Dr. Anthony Fauci: Is the pandemic actually over? It's complicated | TED

64,293 views ・ 2022-09-22

TED


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翻译人员: Cindy Zheng-Huang 校对人员: Yanyan Hong
00:03
David Biello: In the wake of Dr. Anthony Fauci's announcement
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大卫·比洛(David Biello):
随着安东尼·福奇博士 (Dr. Anthony Fauci)宣布
00:06
that he will be retiring
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他将卸任
00:08
as the head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
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国家过敏和传染病研究所所长
00:12
at the end of the year,
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于年底,
00:13
I've invited him to join me for a conversation
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我邀请他与我来一场对话
00:16
on the future of the COVID-19 pandemic,
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关于 COVID-19 大流行的未来,
00:18
reflections on his career and the future of public health.
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他对职业生涯的反思和 公共卫生的展望。
00:22
Please welcome Brooklyn's own Dr. Fauci.
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请欢迎布鲁克林独一无二的福奇博士!
00:25
Anthony Fauci: Hi, David, nice to see you, thank you for having me.
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AF: 你好,大卫,很高兴见到你, 谢谢你请我来。
00:28
DB: Thank you for joining us.
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DB:感谢您加入我们。
00:30
So my first question is very simple.
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我第一个问题很简单。
00:34
Is the COVID-19 pandemic over?
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COVID-19 大流行结束了吗?
00:38
AF: You know, David, there's a lot of misinterpretation
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AF: 你知道,大卫,这里有很多误解,
00:40
about what the meaning of the word "over" is,
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对于“结束”这个词的含义,
00:43
it means different things to different people.
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对不同的人意味着不同的事。
00:45
I'm sure you're referring to the comment made by the President a day or two ago.
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我相信你指的是 总统一两天前做的评论。
00:51
If you're talking about the fulminant phase of the outbreak,
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如果你说的是暴发流行期,
00:56
when we were having anywhere from 800,000 to 900,000 infections a day
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当我们每天有 80 万至 90 万例感染,
01:01
and 3,000 to 4,000 deaths per day,
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每日死亡三千至四千人,
01:04
that was several months ago.
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那是几个月前的事了。
01:07
We are much, much better off now than we were then.
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我们现在比当时的情形要好, 好很多了。
01:11
So in that case,
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所以从这看来,
01:14
that fulminant phase of the outbreak is behind us.
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那个疫情暴发阶段已经过去了。
01:18
But as the President made very clear on the second half of his sentence,
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但正如总统明确表示, 在他的后半句,
01:24
is that, which they don't seem to show, is that he actually said
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就是那,似乎没有显现出来, 就是他真正说的,
01:29
we still have a lot of work to do,
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我们还有很多工作要做,
01:30
there's still a challenge ahead,
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前面还有挑战,
01:32
we’ve got to get people vaccinated.
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我们还要让人们接种疫苗。
01:34
We still have a number of cases,
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我们还有很多病例,
01:35
we have 400 deaths per day.
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我们每天有四百人死亡。
01:39
That's an unacceptably high level.
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这是个无法接受的高水平。
01:41
So again, it depends on the semantics of what your definition is.
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所以再次, 这取决于对词意 你的解释是什么。
01:45
We don't want anyone to get the impression
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我们不想让任何人觉得
01:49
that we don't have a lot of work to do.
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我们没有很多工作要做。
01:51
We've got to get the level of infection
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我们必须使感染水平
01:54
considerably lower than it is.
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比现在低很多。
01:56
And we've certainly got to get the level of deaths lower than it is.
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我们当然要让死亡人数 低于目前水平。
02:01
So again, it depends on the semantics of what you mean by "end."
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同样,这取决于语义 你所说的“结束”是什么意思。
02:05
DB: Well, let's get into those semantics then.
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那么,让我们进入这些语义。
02:08
What conditions would need to exist for the pandemic to be over?
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需要具备什么条件才是大流行结束?
02:12
AF: You know, that's a call
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AF: 你知道,这是一个决定
02:14
that officially is made by the World Health Organization.
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由世界卫生组织正式发布。
02:18
You know, my colleagues and I
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你知道,我和我的同事
02:21
oh, it must have been more than ten years ago,
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噢,那已经是十多年前的事了,
02:24
because of the lack of clarity
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因为缺乏明确性
02:27
on what a pandemic means to one person versus another,
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大流行对一个人和 另一个人意味着什么,
02:31
we wrote a paper in the Journal of Infectious Diseases
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我们在传染病杂志上 写了一篇论文
02:34
in which we talked about all the different variations of interpretations.
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我们在文中讨论了 所有各种不同的解释方式。
02:40
Is it a widespread phenomenon?
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它是一种广泛传播的现象?
02:43
Is it the widespread nature throughout the world
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它全世界广泛传播的特质?
02:46
that makes it officially a pandemic?
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使得它正式成为大流行?
02:49
Or is it widespread and accelerating?
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或是它广泛传播并增速发展?
02:53
Or is it widespread causing serious disease?
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或是它的广泛传播 导致了严重疾病?
02:56
It means different things to different people.
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它对不同的人 意味着不同的事情。
02:58
So rather than try and give a definition, that's my definition versus another,
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因此,与其试图给出一个定义, 我的或别人的的定义。
03:04
we should stick with what the WHO is saying.
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我们应该依照 世界卫生组织的说法。
03:08
And as Dr. Tedros said,
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正如谭德塞博士(Dr. Tedros)所说,
03:12
that we're seeing the light at the end of the tunnel on that.
