brojeve,
04:00
then there's no calculator on earth that can do this.
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onda nema tog digitrona na svetu koji može to da reši.
04:03
In fact, even the world's fastest supercomputer
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Zapravo, čak bi najbržem superkompjuteru na svetu
04:06
would take longer than the life age of the universe
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trebalo više od životnog veka univerzuma
04:09
to find the two numbers that multiply to give this one.
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da otkrije dva broja koja pomnožena daju ovaj broj.
04:13
And this problem, called "integer factorization,"
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A ovaj problem se naziva „rastavljanjem na faktore”,
04:16
is exactly what each of your smartphones and laptops is using right now
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a to je baš ono što svaki vaš pametni telefon i laptop trenutno koristi
04:20
to keep your data secure.
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da bi vaši podaci bili bezbedni.
04:22
This is the basis of modern encryption.
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Radi se o osnovi savremene enkripcije.
04:26
And the fact that all the computing power on the planet combined can't solve it,
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A činjenica da ni sve kompjuterske sile na planeti zajedno ne mogu da je reše
04:30
that's the reason we cryptographers thought we'd found a way
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je razlog zašto smo mi kriptografi smatrali da smo pronašli način
04:33
to stay ahead of the code breakers for good.
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da za svagda budemo ispred razbijača šifri.
04:37
Perhaps we got a little cocky
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Možda smo postali malčice drski
04:39
because just when we thought the war was won,
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jer baš kad smo pomislili da smo dobili rat,
04:42
a bunch of 20th-century physicists came to the party,
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gomila fizičara iz XX veka se pridružila zabavi
04:45
and they revealed that the laws of the universe,
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i otkrili su da zakoni univerzuma,
04:47
the same laws that modern cryptography was built upon,
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isti oni zakoni na kojima počiva savremena kriptografija,
04:51
they aren't as we thought they were.
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nisu ono što smo mislili da jesu.
04:54
We thought that one object couldn't be in two places at the same time.
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Mislili smo da jedan objekat ne može da bude na dva mesta istovremeno.
04:58
It's not the case.
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Nije tako.
04:59
We thought nothing can possibly spin clockwise and anticlockwise
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Mislili smo da nije moguće da se nešto okreće u pravcu kazaljke na satu i obratno
05:03
simultaneously.
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istovremeno.
05:05
But that's incorrect.
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Međutim, to nije tačno.
05:07
And we thought that two objects on opposite sides of the universe,
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I mislili smo da dva objekta na suprotnim stranama univerzuma,
05:10
light years away from each other,
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udaljeni svetlosnim godinama jedan od drugog,
05:13
they can't possibly influence one another instantaneously.
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ne mogu nikako da istovremeno utiču jedan na drugog.
05:17
We were wrong again.
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Opet nismo bili u pravu.
05:20
And isn't that always the way life seems to go?
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I zar se ne čini da je tako uvek u životu?
05:22
Just when you think you've got everything covered, your ducks in a row,
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Baš kad pomislite da ste sve rešili, da je sve potaman,
05:26
a bunch of physicists come along
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gomila fizičara dođe
05:27
and reveal that the fundamental laws of the universe are completely different
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i otkriju da su osnovni zakoni univerzuma potpuno drugačiji
05:31
to what you thought?
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nego što ste mislili?
05:32
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
05:33
And it screws everything up.
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I to sve zezne.
05:34
See, in the teeny tiny subatomic realm,
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Vidite, u sićušnoj subatomskoj oblasti,
05:39
at the level of electrons and protons,
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na nivou elektrona i protona,
05:42
the classical laws of physics,
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klasični zakoni fizike,
05:44
the ones that we all know and love,
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koje svi znamo i volimo,
05:46
they go out the window.
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potpuno otpadaju.
05:48
And it's here that the laws of quantum mechanics kick in.
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A baš tu nastupaju zakoni kvantne mehanike.
05:51
In quantum mechanics,
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U kvantnoj mehanici
05:52
an electron can be spinning clockwise and anticlockwise at the same time,
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elektron može istovremeno da se obrće u pravcu kazaljke na satu i obratno,
05:57
and a proton can be in two places at once.
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a proton može da bude na dva mesta istovremeno.
