How we can build AI to help humans, not hurt us | Margaret Mitchell

81,080 views ・ 2018-03-12

TED


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譯者: Lilian Chiu 審譯者: NAN-KUN WU
00:13
I work on helping computers communicate about the world around us.
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我的工作是在協助電腦 和我們周遭的世界交流。
00:17
There are a lot of ways to do this,
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要這麼做,有很多方式,
00:19
and I like to focus on helping computers
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我喜歡聚焦在協助電腦
00:22
to talk about what they see and understand.
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來談它們看見什麼、了解什麼。
00:25
Given a scene like this,
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給予一個這樣的情景,
00:27
a modern computer-vision algorithm
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一個現代電腦視覺演算法
00:29
can tell you that there's a woman and there's a dog.
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就能告訴你情景中 有一個女子和一隻狗。
00:32
It can tell you that the woman is smiling.
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它能告訴你,女子在微笑。
00:34
It might even be able to tell you that the dog is incredibly cute.
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它甚至可能可以告訴你, 那隻狗相當可愛。
00:38
I work on this problem
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我處理這個問題時
00:40
thinking about how humans understand and process the world.
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腦中想的是人類如何 了解和處理這個世界。
00:45
The thoughts, memories and stories
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對人類而言,這樣的情景有可能會
00:48
that a scene like this might evoke for humans.
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喚起什麼樣的思想、記憶、故事。
00:51
All the interconnections of related situations.
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相關情況的所有相互連結。
00:55
Maybe you've seen a dog like this one before,
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也許你以前看過像這樣的狗,
00:58
or you've spent time running on a beach like this one,
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或者你曾花時間在 像這樣的海灘上跑步,
01:01
and that further evokes thoughts and memories of a past vacation,
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那就會進一步喚起一個 過去假期的思想和記憶,
01:06
past times to the beach,
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過去在海灘的時光,
01:08
times spent running around with other dogs.
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花在和其他狗兒到處奔跑的時間。
01:11
One of my guiding principles is that by helping computers to understand
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我的指導原則之一, 是要協助電腦了解
01:16
what it's like to have these experiences,
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有這些經驗是什麼樣的感覺,
01:19
to understand what we share and believe and feel,
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去了解我們共有什麼、 相信什麼、感受到什麼,
01:26
then we're in a great position to start evolving computer technology
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那麼,我們就有很好的機會 可以開始讓電腦科技
01:30
in a way that's complementary with our own experiences.
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以一種和我們自身經驗 互補的方式來演化。
01:35
So, digging more deeply into this,
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所以,我更深入研究這主題,
01:38
a few years ago I began working on helping computers to generate human-like stories
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幾年前,我開始努力協助 電腦產生出像人類一樣的故事,
01:44
from sequences of images.
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從一連串的影像來產生。
01:47
So, one day,
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有一天,
01:49
I was working with my computer to ask it what it thought about a trip to Australia.
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我在問我的電腦,它對於 去澳洲旅行有什麼想法。
01:54
It took a look at the pictures, and it saw a koala.
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它看了照片,看見一隻無尾熊。
01:58
It didn't know what the koala was,
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它不知道無尾熊是什麼,
01:59
but it said it thought it was an interesting-looking creature.
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但它說它認為這是一隻 看起來很有趣的生物。
02:04
Then I shared with it a sequence of images about a house burning down.
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我和它分享了一系列的圖片, 都和房子被燒毀有關。
02:09
It took a look at the images and it said,
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它看了那些圖片,說:
02:13
"This is an amazing view! This is spectacular!"
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「這是好棒的景色!這好壯觀!」
02:17
It sent chills down my spine.
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它讓我背脊發涼。
02:20
It saw a horrible, life-changing and life-destroying event
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它看著一個會改變人生、 摧毀生命的可怕事件,
02:25
and thought it was something positive.