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我们看到了隧道尽头的光。
03:15
So, again, you might interpret that,
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所以,再一次,你可以因此解释
03:17
well, if that's the case, is it over?
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如果是这样的话,它结束了吗?
03:19
Well, again, what does "over" mean?
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嗯,再说一遍, “结束”是什么意思?
03:21
There's a lot of semantics there, David.
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大卫,那里有很多语义。
03:23
The easiest way not to confuse people is to say we still have a lot of cases,
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最简单又不迷惑人的说法是 我们还有很多病例,
03:28
we still have 400 deaths,
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我们仍有四百个死亡病例,
03:30
we only have 67 percent of the population vaccinated,
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我们只有 67% 的人口接种了疫苗,
03:33
we've got to do better than that.
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我们必须做得比这更好。
03:35
Of those, only one half have gotten a single boost.
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其中,只有一半打了一次增强剂。
03:40
And as a nation,
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作为一个国家,
03:42
we lag behind other developed countries
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我们落后于其他发达国家,
03:45
and even some low- and middle-income countries
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甚至一些中低收入国家,
03:49
in the level of vaccinations that we've been able to implement.
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在我们能够实施的疫苗接种水平上。
03:53
So if you want to look it that way, we have a lot of work to do,
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所以,如果你从这来看, 我们有很多工作要做。
03:56
and that's exactly what the President said.
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这正是总统所说的。
03:59
DB: So speaking of vaccines, what's your advice?
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DB: 说到疫苗, 你有什么建议?
04:02
I know we have the bivalent available now.
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我知道我们现在有二价的。
04:06
What is your advice on which vaccines to get
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您对接种哪种疫苗有何建议?
04:08
and when that's appropriate?
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以及什么时候合适?
04:11
AF: Well, first, you've got to get your primary series.
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AF: 好的,首先, 你必须接种你的初级系列。
04:13
So, I mean, that's the one where I said only 67 percent
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就是我上面说,只有 67%
04:18
of the country has gotten their primary series,
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我国的人口接种了 他们的初级系列,
04:20
which for the most part,
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在大多数情况下
04:22
with some exceptions,
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除了一些例外,
04:23
is an mRNA vaccine, either Moderna or Pfizer,
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是一种 mRNA 疫苗,莫德纳或辉瑞
04:27
given anywhere from three to four weeks apart as the primary.
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作为的初级疫苗间隔 3 - 4周。
04:31
Then the issue is about giving people booster shots.
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然后问题是给人们注射增强疫苗。
04:36
So right now,
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所以,现在
04:37
if you're asking a clear question,
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如果你问的是一个明确的问题
04:39
of today,
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今天的,
04:41
with the bivalent BA.4-5 boosters
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有关二价 BA.4-5 增强剂
04:45
or updated vaccines is a better terminology to use,
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或更新疫苗 是一个更好使用的术语,
04:50
they are available now throughout the country.
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它们现在在全国各地都可以获得。
04:53
We've ordered 171 million doses.
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我们已经订购了 1.71 亿剂。
04:57
Who should get it?
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谁应该使用它?
04:59
Anyone who is vaccinated with the primary series
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任何接种过初级系列疫苗的人
05:05
and has not received a shot
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没有打过一针
05:09
longer than two months ago
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超过两个月,
05:12
should get it.
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应该接种它。
05:13
So if I got my last shot,
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因此,如果我最后一次接种,
05:16
let’s say in July -- August, September,
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假设是在 7 月、8 月、9 月,
05:20
two months later, you should get the bivalent.
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两个月后, 你应该接种二价的。
05:23
If you were infected three months or more ago,
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如果你在三个月前或更长时间被感染,
05:29
you should then get the updated vaccine.
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你应该接种更新的疫苗。
05:32
Let me give you an example for clarity for the audience.
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让我给你举个例子 为了让听众清楚。
05:35
I was infected in the end of June of this year,
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我今年 6 月底被感染了,
05:40
even though I had been vaccinated.
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即使我已经接种了疫苗。
05:42
Fortunately, because I was vaccinated,
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幸运的是, 因为我接种了疫苗,
05:46
I had a relatively mild illness.
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我的病相对比较轻。
05:48
At my age, had I not been vaccinated,
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在我这个年纪, 如果我没有接种疫苗,
05:52
the chances are I could have had a real severe outcome
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我很有可能得到非常严重的后果
05:56
because elderly are more prone to get severity of disease.
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因为老年人更容易患上严重的疾病。
06:02
So if you take the end of June,
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所以如果你拿六月底来算,
06:04
take the end of July, the end of August,
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七月底,八月底
06:08
the end of September.
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九月底
06:09
I plan to get my updated BA.4-5 bivalent
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我计划接种更新的 BA.4-5 二价
06:15
at the end of September, the first week in October.
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九月底,十月的第一周。
06:19
DB: I think that’s a very useful advice, and actually I will be doing the same.
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DB: 我认为这是一个非常有用的建议, 实际上我也会同样做。
06:26
How are you personally navigating this stage in the pandemic?
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您的个人是如何渡过 大流行的这一阶段?
06:30
What precautions are you taking, if any?
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您采取了什么预防措施 如果有的话?
06:33
AF: Well, I certainly continue to take precautions.
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AF: 当然,我当然会继续 采取预防措施。
06:36
And I think it's important that you ask me personally that question,
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我认为你问我个人 这个问题很重要,
06:39
because people have different levels of risk of severity of disease.
