Can you outsmart Fate and break her ancient curse? - Dan Finkel

1,262,738 views ・ 2023-05-25

TED-Ed


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

00:07
Legend has it, hundreds of years ago a distant ancestor of yours
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stole a magical tarot deck from Fate herself.
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Today, your family is known the world over as the world’s greatest fortune tellers.
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While the deck has increased your fortunes many times over,
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it came with a terrible cost.
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Once every 23 years, a door appears in your house.
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One member of your family must enter,
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and face Fate in a duel with arcane rules only known to your opponent.
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And every time, generation after generation,
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the outcome is the same:
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Fate claims their soul.
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23 years ago, your father accepted the challenge and lost.
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Today, it’s your turn.
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You’re pacing the dueling room when you stumble across something
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that just might change everything:
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your father hid a camera in the room.
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The tape shows him lay out the 22 cards of the major Arcana.
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Fate then places an additional card, the Soul, and speaks:
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“You may take any card that has at least one factor on the table.
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I’ll then receive every factor.
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Take the Tower, for example.
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It is 16, with factors 1, 2, 4, and 8.
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Those now belong to me, making our score 16 to 15.
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If your total at the end of the game is higher than mine, you’ll win.
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Play again and know that if you run out of moves,
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I’ll take all the cards that remain.”
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As the game continues,
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Fate remarks that if your father were to win and hold the 10,
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that would grant him great fortune.
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6, true love.
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And the 2 would end the family curse forever.
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But none of that matters because in the end his total comes up short.
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02:08
As the video turns to static, Fate arrives.
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Feeling as if you’re in a dream,
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you hear her offer you the Tower to begin the game.
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How can you defeat Fate,
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and what other good fortune can you win for yourself?
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Pause here to figure it out for yourself. Answer in 3
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Answer in 2
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Answer in 1
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If you want to outplay Fate, you’ll need to take the long view.
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Accepting the 16 gives Fate the 1, 2, 4, and 8.
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02:40
She effectively has the 23, 19, 17, and 13 too,
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since you can’t take prime numbers once 1 is off the board.
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02:50
Smaller primes like 11, 7, 5, and 3 will also go to Fate,
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but you’ll be able to take their multiples, like 22 and 21.
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03:02
That means these are the remaining cards in play.
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You can eventually claim at most half of them, rounded down,
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since Fate gets at least one for each card you take.
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So the best you can possibly do is take the seven largest cards.
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Add those together with the 16 and your total would be 138.
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03:24
And Fate’s total? Also, 138.
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Ties go to Fate, so it’s clear that by offering your ancestors the 16
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before explaining the full rules,
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Fate has been manipulating the game to guarantee her victory.
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But thanks to your father, you now know better.
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Speaking of your family, if you want to take the 2 and break the curse,
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you’ll have to do it on your first turn, since it’s prime.
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If you do, Fate will get 1,
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and once again, Fate is guaranteed the high primes.
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In theory, you can get at most 8 of the remaining 17 cards.
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Taking the eight largest would give you a nail-bitingly narrow victory
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of 140 to 136.
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But is it possible?
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You need Fate to get as few cards as possible for each one you take.
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You can start with the 22 and 14.
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04:22
With the 7 gone, you can take the 21, then the 15.
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04:27
You still need these, and the next one you take will give Fate two cards.
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04:32
That’s okay though.
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Try the 16, for example, and Fate gets the 4 and the 8,
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but you’ll still get the 12, the 18, and the 20.
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04:43
Following similar reasoning,
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you could take the 23 on your first turn and win the 10 or the 6.
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But claiming more than one reward is impossible.
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So do you take wealth, love, or break the curse?
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Fate is waiting, but the choice is up to you.
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