06:01
It sounds like science fiction,
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Zvuči kao naučna fantastika,
06:04
but that's only because the crazy quantum nature of our universe,
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ali to je tako zbog sumanute kvantne prirode našeg univerzuma
06:08
it hides itself from us.
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koja se skriva od nas.
06:10
And it stayed hidden from us until the 20th century.
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I bila je skrivena od nas sve do XX veka.
06:15
But now that we've seen it, the whole world is in an arms race
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Međutim, sad kad smo je otkrili, čitav svet je u trci
06:19
to try to build a quantum computer --
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da sagradi kvantni kompjuter -
06:22
a computer that can harness the power of this weird and wacky quantum behavior.
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kompjuter koji može da upregne ovo čudno i uvrnuto kvantno ponašanje.
06:28
These things are so revolutionary
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To su toliko revolucionarne stvari
06:30
and so powerful
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i toliko moćne
06:32
that they'll make today's fastest supercomputer
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da će zbog njih današnji najbrži superkompjuteri
06:35
look useless in comparison.
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da izgledaju beskorisno.
06:37
In fact, for certain problems that are of great interest to us,
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Zapravo, za određene probleme koji su nam od velikog značaja,
06:41
today's fastest supercomputer is closer to an abacus
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današnji najbrži superkompjuter je bliži računaljci
06:44
than to a quantum computer.
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nego kvantnom kompjuteru.
06:45
That's right, I'm talking about those little wooden things with the beads.
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Tako je, govorim o onim drvenim stvarčicama s kuglicama.
06:50
Quantum computers can simulate chemical and biological processes
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Kvantni kompjuter može da simulira hemijske i biološke procese
06:54
that are far beyond the reach of our classical computers.
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koji su van domašaja naših klasičnih kompjutera.
06:58
And as such, they promise to help us solve some of our planet's biggest problems.
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I kao takvi, obećavaju da će da reše neke od najvećih problema naše planete.
07:05
They're going to help us combat global hunger;
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Pomoći će nam da pobedimo svetsku glad,
07:09
to tackle climate change;
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da se bavimo klimatksim promenama,
07:11
to find cures for diseases and pandemics for which we've so far been unsuccessful;
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da pronađemo lek za bolesti i pandemije za kojima smo do sad bezuspešno tragali,
07:16
to create superhuman artificial intelligence;
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da stvorimo nadljudsku veštačku inteligenciju
07:20
and perhaps even more important than all of those things,
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i, ono što je možda i važnije od svega ostalog,
07:22
they're going to help us understand the very nature of our universe.
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pomoći će nam da razumemo samu prirodu univerzuma.
07:28
But with this incredible potential
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Međutim, s ovim izvanrednim potencijalom
07:31
comes an incredible risk.
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ide i izvanredan rizik.
07:34
Remember those big numbers I talked about earlier?
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Sećate se velikih brojeva o kojima sam pre govorio?
07:38
I'm not talking about 851.
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Ne govorim o 851.
07:40
In fact, if anyone in here has been distracted
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Zapravo, ukoliko neko ne može da se koncentriše
07:42
trying to find those factors,
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jer pokušava da otkrije činioce,
07:43
I'm going to put you out of your misery and tell you that it's 23 times 37.
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rešiću vas muka i reći ću vam da je to 23 puta 37.
07:47
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
07:48
I'm talking about the much bigger number that followed it.
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Govorimo o mnogo većem broju koji je išao posle.
07:52
While today's fastest supercomputer couldn't find those factors
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Dok današnji najbrži superkompjuter ne bi mogao da nađe te činioce
07:55
in the life age of the universe,
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tokom životnog veka univerzuma,
07:58
a quantum computer could easily factorize numbers
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kvantni kompjuter bi sa lakoćom mogao da rastavi na činioce
08:01
way, way bigger than that one.
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daleko, daleko veće brojeve.
08:03
Quantum computers will break all of the encryption currently used
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Kvantni kompjuter će da dešifruje svu enkripciju koju trenutno koristimo
08:07
to protect you and I from hackers.
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da se zaštitimo od hakera.
08:09
And they'll do it easily.
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I učiniće to s lakoćom.