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因为人们患疾病严重程度的 风险水平不同。
06:44
I am a person who is relatively healthy,
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我是一个相对健康的人,
06:48
but I'm at an elderly age.
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但我在老年人年龄段。
06:50
I'm 81 years old.
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我 81 岁了,
06:51
I'm going to be 82 in December.
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12 月我就 82 岁了。
06:54
So I, statistically, would have more of a risk.
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所以,从统计上来说, 会有更大的风险。
06:58
So the precautions I take,
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所以我采取的预防措施:
07:00
I stay up to date on my vaccinations, number one.
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我在疫苗接种上 保持最新状态,这是第一点。
07:04
And when I go to a place that's a congregate indoor setting
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当我去一个室内聚集的地方,
07:09
where there are a lot of people
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人多的地方,
07:10
and I don't know the status of their infection,
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并且,我不知道他们感染的状况,
07:15
their vaccination or what have you,
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他们的疫苗接种或有什么病。
07:17
I would, for the most part, wear a mask.
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大部分情况下,我会戴口罩。
07:19
When I'm with people who I know what their status is,
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当我知道他们状况的人, 在一起时,
07:22
people who are recently vaccinated
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最近接种了疫苗的人,
07:24
or people who come in and test before they come in,
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在他们来之前进行了测试的人,
07:28
I could have a dinner in my home or in the home of a friend
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我可以在我家 或者在朋友家里吃晚饭,
07:30
without any concern.
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没有任何顾虑。
07:33
But if I go to crowded places, certainly on an airplane,
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但如果我去拥挤的地方, 比如是在飞机上,
07:37
even though it isn't required any more,
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即使不再规定需要,
07:40
if I go on a prolonged or even a short airplane trip,
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如果我去长时间 甚至是短暂的飞机旅行,
07:44
again, because of my increased risk as an elderly person,
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再次,因为作为老年人, 我的风险增加,
07:49
I wear a mask on the plane.
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我在飞机上戴口罩。
07:52
DB: So switching gears a little bit, or taking a step back,
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DB:稍微换一下档, 或者停下来想一下,
07:56
are consecutive pandemics kind of our new reality?
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连续大流行有点是我们的新现实吗?
08:00
We obviously had the monkeypox outbreak.
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我们显然爆发了猴痘。
08:04
And if that is the case,
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如果是这样的话,
08:05
how do we cope with consecutive pandemics?
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我们要如何应对连续的大流行呢?
08:09
AF: Well, you know, we have had,
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AF:嗯,你知道,我们曾经有,
08:12
probably without the general public noticing it much,
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可能公众没有注意到太多,
08:17
we have had, in the history of our civilization,
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在我们的文明史上,
08:22
outbreaks of emerging infections,
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新兴感染的爆发,
08:25
some of which turn into pandemics.
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其中一些演变成大流行。
08:29
We've had them before recorded history.
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我们有史记录之前就有过它们。
08:32
We've had them in the lifetime of some of us, you and I.
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我们有的在 有生之年经历了,你和我。
08:37
We're going through one right now.
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我们现在正在经历着一次。
08:40
So given the fact that most of the outbreaks of new infections
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鉴于大多数新感染的爆发
08:45
come from the animal-human interface,
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来自动物与人的接触面,
08:50
which is sometimes intruded upon, as it were,
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它有时被侵扰,
08:55
where people, either by climate change or by intruding on forests,
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当人类因气候变化,或者侵入了森林,
09:03
“uninhabited by human” places in the world,
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世界上的“无人区”,
09:07
you’re going to get jumping of species.
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你会得到物种的跨跃。
09:09
Or in markets where you put animals from the wild
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或者在市场上, 你把野生动物放在那里
09:13
in contact with humans,
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与人类接触,
09:14
which is exactly what happened with SARS-CoV-1
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这正是 SARS-CoV-1 发生的情况,
09:18
and highly likely happened with SARS-CoV-2.
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并且极有可能 发生在 SARS-CoV-2 。
09:22
We will continue to get outbreaks.
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我们将持续爆发疫情。
09:24
Pandemic flu generally comes from a situation
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大流行性流感 通常来自一种情况
09:29
where you have the animal species that harbor influenza,
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那里有携带流感的动物,
09:33
pigs, fowl,
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猪、家禽,
09:36
birds and humans together in that environment.
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鸟类和人类一起生活 在这样的环境中。
09:39
That's how you get the bird flu that tend to challenge us a fair amount
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这就是你得禽流感的原因, 往往会给我们带来相当大的挑战
09:44
or the swine flu.
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或者猪流感。
09:47
So the short answer to your question, David,
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对你问题的简短回答, 大卫,
09:49
is that we will continue to get outbreaks of new infections.
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我们将继续爆发新的感染吗?
09:54
The critical issue is how do you prevent them from becoming pandemics?
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关键问题是如何防止它们 成为大流行?
10:01
And that's what's called pandemic preparedness,
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而这就称为大流行防备。
10:04
which is a combination of scientific preparedness,
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这是科学准备的组合,
10:09
like we did with the rapid development of vaccines for COVID-19,
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就像我们快速生产 新冠肺炎疫苗,
10:15
which was a highly successful scientific endeavor,
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这是一项非常成功的科学努力,
10:20
matched with a public health response,
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与公共卫生反应相匹配,
10:24
which we didn't do as well, in the public health response,
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我们在公共卫生反应中 相对来说没有做好,
10:27
because we had spread of infection
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因为我们有感染传播,
10:31
in a way that we could have done better in controlling it.
