3 Ways to Make Flying More Climate-Friendly | Ryah Whalen | TED

59,215 views ・ 2022-06-14

TED


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I have a confession to make.
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I feel bad about flying.
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And I know I'm not the only one here.
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I love to travel, but I know it's hurting our environment.
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When I was six years old, I moved to Taiwan.
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My family, we boarded a regional jet in Iowa,
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and 30 hours later we stepped off a 747 in Taiwan.
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Airplanes had taken us halfway across the globe.
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And I felt the wonder of a new world.
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Air travel,
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it builds bridges and it connects us.
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It takes families and people to new lives and new experiences.
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But it also comes with a cost.
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A cost to our climate.
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When I first started focusing on the aviation sector,
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I quickly learned that aviation accounts for
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about two percent of global CO2 emissions.
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And while that number may seem small,
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it could grow to 20 percent by 2050 if no action is taken.
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And for those of us that do fly regularly,
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it can be the biggest component of our individual carbon footprint.
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That trip I took when I was six,
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if I were to make the same trip today,
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I would have to be vegetarian for nearly four years
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to make up for the carbon and other emissions from that trip.
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And so that's why I'm conflicted.
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And it's also why I'm working with the aviation sector
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to figure out how to decarbonize as soon as possible.
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The next thing I learned is this:
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decarbonizing aviation, it's no easy task.
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Traditional jet fuel is so very good at its job.
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It’s cheap, and it’s energy-dense.
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And because of that engines, airplanes, airports,
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fuel supply chains and regulations,
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they are all built on flying planes from point A to point B
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that run on jet fuel.
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And those planes that run on jet fuel,
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they're operated for 20 to 30 years on average
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before they're retired.
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That means a plane that's ordered today will be flying until around 2050.
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So we can't get there on engines and airplanes alone.
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If we want any hope of reaching our goal of zero emissions,
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we need to find the mix of solutions now.
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There's three broad buckets that we need to address.
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The first is how we design and fly planes.
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The second are the fuels that we use, namely biofuels, to power those planes.
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And the third is new and emerging technology
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that can entirely change the game.
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Let's start with how we design planes.
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Well, the basic design of a plane doesn't change much
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from one generation to the next.
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Improvements in aerodynamics, reductions in cabin weight
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and even improved engine efficiency
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means that each generation of aircraft
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is about 20 percent more fuel-efficient than the last.
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Now, that's great.
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But turnover is slow, and so there's more we can do.
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We can also fly planes differently.
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Flying planes differently means changes to airport management,
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to air traffic control, even individual pilot behavior.
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If a plane sits on the runway for less time before takeoff,
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we can reduce emissions.
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If a plane takes a more direct route instead of flying around national borders,
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we reduce emissions.
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And if individual pilots don't gun it at takeoff,
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we can also reduce emissions.
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Now, these changes, they may sound easy, but they're not.
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We all know that individual behavior change,
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it doesn't always stick.
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And changes to airports and air traffic management,
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that's a really long march.
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My team estimates that if we were to really prioritize
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designing and flying planes differently,
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we could reduce 2050 carbon dioxide emissions by 30 to 40 percent.
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We need to do this.
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But we need more.
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We also need biofuels.
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And for biofuels or bio-based, sustainable aviation fuel,
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you need funding and you need feedstock.
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Let's start with feedstock.
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Biofuels are based on biological sources, like grains and oil seeds,
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forestry residue, used cooking oil, even municipal solid waste.
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You can take trash and convert it to fuel
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in a way that meaningfully reduces emissions.
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But there's a catch.
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There's only so much forestry residue.
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And there's only so much land that can or should be converted
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to grow crops for fuel
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without impacting global food supply chains.
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And then there's funding. Biofuels are expensive.
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They're more expensive than traditional jet fuel
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and could raise ticket prices to consumers by 10 to 20 percent.
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And we need a massive initial investment
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to build the production facilities to meaningfully supply the sector.
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It's a classic chicken and egg problem
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because prices are high, there’s no demand.
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And because there’s no demand, there’s no supply.
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And because there's no supply,
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prices aren't coming down and so there's no demand.
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And on and on and on.
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Thankfully, we are finally starting to break the cycle.
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The European Commission recently proposed an alternative fuels mandate
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of 5 percent by 2030 and 20 percent by 2035.
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And there's even pressure to accelerate that.
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A far cry from the .01 percent of biofuel usage
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that we were at in 2018.
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My team estimates that if we were to really focus on biofuels,
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we could further reduce 2050 CO2 emissions by 10 to 30 percent.
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That leaves us with a gap of 30 percent. That’s not good enough.
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It doesn’t get us to our goals,
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and it certainly doesn't absolve me of my guilt
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when I consider getting on a plane.
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The third bucket of things we need
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lies in breakthrough, innovation and invention.
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You have synthetic fuel,
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which, like biofuels, works with existing engine technology and airplane design.
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Synthetic fuels or e-kerosene actually take carbon dioxide from the air,
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combine it with hydrogen that's cleanly separated from water
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to produce fuel.
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The science is amazing.
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But it's really early days, it's small-batch and it's expensive.
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And then you have hybrid electric and electric aircraft:
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small planes that run on batteries.
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By 2050, these planes could fly for short distances.
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And then there's hydrogen. Green hydrogen.
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There's hydrogen fuel cells, batteries that run on hydrogen,
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or hydrogen-combustion engines, engines that use hydrogen as fuel.
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These also show promise, and we need to continue to invest in them.
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These new fuels pair really well with new aircraft design,
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like the blended wing body where there's no clear dividing line
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between the main body and the wings of the aircraft.
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These planes could be at least 20 percent more fuel-efficient
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than traditional aircraft.
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And they create the opportunity to rethink where fuel is stored
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so we can use new energy sources, like hydrogen.
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Now, some of these innovations, they'll work, and some may not.
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We may need to rely on high quality removals
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like carbon capture and storage.
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What is clear is that if we want any hope of getting to zero emissions,
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we will need some of these and potentially other technologies.
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There are challenges: ensuring the safety of these technologies,
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investing billions and billions of dollars
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to build the production facilities and supply chains
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for biofuels and synthetic fuels.
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And making sure that each and every country does its part.
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If it sounds hard, that's because it is hard,
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but it's not impossible.
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I think we can get it done.
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The hard work, it's already starting.
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The sector is innovating and investing and collaborating,
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and that hard work, it needs to continue.
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And it needs to intensify.
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And while that hard work happens, I'll remain conflicted.
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I want to travel.
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I want to see friends and family and colleagues.
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And so there's a few things I do.
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I ask myself: Do I really need to make that trip?
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I work with my company to advocate for biofuels,
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to try to break that chicken and egg cycle.
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And I try to fly on the most climate-friendly
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and fuel-efficient airlines.
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We all know that individual choices can drive collective action.
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This sector, like many others,
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is one where the entire industry has to work together
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if we want to reach our goal.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)
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