08:12
Let me put it this way:
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Dozvolite da se izrazim ovako:
08:13
if quantum computing was a spear,
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kad bi kvantni kompjuter bio koplje,
08:16
then modern encryption,
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onda bi savremena enkripcija,
08:18
the same unbreakable system that's protected us for decades,
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baš taj nesalomivi sistem koji nas je štitio decenijama,
08:21
it would be like a shield made of tissue paper.
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bila poput štita od papirne maramice.
08:25
Anyone with access to a quantum computer will have the master key
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Svako sa pristupom kvantnom kompjuteru će da ima univerzalni ključ
08:29
to unlock anything they like in our digital world.
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da otključa sve što poželi u našem digitalnom svetu.
08:33
They could steal money from banks
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Mogli bi da kradu novac iz banki
08:35
and control economies.
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i da kontrolišu ekonomije.
08:37
They could power off hospitals or launch nukes.
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Mogli bi da iseku struju u bolnicama ili da ispale nuklearku.
08:40
Or they could just sit back and watch all of us on our webcams
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Ili bi mogli prosto da sednu i posmatraju sve nas preko naših kamera
08:43
without any of us knowing that this is happening.
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a da niko od nas ne zna da se to dešava.
08:49
Now, the fundamental unit of information on all of the computers we're used to,
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Elementarna informaciona jedinica na svim kompjuterima na koje smo navikli,
08:53
like this one,
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poput ovoga,
08:54
it's called a "bit."
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naziva se „bit”.
08:56
A single bit can be one of two states:
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Jedan bit može da bude u jednom od dva stanja:
08:58
it can be a zero or it can be a one.
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može da bude nula ili jedinica.
09:02
When I FaceTime my mum from the other side of the world --
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Kada preko Fejs tajma razgovaram s mamom koja je na drugoj strani sveta -
09:05
and she's going to kill me for having this slide --
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ubiće me zbog ovog slajda -
09:08
(Laughter)
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(Smeh)
09:09
we're actually just sending each other long sequences of zeroes and ones
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mi zapravo međusobno razmenjujemo duge nizove nula i jedinica
09:13
that bounce from computer to computer, from satellite to satellite,
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koji poskakuju od kompjutera do kompjutera, od satelita do satelita,
09:16
transmitting our data at a rapid pace.
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prenoseći naše podatke velikom brzinom.
09:18
Bits are certainly very useful.
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Bitovi su trenutno veoma korisni.
09:20
In fact, anything we currently do with technology
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Zapravo, sve što trenutno radimo s tehnologijom
09:23
is indebted to the usefulness of bits.
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dugujemo praktičnosti bita.
09:26
But we're starting to realize
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Međutim, počinjemo da uviđamo
09:28
that bits are really poor at simulating complex molecules and particles.
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da su bitovi zaista loši za simulaciju složenih molekula i čestica.
09:33
And this is because, in some sense,
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1976
A razlog za to je, na neki način,
09:35
subatomic processes can be doing two or more opposing things
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što subatomski procesi mogu da obavljaju dve ili više suprotnih stvari istovremeno
09:38
at the same time
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09:39
as they follow these bizarre rules of quantum mechanics.
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dok prate bizarna pravila kvantne mehanike.
09:43
So, late last century,
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U kasnom prošlom veku,
09:44
some really brainy physicists had this ingenious idea:
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nekim izuzetno pametnim fizičarima je pala na pamet genijalna ideja
09:48
to instead build computers that are founded
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2001
da prave kompjutere zasnovane
09:50
on the principles of quantum mechanics.
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na prinicipima kvantne mehanike.
09:54
Now, the fundamental unit of information of a quantum computer,
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Elementarna informaciona jedinica kvantnog kompjutera
09:57
it's called a "qubit."
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se naziva „kubit”,
09:59
It stands for "quantum bit."
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što je u prevodu „kvantni bit”.
10:02
Instead of having just two states, like zero or one,
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Umesto da ima samo dva stanja, poput nule ili jedinice,
10:06
a qubit can be an infinite number of states.
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kubit može da ima beskonačan broj stanja.
10:09
And this corresponds to it being some combination of both zero and one
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A to znači da je kubit nekakva kombinacija i nule i jedinice
10:13
at the same time,
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istovremeno.
10:15
a phenomenon that we call "superposition."
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Ovu pojavu nazivamo „superpozicijom”.