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我们本可以更好地控制它。
10:35
DB: So speaking of that, this is not your first epidemic,
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DB:说到这,这不是你的第一次流行病,
10:39
but you've made historic contributions to the AIDS epidemic
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但是你对艾滋病的流行做出了 历史意义的贡献,
10:44
and now COVID-19.
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现在是新冠肺炎。
10:46
But is there anything you wish you had done differently in those cases?
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但你是否希望自己有任何事情 做得有所不同吗?
10:51
AF: Well, there always is.
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AF:嗯,总是有。
10:53
I mean, it's a question of when you're involved --
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我是说,这是一个 你何时参与的问题——
10:55
Nobody is perfect, certainly not I or any of my colleagues.
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没有人是完美的, 无论是我或我的任何同事。
11:00
But when you're dealing with an emerging,
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但当你面对一个刚出现的
11:04
moving, dynamic target,
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变化 ,动态目标,
11:07
which by definition is what a pandemic is,
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按照定义,这就是大流行,
11:10
particularly if it's with a pathogen that you've never had experience with,
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特别如果它是一种 你从未接触过的病原体,
11:16
like HIV in the very early 1980s,
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就像 1980 年代初的 HIV 那样,
11:21
or the COVID-19 pandemic
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或新冠肺炎大流行,
11:24
in the first months of 2020,
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在 2020 年的头几个月,
11:28
you could always say,
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你总可以说,
11:29
if we knew then what we know now,
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如果我们当时 知道我们现在知道的,
11:32
and there was a lot of things that we didn't know,
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那时我们有很多不知道的事,
11:35
we certainly would have done things differently.
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我们肯定会做不同的事情。
11:39
And that's why you have to be humble and modest
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这就是为什么 你必须谦逊和谦虚
11:42
to realize if you are going to be following the science,
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意识到如果你要遵循科学,
11:47
the science which gives you data and information and evidence
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科学为你提供数据、信息和证据
11:53
is going to change,
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将会改变,
11:55
particularly in the early phases of the outbreak.
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特别是在疫情暴发的早期阶段。
11:59
Did we know how easily it was spread from human to human?
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我们知道它在人与人之间传播有多容易吗?
12:03
No.
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不。
12:04
Did we know that it was aerosol spread?
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我们知道这是气溶胶传播吗?
12:07
No.
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不。
12:08
We thought in the beginning it was like influenza,
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我们一开始以为这就像流感,
12:11
mostly droplets from a sick person.
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主要是病人的飞沫。
12:13
Did we know that 50 to 60 percent of the transmissions
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我们知道 50% 到 60% 的传播
12:18
were [from] someone who had no symptoms at all,
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来自完全没有症状的人吗?
12:22
which clearly impacts how you approach an outbreak?
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这明显影响了你如何应对疫情。
12:27
Did we realize that instead of the typical outbreak, where it goes up,
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我们有没有意识到, 它与典型的疫情不同,
12:31
it comes down and then you're done with it,
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它下来后你就完成了,
12:34
we had no concept that you'd be seeing different waves
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我们没有想到你会看到不同的浪潮
12:38
and different variants that came along.
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以及随之而来的不同变种。
12:40
So the answer to your question,
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所以你问题的答案是
12:42
if we knew all of that from the beginning,
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如果我们从一开始就知道这一切,
12:45
we certainly would have done things differently.
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我们肯定会做不同的事情。
12:48
But unfortunately we didn't.
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但不幸的是,我们没有。
12:50
And you try to be flexible enough and humble enough
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你努力做到足够灵活和谦逊
12:54
to change and modify how you approach things
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改变和修正你如何处理事情,
12:58
based on the recent data.
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基于最新的数据。
13:00
That’s not flip-flopping.
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这不是改变观点,
13:03
That is truly following the evidence and following the data.
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这是真正的遵循证据和数据。
13:08
DB: Right, that's just how science works,
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DB:是的,这就是科学的运作方式,
13:10
it's constantly updating
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它不断更新,
13:12
and especially in a real-time situation like this pandemic.
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尤其是在这次大流行 这样的实时情况下。
13:17
But are there any, I don't know, specific regrets you have,
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但我不知道你有没有什么特别的遗憾,
13:21
something you would take back if you could?
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如果可以,你会收回的东西?
13:24
AF: Well, it depends.
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AF:嗯, 这得看情况。
13:26
Yeah, I mean, obviously in the beginning when we were under the impression,
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是的,我的意思是,很明显, 一开始我们在印象中,
13:30
or didn't fully realize that there was aerosol spread,
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或者没有充分意识到有气溶胶传播,
13:35
we were under the impression, which was true,
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我们就有这样的印象,这是真的,
13:38
because we were told that,
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因为我们被告知,
13:40
that there weren’t enough masks for the health care providers.
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没有足够的口罩供医护人员使用。
13:43
And if we started everybody hoarding masks,
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如果我们开始大家囤积口罩,
13:46
there wouldn't be masks available to the health care providers.
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不会有口罩可提供给医疗工作者。
13:51
We didn't realize that out of the health care setting,
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我们没有意识到在医疗环境中
13:54
like the hospital setting,
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比如医院环境,
13:56
that masks were effective in preventing acquisition and transmission.
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口罩能有效防止感染和传播。
14:01
We didn't know that.
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我们当时不知道。
14:02
We know it now for sure, but we didn't know it then.
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我们现在肯定知道, 但当时我们不知道。
14:05
We didn't know that the silent spread from people who were without symptoms.
