How we can build AI to help humans, not hurt us | Margaret Mitchell

81,080 views ・ 2018-03-12

TED


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翻译人员: Thomas Tam 校对人员: Echo Sun
00:13
I work on helping computers communicate about the world around us.
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我致力于协助电脑和 我们周围世界的沟通。
00:17
There are a lot of ways to do this,
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是有很多方法可以做到这一点,
00:19
and I like to focus on helping computers
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我喜欢专注于协助电脑
00:22
to talk about what they see and understand.
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去谈论它们看到和理解的内容。
00:25
Given a scene like this,
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鉴于这样的情景,
00:27
a modern computer-vision algorithm
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一个现代的计算机视觉演算法,
可以告诉你,有一个女人, 还有一只狗。
00:29
can tell you that there's a woman and there's a dog.
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00:32
It can tell you that the woman is smiling.
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它可以告诉你,那个女人在微笑。
00:34
It might even be able to tell you that the dog is incredibly cute.
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它甚至可以告诉你, 这只狗非常可爱。
00:38
I work on this problem
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我处理这个问题
00:40
thinking about how humans understand and process the world.
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思考人类如何理解和与世界共处。
00:45
The thoughts, memories and stories
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那些思想,记忆和故事
00:48
that a scene like this might evoke for humans.
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在这样的场景中, 可能会唤起人类的注意。
00:51
All the interconnections of related situations.
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所有关连情况的相互联系。
00:55
Maybe you've seen a dog like this one before,
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也许你以前见过这样的狗,
00:58
or you've spent time running on a beach like this one,
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或者你曾经花时间, 在这样的沙滩上跑步,
01:01
and that further evokes thoughts and memories of a past vacation,
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并进一步唤起 过去假期的记忆和想法,
01:06
past times to the beach,
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以前去海滩的时候,
01:08
times spent running around with other dogs.
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花在与其他狗儿, 跑来跑去的时间。
01:11
One of my guiding principles is that by helping computers to understand
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我的指导原则之一, 是通过帮助电脑了解
01:16
what it's like to have these experiences,
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这是什么样的经历,
01:19
to understand what we share and believe and feel,
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从而了解我们所相信的 和感受的共通点,
01:26
then we're in a great position to start evolving computer technology
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那么我们就有能力开始 不断发展计算机技术,
01:30
in a way that's complementary with our own experiences.
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以一种与我们经验互补的方式。
01:35
So, digging more deeply into this,
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因此,深入挖掘这一点,
01:38
a few years ago I began working on helping computers to generate human-like stories
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我几年前开始致力于帮助电脑 产生类似人类的故事,
01:44
from sequences of images.
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从图像序列。
01:47
So, one day,
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所以,有一天,
01:49
I was working with my computer to ask it what it thought about a trip to Australia.
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我正在用电脑工作时,询问它 对澳大利亚之行的看法。
01:54
It took a look at the pictures, and it saw a koala.
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它看了看图片, 看到一只树袋熊。
01:58
It didn't know what the koala was,
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它不知道树袋熊是什么,
01:59
but it said it thought it was an interesting-looking creature.
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但电脑表示它认为树袋熊 看起来是很有趣的生物。
02:04
Then I shared with it a sequence of images about a house burning down.
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然后我与电脑分享一系列 关于房屋烧毁的图像。
02:09
It took a look at the images and it said,
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电脑看了一下图片,它说:
02:13
"This is an amazing view! This is spectacular!"
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「这是个惊人的景观! 这很壮观!」
02:17
It sent chills down my spine.
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它使我的脊背发冷。
02:20
It saw a horrible, life-changing and life-destroying event
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电脑看到一个可怕的, 改变生活和毁灭生命的事件
02:25
and thought it was something positive.
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并认为这是积极的事情。
02:27
I realized that it recognized the contrast,
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我意识到电脑认识到
红色和黄色的对比,
02:31
the reds, the yellows,
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02:34
and thought it was something worth remarking on positively.
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并认为这是值得积极评价的事情。
02:37
And part of why it was doing this
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部分原因是因为
02:39
was because most of the images I had given it
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我输入电脑的大部分
02:42
were positive images.
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是积极的图像。
02:44
That's because people tend to share positive images
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那是因为人们谈论自己的经历时,
倾向于分享积极的图像。
02:48
when they talk about their experiences.
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02:51
When was the last time you saw a selfie at a funeral?
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你上次在葬礼上看到自拍照 是什么时候?
02:55
I realized that, as I worked on improving AI
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我意识到在改进人工智能的过程中,
02:58
task by task, dataset by dataset,
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是任务归任务,数据集归数据集,
03:02
that I was creating massive gaps,
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在电脑的理解上,
创造出巨大的差距,缺陷和盲点。
03:05
holes and blind spots in what it could understand.
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03:10
And while doing so,
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在这样做的同时,
03:11
I was encoding all kinds of biases.
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我正在为各种偏见编码。
03:15
Biases that reflect a limited viewpoint,
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偏见反映有限观点,
03:18
limited to a single dataset --
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源于一个数据集——
03:21
biases that can reflect human biases found in the data,
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其中就反映着人类同样的,
03:25
such as prejudice and stereotyping.