10:18
And when we have two qubits in superposition,
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A kada imamo dva kubita u superpoziciji,
10:21
we're actually working across all four combinations
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zapravo imamo posla sa sve četiri kombinacije
10:23
of zero-zero, zero-one, one-zero and one-one.
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nula-nula, nula-jedan, jedan-nula i jedan-jedan.
10:26
With three qubits,
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Kod tri kubita,
10:28
we're working in superposition across eight combinations,
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na delu imamo superpoziciju sa osam kobinacija
10:31
and so on.
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i tako dalje.
10:33
Each time we add a single qubit, we double the number of combinations
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3950
Svaki put kada dodamo samo jedan kubit, udvostručimo broj kombinacija
10:37
that we can work with in superposition
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3602
koje deluju u superpoziciji
10:40
at the same time.
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1179
istovremeno.
10:43
And so when we scale up to work with many qubits,
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Kada uvećamo razmere upotrebe kubita,
10:45
we can work with an exponential number of combinations
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možemo da imamo na delu eksponencijalan broj kombinacija
10:49
at the same time.
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istovremeno.
10:51
And this just hints at where the power of quantum computing is coming from.
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3635
A ovo samo nagoveštava moć koja počiva u kvantnim kompjuterima.
10:56
Now, in modern encryption,
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1327
Kod savremene enkripcije,
10:59
our secret keys, like the two factors of that larger number,
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naše tajne šifre, poput dva proizvoda tog velikog broja,
11:03
they're just long sequences of zeroes and ones.
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2277
one su tek dugi nizovi nula i jedinica.
11:06
To find them,
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1244
Da bi ih dešifrovao,
11:07
a classical computer must go through every single combination,
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4444
klasični kompjuter mora da proveri svaku kombinaciju pojedinačno,
11:12
one after the other,
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1151
jednu za drugom,
11:13
until it finds the one that works and breaks our encryption.
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3079
sve dok pronađe onu koja deluje i razbije našu enkripciju.
11:18
But on a quantum computer,
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Međutim, sa kvantnim kompjuterom
11:20
with enough qubits in superposition,
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i uz dovoljan broj kubita u superpoziciji,
11:25
information can be extracted from all combinations at the same time.
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možemo da izdvojimo informacije iz svih kombinacija istovremeno.
11:30
In very few steps,
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U svega nekoliko koraka,
11:32
a quantum computer can brush aside all of the incorrect combinations,
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3974
kvantni kompjuter može da odstrani sve netačne kombinacije,
11:36
home in on the correct one
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da se ustremi na tačne
11:37
and then unlock our treasured secrets.
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2061
i da potom otključa naše dragocene tajne.
11:44
Now, at the crazy quantum level,
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Sad, na sumanutom kvantnom nivou,
11:47
something truly incredible is happening here.
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ovde se nešto uistinu neverovatno dešava.
11:52
The conventional wisdom held by many leading physicists --
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3674
Konvencionalna mudrost koju poseduju mnogi vodeći fizičari -
11:56
and you've got to stay with me on this one --
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2619
i morate da ostanete prisebni dok ovo izgovaram -
11:58
is that each combination is actually examined by its very own quantum computer
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4423
glasi da svaku kombinaciju zapravo proverava njen lični kvantni kompjuter
12:03
inside its very own parallel universe.
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2549
unutar sopstvenog paralelnog univerzuma.
12:07
Each of these combinations, they add up like waves in a pool of water.
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Sve ove kombinacije se nadovezuju poput talasa u bazenu.
12:12
The combinations that are wrong,
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1986
Netačne kombinacije
12:14
they cancel each other out.
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1978
se međusobno poništavaju.
12:16
And the combinations that are right,
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A tačne kombinacije
12:17
they reinforce and amplify each other.
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1859
se međusobno snaže i pojačavaju.
12:20
So at the end of the quantum computing program,
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2665
Pa na kraju programa kvantnog kompjutera
12:22
all that's left is the correct answer,
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2817
sve što preostaje je tačan odgovor
12:25
that we can then observe here in this universe.
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2553
koji možemo da opazimo ovde u ovom univerzumu.
12:29
Now, if that doesn't make complete sense to you, don't stress.
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3136
Sad, ukoliko vam sve ovo i nema baš smisla, bez brige.
12:32
(Laughter)
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1048
(Smeh)
12:33
You're in good company.