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我们不知道无声的传播 来自没有症状的人
14:12
And that meant we didn't know that, while we were looking for sick people,
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这意味着我们在寻找病人时不知道,
14:17
there were many, many, many more people without symptoms that were in society
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有很多、很多、很多 没有症状的人在社区中
14:22
spreading the infection
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正传播着感染
14:24
in a way that was not detectable, below the radar screen.
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以一种无法检测的方式 在关注范围以下。
14:28
Had we known that,
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如果我们知道,
14:29
I absolutely would have said right from the beginning,
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我绝对会从一开始就说,
14:32
everybody wear a mask all the time in an indoor setting.
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在室内环境中, 每个人都要戴口罩。
14:36
But we didn't say that then.
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但我们当时没有这么说。
14:37
It was only when it became obvious.
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只有当它变得明显时。
14:39
So if we had known that early on,
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所以如果我们早就知道了,
14:42
we would have told people to wear a mask.
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我们会告诉人们戴口罩。
14:44
However, I must say, David,
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然而,我必须说,大卫,
14:46
given the reluctance of people to wear masks,
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鉴于人们不愿戴口罩,
14:50
even now that we know all that stuff,
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即使现在我们知道了所有这些,
14:53
I'm wondering how well that would have been received
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我仍在琢磨接受程度会怎么样,
14:58
if at a time when there were ten or so documented infections,
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如果有十个左右的感染记录。
15:03
if you told the country that everybody should wear a mask in an indoor setting,
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如果你告诉国家 每个人在室内都应该戴口罩,
15:08
not so sure that would have been broadly accepted.
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不太确定这会被广泛接受。
15:12
DB: Yeah. And this seems to be something that,
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DB:是的, 这似乎是这样的。
15:15
the United States anyway, has been through before,
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反正美国也经历过
15:17
with the Spanish flu
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西班牙流感,
15:19
and masking and then anti-mask protests.
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戴口罩和反口罩的抗议。
15:22
And it seems to be in our, let's say,
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它似乎在我们的,比方说,
15:25
societal immune response to these pandemics.
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社会对这些流行病的免疫反应。
15:28
Flipping it a little bit,
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稍微翻转一下,
15:30
how do we make sure we're not caught so, sort of, unprepared next time?
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我们如何确保下次 不会被抓得措手不及?
15:36
AF: Well, you know, it's interesting, David,
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AF:你知道,这很有趣,大卫,
15:38
what you mean by unprepared,
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你所说的毫无准备,
15:40
because the Johns Hopkins School of Public Health
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因为约翰·霍普金斯公共卫生学院
15:44
evaluated different countries' preparedness for a pandemic.
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评估了不同国家应对大流行的准备情况。
15:49
And guess who was evaluated to be first in the world?
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猜猜谁被评为世界第一?
15:53
The United States of America.
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美利坚合众国。
15:55
Guess who has the most deaths per population?
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猜猜谁的死亡人数最多?
15:59
The United States of America.
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美利坚合众国。
16:02
So, you know, there's preparedness,
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所以,你知道,这是准备,
16:04
and there's response,
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而那是响应,
16:05
there's execution of your preparedness plans
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那是防备计划的执行力
16:10
that we did not do so well
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我们做得不够好。
16:12
for any of a number of complicated reasons,
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由于许多复杂原因,
16:15
one of which was the fact,
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其中之一是事实,
16:18
and is, that this outbreak occurred
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就是,这次疫情发生在
16:22
at a time of really profound and deep divisiveness in our own country.
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我们自己国家非常严重分歧的时刻。
16:28
That where we had something we hadn't seen before,
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在我们以前没见过的地方,
16:32
where political ideology played a role in whether you did or did not accept
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那政治意识形态影响了, 你接受或不接受
16:38
the recommended public health countermeasures,
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公共卫生所推荐的对策
16:41
be it wearing a mask,
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无论是戴口罩,
16:44
indoor settings, quarantining, taking a vaccine, getting a boost.
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在室内环境, 隔离,接种疫苗,接种增强剂
16:50
If you look at the country
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如果你看这个国家
16:53
and look at the demography of the country with regard to ideology,
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看看这个国家 在意识形态相关的人口结构,
16:59
there should never be that red states vaccinate much less than blue states.
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疫苗接种量永远不应该 红州比蓝色州少很多。
17:05
There's no reason for that at all because public health risks
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这根本没有理由 因为公共卫生风险,
17:10
and public health implementation should be uniform throughout.
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公共卫生实施应到处一样。
17:15
And we didn't see that.
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我们没有看到。
17:17
DB: Yeah, let's talk about that a little bit more
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DB:是的,让我们再谈一谈,
17:20
because obviously, you've had to cope with an incredibly polarized response
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因为很明显, 您不得不应对令人难以置信的两极化反应。
17:24
to your work
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您的工作,
17:26
in which not just ordinary citizens,
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不仅是普通公民,
17:29
but even politicians have called for your resignation
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但就连政客都要求您辞职,
17:33
and various other things.
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以及其他各种事情。
17:35
How do you deal with that, how do you keep your cool?
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您是怎么处理的, 您是怎么保持冷静的?
17:37
You're quite cool about this.
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您对此很冷静。
17:39
AF: Well, calling for your resignation is mild
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AF:嗯,要求你辞职是温和的,
17:41
compared to having somebody arrested
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与逮捕某人相比
17:43
who was trying to kill you.
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他想杀了你。
17:45
So, I mean,
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所以,我的意思是
17:46
there's a big spectrum of pushing back against public health people.