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比如成见和刻板印象。
03:29
I thought back to the evolution of the technology
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我回想起那技术的发展,
03:32
that brought me to where I was that day --
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让我达到那天我所处的境地——
03:35
how the first color images
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第一张彩色的图像
03:38
were calibrated against a white woman's skin,
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是针对一位白人女性的 皮肤颜色进行校准的,
03:41
meaning that color photography was biased against black faces.
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这意味着彩色摄影对黑脸有偏差。
03:46
And that same bias, that same blind spot
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而同样的偏差,那个盲点
03:49
continued well into the '90s.
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继续带入了 90 年代。
03:51
And the same blind spot continues even today
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同样的盲点即使在今天,
03:54
in how well we can recognize different people's faces
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仍然存在于在面部识别技术应用中,
怎样辨识不同人物的脸。
03:58
in facial recognition technology.
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04:01
I though about the state of the art in research today,
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在今天的研究中, 我想到了最先进的技术,
04:04
where we tend to limit our thinking to one dataset and one problem.
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都倾向于将我们的想法, 限制在一个数据集和一个问题上。
04:09
And that in doing so, we were creating more blind spots and biases
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而这样做,我们正在创造 更多的盲点和偏见,
04:14
that the AI could further amplify.
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会在使用人工智能时 被进一步放大。
04:17
I realized then that we had to think deeply
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那时我意识到我们必须深思,
04:19
about how the technology we work on today looks in five years, in 10 years.
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我们今天发明创造技术, 在五年到十年之后会怎样被看待 。
04:25
Humans evolve slowly, with time to correct for issues
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在人类与环境互动作用中,
人类用时间纠正问题, 所以进化缓慢。
04:29
in the interaction of humans and their environment.
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04:33
In contrast, artificial intelligence is evolving at an incredibly fast rate.
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人工智能相比之下,正在以 令人难以置信的速度发展。
这意味着它确实很重要,
04:39
And that means that it really matters
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04:40
that we think about this carefully right now --
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我们现在要仔细考虑这一点 ——
04:44
that we reflect on our own blind spots,
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反思自己的盲点,
04:47
our own biases,
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及偏见,
04:49
and think about how that's informing the technology we're creating
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并考虑这些偏见是如何影响 我们现在创造的技术,
04:53
and discuss what the technology of today will mean for tomorrow.
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并讨论今天的技术, 对未来意味着什么。
04:58
CEOs and scientists have weighed in on what they think
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CEO和科学家, 已经权衡了他们的想法,
05:01
the artificial intelligence technology of the future will be.
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关于未来的人工智能发展。
05:05
Stephen Hawking warns that
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斯蒂芬·霍金警告说:
05:06
"Artificial intelligence could end mankind."
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「人工智能会使人类灭亡。」
05:10
Elon Musk warns that it's an existential risk
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伊隆‧马斯克警告 这是一种存在的风险,
05:13
and one of the greatest risks that we face as a civilization.
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也是我们作为文明社会; 要面临的最大风险之一。
05:17
Bill Gates has made the point,
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比尔‧盖茨指出:
05:19
"I don't understand why people aren't more concerned."
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「我不明白为什么人们 对人工智能不更忧虑。」
05:23
But these views --
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但是这些观点——
05:25
they're part of the story.
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只是故事的一部分。
05:28
The math, the models,
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那数学,模型,
05:30
the basic building blocks of artificial intelligence
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这些人工智能的基本组成部分,
05:33
are something that we call access and all work with.
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是我们都可以取得和并使用的。
05:36
We have open-source tools for machine learning and intelligence
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我们有向大众开放的源代码工具 来学习机器,
05:40
that we can contribute to.
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并同时作出自己的贡献。
05:42
And beyond that, we can share our experience.
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除此之外,我们也可以 分享我们的经验。
05:46
We can share our experiences with technology and how it concerns us
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我们可以分享在技术方面 及其与我们的关系,
05:50
and how it excites us.
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和如何令我们雀跃的地方。
05:52
We can discuss what we love.
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我们可以讨论我们所爱的东西。
我们可以与预见的将来进行沟通,
05:55
We can communicate with foresight
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05:57
about the aspects of technology that could be more beneficial
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关于技术方面这可能会更有益,
06:02
or could be more problematic over time.
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或随着时间的推移, 可能会出现更多的问题。
06:05
If we all focus on opening up the discussion on AI
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如果我们都专注于 开放对于人工智能的讨论
06:09
with foresight towards the future,
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展望未来,
06:13
this will help create a general conversation and awareness
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这将有助于创造一个 常规的对话和意识,
06:17
about what AI is now,
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关于人工智能是什么?
06:21
what it can become
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它能成为什么?
06:23
and all the things that we need to do
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以及我们需要做的所有事情,
06:25
in order to enable that outcome that best suits us.
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以实现最适合我们的结果。
06:29
We already see and know this in the technology that we use today.
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我们已经在今天使用的技术中 看到和了解这一点。
06:33
We use smart phones and digital assistants and Roombas.