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1223
U dobrom ste društvu.
12:36
Niels Bohr, one of the pioneers of this field,
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3166
Nils Bor, jedan od pionira u ovoj oblasti
12:39
he once said that anyone who could contemplate quantum mechanics
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je jednom rekao da bilo ko ko razmišlja o kvantnoj mehanici,
12:42
without being profoundly shocked,
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2363
a nije istinski zapanjen njome,
12:44
they haven't understood it.
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1456
zapravo je ne razume.
12:46
(Laughter)
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1427
(Smeh)
12:47
But you get an idea of what we're up against,
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2155
Međutim, jasno vam je sa čime se suočavamo
12:49
and why it's now up to us cryptographers
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2062
i zašto smo mi kriptografi sad na redu
12:52
to really step it up.
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1363
da se bacimo na posao.
12:54
And we have to do it fast,
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2089
A moramo da budemo brzi
12:56
because quantum computers,
255
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2032
jer kvantni kompjuteri
12:58
they already exist in labs all over the world.
256
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3023
već postoje u laboratorijama širom sveta.
13:03
Fortunately, at this minute,
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1897
Srećom, u ovom trenutku,
13:05
they only exist at a relatively small scale,
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2670
postoje u relativno malim razmerama,
13:07
still too small to break our much larger cryptographic keys.
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3065
još uvek suviše malim da bi razbili naše veće kriptografske šifre.
13:12
But we might not be safe for long.
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1684
Međutim, možda nismo još dugo bezbedni.
13:14
Some folks believe that secret government agencies
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2496
Neki veruju da su tajne vladine agencije
13:17
have already built a big enough one,
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1913
već napravile jedan dovoljno velik,
13:19
and they just haven't told anyone yet.
263
799425
1973
samo što još nikom nisu rekle.
13:21
Some pundits say they're more like 10 years off.
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2429
Neki akademici kažu da su verovatno tu za 10 godina.
13:24
Some people say it's more like 30.
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1860
Neki kažu da je izglednije za 30 godina.
13:27
You might think that if quantum computers are 10 years away,
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2857
Možda smatrate da, ako su kvantni kompjuteri 10 godina daleko,
13:30
surely that's enough time for us cryptographers to figure it out
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3064
da mi kartografi zasigurno imamo dovoljno vremena da shvatimo
13:33
and to secure the internet in time.
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kako da obezbedimo internet na vreme.
13:34
But unfortunately, it's not that easy.
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1887
Međutim, nažalost nije to baš tako lako.
13:37
Even if we ignore the many years that it takes
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2188
Čak iako zanemarimo godine koje su potrebne
13:39
to standardize and deploy and then roll out new encryption technology,
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3666
da se standardizuje, pripremi, a onda pusti u rad nova tehnologija enkripcije,
13:43
in some ways we may already be too late.
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2328
na neki način, možda smo već zakasnili.
13:47
Smart digital criminals and government agencies
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3172
Pametni digitalni kriminalci i vladine agencije
13:50
may already be storing our most sensitive encrypted data
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4279
možda već skladište naše najosetljivije šifrovane podatke
13:54
in anticipation for the quantum future ahead.
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2593
unapred iščekujući kvantnu budućnost.
13:59
The messages of foreign leaders,
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1738
Poruke stranih vođa,
14:02
of war generals
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1355
ratnih generala
14:04
or of individuals who question power,
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2162
ili pojedinaca koji se suprotstavljaju onima na vlasti,
14:07
they're encrypted for now.
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1550
za sada su pod enkripcijom.
14:10
But as soon as the day comes
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1601
Ali čim svane dan
14:12
that someone gets their hands on a quantum computer,
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2776
kada se neko dočepa kvantnog kompjutera,
14:14
they can retroactively break anything from the past.
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3126
moći će retroaktivno da otključaju sve iz prošlosti.
14:19
In certain government and financial sectors
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2030
U određenim vladinim i finansijskim sektorima
14:21
or in military organizations,
284
861132
1403
ili vojnim organizacijama,
14:22
sensitive data has got to remain classified for 25 years.
285
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3074
osetljivi podaci moraju da budu poverljivi 25 godina.