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卻以為它是很正面的東西。
02:27
I realized that it recognized the contrast,
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我了解到,它能認出對比反差、
02:31
the reds, the yellows,
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紅色、黃色,
02:34
and thought it was something worth remarking on positively.
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然後就認為它是 值得正面評論的東西。
02:37
And part of why it was doing this
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它這麼做的部分原因,
02:39
was because most of the images I had given it
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是因為我給它的大多數圖片
02:42
were positive images.
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都是正面的圖片。
02:44
That's because people tend to share positive images
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那是因為人在談論他們的經驗時,
02:48
when they talk about their experiences.
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本來就傾向會分享正面的圖片。
02:51
When was the last time you saw a selfie at a funeral?
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你上次看到在葬禮上的 自拍照是何時?
02:55
I realized that, as I worked on improving AI
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我了解到,當我努力 在改善人工智慧,
02:58
task by task, dataset by dataset,
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一個任務一個任務、一個資料集 一個資料集地改善,
03:02
that I was creating massive gaps,
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結果我卻在「它能了解什麼」上
03:05
holes and blind spots in what it could understand.
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創造出了大量的隔閡、 漏洞,以及盲點。
03:10
And while doing so,
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這麼做的時候,
03:11
I was encoding all kinds of biases.
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我是在把各種偏見做編碼。
03:15
Biases that reflect a limited viewpoint,
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這些偏見反映出受限的觀點,
03:18
limited to a single dataset --
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受限於單一資料集──
03:21
biases that can reflect human biases found in the data,
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這些偏見能反應出 在資料中的人類偏見,
03:25
such as prejudice and stereotyping.
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比如偏袒以及刻板印象。
03:29
I thought back to the evolution of the technology
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我回頭去想一路帶我走到
03:32
that brought me to where I was that day --
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那個時點的科技演化──
03:35
how the first color images
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第一批彩色影像如何
03:38
were calibrated against a white woman's skin,
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根據一個白種女子的皮膚來做校準,
03:41
meaning that color photography was biased against black faces.
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這表示,彩色照片對於 黑皮膚臉孔是有偏見的。
03:46
And that same bias, that same blind spot
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同樣的偏見,同樣的盲點,
03:49
continued well into the '90s.
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持續湧入了九○年代。
03:51
And the same blind spot continues even today
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而同樣的盲點甚至持續到現今,
03:54
in how well we can recognize different people's faces
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出現在我們對於不同人的 臉部辨識能力中,
03:58
in facial recognition technology.
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在人臉辨識技術中。
04:01
I though about the state of the art in research today,
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我思考了現今在研究上發展水平,
04:04
where we tend to limit our thinking to one dataset and one problem.
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我們傾向會把我們的思路限制 在一個資料集或一個問題上。
04:09
And that in doing so, we were creating more blind spots and biases
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這麼做時,我們就會 創造出更多盲點和偏見,
04:14
that the AI could further amplify.
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它們可能會被人工智慧給放大。
04:17
I realized then that we had to think deeply
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那時,我了解到,我們必須要
04:19
about how the technology we work on today looks in five years, in 10 years.
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深入思考我們現今努力發展的科技, 在五年、十年後會是什麼樣子。
04:25
Humans evolve slowly, with time to correct for issues
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人類演進很慢,有時間可以去修正
04:29
in the interaction of humans and their environment.
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在人類互動以及其環境中的議題。
04:33
In contrast, artificial intelligence is evolving at an incredibly fast rate.
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相對的,人工智慧的 演進速度非常快。
04:39
And that means that it really matters
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那就意味著,很重要的是
04:40
that we think about this carefully right now --
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我們現在要如何仔細思考這件事──
04:44
that we reflect on our own blind spots,
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我們要反省我們自己的盲點,
04:47
our own biases,
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我們自己的偏見,
04:49
and think about how that's informing the technology we're creating
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並想想它們帶給我們所 創造出的科技什麼樣的資訊,
04:53
and discuss what the technology of today will mean for tomorrow.