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有很多人反对公共卫生人员。
17:51
And that's one of the really unfortunate things.
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这是一件非常不幸的事情。
17:54
I mean, I keep my cool because that's just the nature
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我是说,我保持冷静, 因为这是本性,
17:59
of the kind of person that I am.
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我是那种人。
18:01
When you're dealing with a very, very difficult situation,
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当你面对非常非常困难的局面时,
18:04
you've got to keep your cool.
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你必须保持冷静
18:05
I mean, I learned that in my early training in medicine.
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在早期医学培训中 我就学会了这一点。
18:08
When you're in the middle of emergency, somebody is dying in front of you,
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当你处于紧急状态时, 有人在你面前将要死去
18:12
you've got to keep your cool all the time.
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你必须一直保持冷静。
18:15
And that's something that's just part of my inherent training
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这只是我固有训练的一部分
18:18
as a physician and as a person.
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作为一名医生和一个人。
18:21
But what we faced was well beyond that.
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但我们面临的远不止这些。
18:24
I mean, public health officials, not only myself, I'm a very visible one,
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我的意思是,公共卫生官员, 不仅是我自己,我是一个非常显眼的人
18:29
but many of my colleagues are being threatened and hassled
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但我的许多同事都受到威胁和烦扰,
18:35
and harassed,
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被骚扰,
18:36
themselves and their families,
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他们自己和他们的家人、
18:38
the way my family is being harassed,
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我的家人被骚扰的方式,
18:41
merely because of saying things
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仅仅因为说了些什么
18:44
that are purely public health, common sense,
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纯粹的公共卫生常识,
18:48
tried and true principles of how to keep people safe.
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久经考验的 如何保护人们安全的真实原则。
18:54
That is really extraordinary that that's going on in our country.
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在我们国家发生的事情真的很不寻常。
18:58
DB: Yeah.
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DB:是啊。
19:00
I'm also going to ascribe it to the Brooklyn upbringing.
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我还要把这归于布鲁克林的培养。
19:02
That gave you some cool, too.
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这也让你很酷。
19:05
(Laughter)
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(笑声)
19:07
But a quick follow up,
338
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但一个快速追踪
19:08
how do you, like,
339
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您是怎么,比如
19:10
with all that going on, with those horrifying threats,
340
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所有这些都在发生, 还有那些可怕的威胁,
19:14
how do you unwind from all this?
341
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您是怎么从这一切中解脱出来的呢?
19:16
How do you, you know, keep it together
342
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您是怎么做到挺住的
19:19
and give yourself some space to breathe?
343
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给自己一些喘息的空间?
19:22
AF: Well, I have an extraordinarily supportive family,
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AF:我有一个非常支持我的家庭,
19:26
my wife who's with me,
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我妻子和我在一起,
19:28
my children are grown and live in different parts of the country.
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我长大的孩子,她们生活在国家的不同地方,
19:31
But they are very supportive of me with texts and calls
347
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但她们非常支持我, 通过发短信和打电话,
19:36
and knowing what I'm going through.
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知道我正在经历什么。
19:38
So I have three daughters, which they, you know,
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我有三个女儿,你知道的,
19:41
they try to take care of their daddy, so it really helps.
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她们尽力照顾他们的爸爸, 所以这真的很有帮助。
19:45
But my wife is extremely supportive, and we do things together.
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而我妻子非常支持我, 我们一起做事。
19:48
I mean, I work a preposterous amount of hours a day,
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我的意思是, 我每天工作的时间多得离谱,
19:53
but every day I try to get some exercise in
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但每天我都努力做些运动,
19:56
and it's usually a few mile walk with my wife,
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通常和我妻子走几英里,
20:00
whether that's on the weekends very early in the morning,
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无论是在周末的清晨,
20:03
or during the week late at night when I come home.
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或者在工作日的深夜 我回家时。
20:07
We try to get some form of exercise in to diffuse the tension,
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我们试图通过一些锻炼 来缓解压力,
20:13
hopefully every day.
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希望每天都如此,
20:14
And we're pretty successful at that.
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我们在这方面非常成功。
20:17
AF: Well, good for you.
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DB:嗯,这对您很有好处!
20:19
So you're retiring after a very long and distinguished career.
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所以,您在经历了 漫长而杰出的职业生涯之后,即将退休。
20:23
Congratulations.
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恭喜!
20:25
You will have successors.
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你会有接班人。
20:27
What lessons would you want to offer your successors based on your tenure?
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您希望为您的继任者提供哪些经验教训? 基于您的任职
20:32
AF: First of all, I’m not retiring in the classic sense.
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AF:首先,我不是传统意义上的退休。
20:35
As my wife, says, David,
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正如我妻子所说,大卫,
20:37
I’m “rewiring,” not retiring,
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我正在“重新布线”,而不是退休,
20:41
because I do intend to be very active.
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因为我确实打算非常活跃。
20:43
And that was one of the reasons why I stepped down
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这也是我走下来的原因之一
20:47
at this point in time.