14:26
So if a quantum computer really will exist in 10 years,
286
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3180
Dakle, ako će kvantni kompjuter zaista da postoji za 10 godina,
14:29
then these guys are already 15 years too late
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2290
onda su ovi momci već 15 godina zadocnili
14:31
to quantum-proof their encryption.
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1710
u zaštiti enkripcije.
14:34
So while many scientists around the world
289
874858
1976
Dok se mnogi naučnici širom sveta
14:36
are racing to try to build a quantum computer,
290
876858
2903
utrkuju u pravljenju kvantnog kompjutera,
14:39
us cryptographers are urgently looking to reinvent encryption
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3450
mi kriptografi hitno tragamo za novom enkripcijom
14:43
to protect us long before that day comes.
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883259
2202
kako bismo se zaštitili na vreme.
14:46
We're looking for new, hard mathematical problems.
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2974
Tragamo za novim, teškim matematičkim problemima.
14:50
We're looking for problems that, just like factorization,
294
890435
3011
Tragamo za problemima koji, baš poput faktorizacije,
14:53
can be used on our smartphones and on our laptops today.
295
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3009
mogu da se koriste na pametnim telefonima i na našim laptopovima.
14:57
But unlike factorization, we need these problems to be so hard
296
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4375
Međutim, nasuprot faktorizaciji, potrebno je da problemi budu toliko teški
15:01
that they're even unbreakable with a quantum computer.
297
901995
2846
kako bi bili nerešivi čak i za kvantni kompjuter.
15:06
In recent years, we've been digging around a much wider realm of mathematics
298
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3606
U skorije vreme, pretraživali smo znatno širu oblast matematike
15:09
to look for such problems.
299
909996
1526
tragajući za takvim problemima.
15:12
We've been looking at numbers and objects
300
912205
1971
Razmatrali smo brojeve i objekte
15:14
that are far more exotic and far more abstract
301
914200
2168
koji su daleko egzotičniji i apstraktniji
15:16
than the ones that you and I are used to,
302
916392
1956
od onih na koje smo navikli,
15:18
like the ones on our calculators.
303
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1597
poput onih na našem digitronu.
15:19
And we believe we've found some geometric problems
304
919993
2380
I smatramo da smo otkrili neke geometrijske probleme
15:22
that just might do the trick.
305
922397
1399
koji bi mogli da obave posao.
15:24
Now, unlike those two- and three-dimensional geometric problems
306
924383
3063
Nasuprot tim dvo- i trodimenzionalnim geometrijskim problemima
15:27
that we used to have to try to solve with pen and graph paper in high school,
307
927470
3699
koje smo morali da rešavamo olovkom i milimetarskim papirom
u srednjoj školi,
15:31
most of these problems are defined in well over 500 dimensions.
308
931193
4229
većina ovih problema je definisana u preko 500 dimenzija.
15:36
So not only are they a little hard to depict and solve on graph paper,
309
936453
3756
Stoga, ne samo da ih je malčice teško nacrtati i rešiti na milimetarskom papiru,
15:40
but we believe they're even out of the reach of a quantum computer.
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već verujemo i da su van domašaja kvantnog kompjutera.
15:45
So though it's early days,
311
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1697
Dakle, iako je još rano,
15:47
it's here that we are putting our hope as we try to secure our digital world
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4505
ovde smeštamo naše nade dok pokušavamo da osiguramo naš digitalni svet
15:51
moving into its quantum future.
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951642
1970
koji se seli u kvantnu budućnost.
15:55
Just like all of the other scientists,
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955171
1853
Baš kao i svi drugi naučnici,
15:57
we cryptographers are tremendously excited
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957048
2163
mi kriptografi smo beskrajno uzbuđeni
15:59
at the potential of living in a world alongside quantum computers.
316
959235
3857
zbog mogućnosti da živimo u svetu zajedno sa kvantnim kompjuterima.
16:04
They could be such a force for good.
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2153
Mogli bi da budu velika sila na strani dobra.
16:09
But no matter what technological future we live in,
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4248
Međutim, u kakvoj god tehnološkoj budućnosti živeli,
16:16
our secrets will always be a part of our humanity.
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4856
naše tajne će uvek da budu deo naše čovečnosti.
16:22
And that is worth protecting.
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2234
A to je vredno zaštite.
16:25
Thanks.
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985559
1154
Hvala.
16:26
(Applause)
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986737
3106
(Aplauz)
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