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我们使用智能手机,数码助理 和自动吸尘器。
06:38
Are they evil?
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它们邪恶吗?
06:40
Maybe sometimes.
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也许有时是。
06:42
Are they beneficial?
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他们有益吗?
06:45
Yes, they're that, too.
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是的,他们也是。
06:48
And they're not all the same.
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它们并不完全相同。
06:50
And there you already see a light shining on what the future holds.
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在那里你已经看到了未来的光芒。
06:54
The future continues on from what we build and create right now.
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未来将继续从我们现在 建立和创造的东西开始。
06:59
We set into motion that domino effect
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我们启动了多米诺骨牌效应,
07:01
that carves out AI's evolutionary path.
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这就揭开了人工智能的进化通道
07:05
In our time right now, we shape the AI of tomorrow.
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在我们的时代,塑造了 明天的人工智能。
07:08
Technology that immerses us in augmented realities
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让我们能沉浸在增强现实的技术中,
07:12
bringing to life past worlds.
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使过去的世界复活,
07:15
Technology that helps people to share their experiences
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当人们沟通有困难时,
07:20
when they have difficulty communicating.
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科技就帮助他们分享彼此的经验。
07:23
Technology built on understanding the streaming visual worlds
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建立于在线视觉媒体的科技,
07:27
used as technology for self-driving cars.
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可被用在汽车自动驾驶上。
07:32
Technology built on understanding images and generating language,
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科技基于图像的理解而产生语言,
07:35
evolving into technology that helps people who are visually impaired
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能演变成协助视障人士的技术,
07:40
be better able to access the visual world.
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帮助他们更好地拥有视觉世界。
07:42
And we also see how technology can lead to problems.
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我们也看到科技 如何导致一些问题。
07:46
We have technology today
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我们今天有科技
07:48
that analyzes physical characteristics we're born with --
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分析我们出生的身体特征 ——
07:52
such as the color of our skin or the look of our face --
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比如我们皮肤的颜色 还是我们脸上的表情
07:55
in order to determine whether or not we might be criminals or terrorists.
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以确定我们是否罪犯或恐怖分子。
07:59
We have technology that crunches through our data,
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我们拥有处理数据的技术,
08:02
even data relating to our gender or our race,
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处理关于性别或种族的数据,
08:05
in order to determine whether or not we might get a loan.
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以确定我们是否可以获得贷款。
08:09
All that we see now
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我们现在看到的所有东西,
08:11
is a snapshot in the evolution of artificial intelligence.
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只是人工智能演变过程中的 快照。
08:15
Because where we are right now,
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因为我们现在所处的地方,
08:17
is within a moment of that evolution.
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是演变中的一个时刻。
08:20
That means that what we do now will affect what happens down the line
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这意味着我们现在所做的, 将会影响事情的往后发展,
08:24
and in the future.
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并延至未来的世界。
08:26
If we want AI to evolve in a way that helps humans,
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如果我们希望人工智能 能协助人类的方式进化,
08:30
then we need to define the goals and strategies
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我们就需要确定策略和目标,
08:32
that enable that path now.
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马上开通那条路径。
08:35
What I'd like to see is something that fits well with humans,
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我想看到的是适合人类的
08:39
with our culture and with the environment.
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文化和环境的发展方向。
08:43
Technology that aids and assists those of us with neurological conditions
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科技能帮助我们治愈神经系统疾病
08:47
or other disabilities
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或其它残疾的患者,
08:49
in order to make life equally challenging for everyone.
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让他们与每个人一样, 让生活同样具有挑战性。
08:54
Technology that works
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科技的运作 不会考量你的特征
08:55
regardless of your demographics or the color of your skin.
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或皮肤颜色。
09:00
And so today, what I focus on is the technology for tomorrow
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我今天关注的是
明日和十年后的科技,
09:05
and for 10 years from now.
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09:08
AI can turn out in many different ways.
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人工智能可以以许多不同的方式出现。
09:11
But in this case,
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但在这种情况下,
09:12
it isn't a self-driving car without any destination.
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它并不是没有任何目的地的 无人驾驶车。
09:16
This is the car that we are driving.
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这是我们能驾驶同时控制的汽车。
09:19
We choose when to speed up and when to slow down.
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我们选择何时加速和何时减速。
09:23
We choose if we need to make a turn.
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我们选择是否需要转弯。
09:26
We choose what the AI of the future will be.
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我们选择未来的人工智能会是什么。
会有一个广阔的竞技场。
09:31
There's a vast playing field
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09:32
of all the things that artificial intelligence can become.
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容许人工智能可以成为所有的东西。
09:36
It will become many things.
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它会变成很多不同的东西。
09:39
And it's up to us now,
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现在取决于
09:41
in order to figure out what we need to put in place
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我们要弄清楚所需要实施的
09:44
to make sure the outcomes of artificial intelligence
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以确保人工智能的结果
09:48
are the ones that will be better for all of us.
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是对所有人类都会更好。
09:51
Thank you.
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谢谢。
09:52
(Applause)
173
592630
2187
(掌声)
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