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在这个时间点。
20:49
Because while I still have the enthusiasm,
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因为当我还有热情,
20:52
the energy and thank goodness, the good health
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精力充沛,谢天谢地,身体健康,
20:55
to be able to do something else for the next few years,
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能够在接下来的几年里 做一些其他的事情,
20:57
I want to use the benefit of my experience of being at the NIH
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我想利用我在 NIH 的经验
21:03
for almost 60 years,
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有将近 60 年的时间
21:04
for being the director of the Institute for 38 years,
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担任研究所所长 38 年,
21:08
and for having the privilege
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并有幸
21:10
of advising seven presidents of the United States
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为七位美国总统提供提供咨询
21:13
on public health issues,
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关于公共卫生问题,
21:16
to use that experience to hopefully inspire by writing,
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希望利用这段经历激发写作的灵感,
21:20
reading, traveling, lecturing,
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阅读、旅行、演讲,
21:23
inspiring the younger generation of scientists and would-be scientists
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激励年轻一代科学家和未来科学家
21:28
to at least consider a career in public service,
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至少考虑从事公共服务,
21:31
particularly in the arena of public health,
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特别是在公共卫生领域,
21:34
and science and medicine.
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以及科学和医学。
21:35
Having said that,
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话说回来,
21:37
my advice to the person who will ultimately replace me
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我对那最终接替我的人的建议
21:43
would be to focus on the science
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将是专注于科学,
21:46
and be consistent with the science
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并与科学保持一致
21:48
and do not get distracted by a lot of the peripheral things,
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并且被很多周围事物分心,
21:54
the disinformation, the misinformation,
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虚假信息,错误信息,
21:58
the attacks on medicine and science and public health.
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对医学、科学和公共卫生的攻击。
22:02
Focus like a laser beam on what your job is
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像激光束一样专注于你的工作上,
22:06
and don't get distracted by all the other noise that's out there
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不要被外面其他的噪音所分心,
22:10
because there is a lot more noise now
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因为现在有更多的噪音
22:14
than there was a few decades ago.
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与几十年前相比。
22:16
And by noise, I mean misinformation and disinformation about science.
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我所说的噪音是指 对于科学的错误信息和虚假信息。
22:22
DB: For sure.
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DB:当然。
22:23
I've definitely noticed that as the science curator.
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作为科学馆长, 我确切地注意到了这一点
22:26
But pivoting a bit, let's talk about hope.
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但是稍转一下,让我们谈谈希望。
22:30
What gives you hope about the future?
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是什么让您对未来充满希望?
22:33
Are there treatments or other things coming down the pipeline
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是否有治疗或其他办法陆续到来
22:38
that you're excited about?
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让您感到兴奋?
22:40
AF: Well, science is an absolutely phenomenal discipline.
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AF:嗯,科学是一门绝对了不起的学科,
22:47
It's discovery.
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它是去发现。
22:49
It's ...
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它是……
22:51
brand new knowledge.
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全新的知识,
22:54
Pushing back the frontiers of knowledge
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2200
推动知识的前沿,
22:56
that we would not have imagined we would be in.
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3360
我们不会想象我们会在会在其中。
23:00
If you look at medicine and science,
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如果你看看医学和科学,
23:02
how it's changed in a very, very positive way
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它是如何以非常、 非常积极的方式改变的。
23:06
from the time I stepped into medical school in 1962
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从我踏入医学院在 1962 年
23:12
to the time now of the things that are available to me
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到现在为止,我可用的东西,
23:16
as a physician and as a scientist.
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作为一名医生和科学家。
23:18
I have great hope
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我有很大的希望,
23:20
that if we continue the investments in basic and applied science,
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如果我们继续投资于基础和应用科学,
23:26
that we will be able to accomplish things
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我们将能够完成事情。
23:29
in the arena of health, individual health,
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在健康领域,个人健康,
23:33
and public health and global health
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2480
公共卫生和全球卫生。
23:35
that were really unimaginable just decades ago.
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就在几十年前,这真的是难以想象的。
23:39
So I have a great deal of optimism
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所以我非常乐观
23:43
about what the future holds for science and medicine.
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4280
对于科学和医学的未来。
23:48
And that's the reason why one of the things I'm going to try and do
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5440
这就是为什么我要尝试做的一件事,
23:54
in my rewired post-government life
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在我重新规划的后政府生活中
23:58
is to encourage young individuals to consider a career in medicine,
425
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5480
鼓励年轻人考虑从事医学职业,
24:04
science and public health,
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2080
科学和公共卫生,
24:06
because the opportunities are really limitless.
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因为机会真的是无限的。
24:10
We are at a stage now the likes of which people who antidated us
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我们现在正处于这样一个阶段, 那些以前的人
24:16
never would have imagined
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从未想象得到
24:18
the opportunities in science that we have.
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2600
我们拥有的科学机会。
24:21
So I'm very optimistic about where we're going.
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所以我对我们的发展方向非常乐观。
24:24
DB: Me, too.
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DB:我也是。
24:26
But you mentioned earlier how climate change is affecting pandemics.
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但您之前提到气候变化 如何影响大流行,
24:30
What worries you about the future that we're facing?
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4560
您对我们所面临的未来感到担忧的是什么?
24:35
AF: Well, just some of the things that you mentioned.
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嗯,只是你提到的一些事情,
24:40
We do have a growing element of anti-science in society.
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6920
我们的社会中 确实有越来越多的反科学因素。
24:47
Disturbingly,
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2400
令人不安的是,
24:50
growing in the United States.
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在美国增长。
24:52
And when I talk to my colleagues internationally,
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3640
当我和国际上的同事交谈时,
24:56
depending upon the country that they live in
440
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4360
取决于他们居住的国家
25:00
to a greater or lesser degree,
441
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或多或少地,
25:02
there's some element of that.
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这其中有一些因素。
25:05
The thing that bothers me
443
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困扰我的事情
25:08
is a denial of science and what science is showing us.
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是对科学以及 科学向我们展示的东西的否定。
25:13
A denial of the issues of climate and the environment,
445
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否认气候和环境问题,
25:19
a denial of scientific principles
446
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2560
否认科学原则,
25:21
and conspiracy theories about things that push people away.
447
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5560
以及把人推开的阴谋论。
25:27
I mean, some of them are laughable,
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2960
我的意思是,有些很可笑,
25:30
but you would be astounded, David,
449
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但你会感到惊讶,大卫,
25:32
at the number of people who believe it.
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相信它的人数之多。
25:35
That the vaccines were made by Bill Gates and I
451
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疫苗是由比尔·盖茨和我制造的,
25:38
and we put a chip in it
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我们在里面放了一个芯片,
25:40
so that we could follow people around
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2640
这样我们就能到处跟踪人,
25:42
and know what they're doing and get into their head.
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知道他们在做什么并进入他们的头脑。
25:46
The idea that there's a conspiracy,
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有个构想、有阴谋的想法,
25:49
that we’re making billions of dollars on vaccines,
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4720
我们在疫苗上赚了数十亿美元,
25:53
and that's why people are promoting vaccines,
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5160
这就是人们推广疫苗的原因,
25:59
so that people like me and others who are public figures ...
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所以像我这样的人和其他公众人物……
26:03
I mean, based on no data.
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我的意思是,没有数据基础。
26:05
But once it gets into the social media,
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但一旦它进入社交媒体,
26:08
it explodes and conspiracy theories explode.
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它炸开了,阴谋论炸开了,
26:11
Even though all of the evidence proves it wrong,
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尽管所有证据都证明这是错误的,
26:15
proving something wrong today doesn't seem to matter much.
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证明一些错误,今天似乎无关紧要。
26:20
That's really strange and weird, isn't it, David?
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2880
这真的很奇怪,很怪诞, 不是吗,大卫?
26:23
DB: Yeah, yeah.
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DB:是的,是的。
26:25
Well, it's, I think, an old phenomenon.
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3840
嗯,我认为这是一个古老的现象。
26:29
There's a famous saying that I'm going to mangle about
467
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2800
有一句名言我要说,
26:32
by the time the truth gets out of the barn,
468
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2160
当真相传出谷仓时,
26:34
the lie is halfway around the world.
469
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2160
这个谎言绕了半个地球。
26:37
And that's definitely the world we're living in.
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3640
这绝对是我们现在生活的世界。
26:41
I do know you have to go and, you know,
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我知道您要走了,
26:44
finish out your tenure
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结束您的任期,
26:46
and then get ready for your rewiring, which I'm excited about.
473
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2920
然后准备好重新布线, 这让我很兴奋。
26:49
I'm excited to see what's next.
474
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我很高兴看到接下来会发生什么。
26:51
But do you have a last bit of advice for the public?
475
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4680
但您对公众有最后一点建议吗?
26:56
One thing you hope everyone takes away from your time as director
476
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5280
您希望每个人都能从 您院长任期带走的一样东西
27:02
and your time in public health?
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以及您在公共卫生领域的时间?
27:04
AF: Yeah, David, there are so many things,
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AF:是的,大卫,有太多了,
27:07
but I think one thing that stands out,
479
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但我认为有一点很突出,
27:08
particularly in the climate and the environment
480
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2240
特别是在气候和环境方面,
27:11
that we're in right now,
481
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1680
我们正处在的
27:12
is that people need to get involved in a proactive way
482
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5560
人们需要以积极主动的方式参与,
27:18
in spreading the truth about what scientific principles are
483
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5000
传播关于什么是真正科学原则,
27:23
and what they mean
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以及它们的含义,
27:24
and how they can be of great benefit to society
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4320
以及它们如何对社会产生巨大的益处,
27:29
and to try and make our population more science literate than it is right now
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并努力让我们的人口 比现在更懂科学,
27:35
by talking about things.
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通过讨论事情。
27:38
The truth, you know, the easiest way
488
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2600
事实,你知道,最简单的方法
27:40
to counter misinformation and disinformation
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3520
去打击错误信息和虚假信息,
27:44
is to be enthusiastic about spreading correct information.
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就是要热心传播正确的信息。
27:48
A little bit about the metaphor that you said about the truth and lies.
491
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4680
关于你所说的关于真相和谎言的比喻
27:53
Be spreaders of facts and truth.
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成为事实和真理的传播者。
27:57
Everybody's got to be a contributor to that.
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每个人都必须为此做出贡献。
28:00
And that's one of the things I think we can do better.
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这就是其中一件我认为 我们可以做得更好的事。
28:03
DB: Yeah, I would agree.
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DB:是的,我同意。
28:04
And we're definitely trying here at TED.
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1920
我们正在 TED 这里尝试这样做。
28:06
Well, Dr. Fauci, I know our members are incredibly thankful,
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3720
福奇博士我知道我们的成员非常感激,
28:10
I personally am incredibly thankful.
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1720
我个人非常感激。
28:11
So thank you so much for your work and for joining us today.
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非常感谢您所做的工作和今天加入我们,
28:16
AF: My pleasure, David, thank you so much for having me.
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AF:这是我的荣幸, 大卫,非常感谢你邀请我。
28:18
[Want to join conversations like this live?]
501
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2680
【想要参加像这样直播对话吗?】
28:21
[Become a TED Member!]
502
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1680
【成为 TED 会员!】
28:23
[Sign up at ted.com/membership]
503
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[在 ted.com/membership 注册]
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