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並討論現今的科技在 將來代表的是什麼意涵。
04:58
CEOs and scientists have weighed in on what they think
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對於未來的人工智慧 應該是什麼樣子,
05:01
the artificial intelligence technology of the future will be.
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執行長和科學家的意見 是很有份量的。
05:05
Stephen Hawking warns that
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史蒂芬霍金警告過:
05:06
"Artificial intelligence could end mankind."
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「人工智慧可能終結人類。」
05:10
Elon Musk warns that it's an existential risk
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伊隆馬斯克警告過, 它是個生存風險,
05:13
and one of the greatest risks that we face as a civilization.
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也是我們人類文明所 面臨最大的風險之一。
05:17
Bill Gates has made the point,
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比爾蓋茲有個論點:
05:19
"I don't understand why people aren't more concerned."
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「我不了解為什麼 人們不更關心一點。」
05:23
But these views --
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但,這些看法──
05:25
they're part of the story.
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它們是故事的一部分。
05:28
The math, the models,
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數學、模型,
05:30
the basic building blocks of artificial intelligence
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人工智慧的基礎材料
05:33
are something that we call access and all work with.
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是我們所有人都能夠取得並使用的。
05:36
We have open-source tools for machine learning and intelligence
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我們有機器學習和智慧用的 開放原始碼工具,
05:40
that we can contribute to.
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我們都能對其做出貢獻。
05:42
And beyond that, we can share our experience.
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在那之外,我們可以 分享我們的經驗。
05:46
We can share our experiences with technology and how it concerns us
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分享關於科技、它如何影響我們、
05:50
and how it excites us.
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它如何讓我們興奮的經驗。
05:52
We can discuss what we love.
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我們可以討論我們所愛的。
05:55
We can communicate with foresight
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我們能帶著遠見來交流,
05:57
about the aspects of technology that could be more beneficial
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談談關於科技有哪些面向,
隨著時間發展可能可以更有助益, 或可能產生問題。
06:02
or could be more problematic over time.
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06:05
If we all focus on opening up the discussion on AI
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若我們都能把焦點放在
開放地帶著對未來的遠見 來討論人工智慧,
06:09
with foresight towards the future,
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06:13
this will help create a general conversation and awareness
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這就能創造出一般性的談話和意識,
06:17
about what AI is now,
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關於人工智慧現在是什麼樣子、
06:21
what it can become
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它未來可以變成什麼樣子,
06:23
and all the things that we need to do
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以及所有我們需要做的事,
06:25
in order to enable that outcome that best suits us.
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以產生出最適合我們的結果。
06:29
We already see and know this in the technology that we use today.
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我們已經在現今我們所使用的 科技中看見這一點了。
06:33
We use smart phones and digital assistants and Roombas.
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我們用智慧手機、數位助理, 以及掃地機器人。
06:38
Are they evil?
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它們邪惡嗎?
06:40
Maybe sometimes.
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也許有時候。
06:42
Are they beneficial?
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它們有助益嗎?
06:45
Yes, they're that, too.
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是的,這也是事實。
06:48
And they're not all the same.
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且它們並非全都一樣的。
06:50
And there you already see a light shining on what the future holds.
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你們已經看到未來 可能性的一絲光芒。
06:54
The future continues on from what we build and create right now.
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未來延續的基礎,是我們 現在所建立和創造的。
06:59
We set into motion that domino effect
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我們開始了骨牌效應,
07:01
that carves out AI's evolutionary path.
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刻劃出了人工智慧的演進路徑。
07:05
In our time right now, we shape the AI of tomorrow.
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我們在現在這時代 形塑未來的人工智慧。
07:08
Technology that immerses us in augmented realities
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讓我們能沉浸入擴增實境中的科技,
07:12
bringing to life past worlds.
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讓過去的世界又活了過來。
07:15
Technology that helps people to share their experiences
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協助人們在溝通困難時
07:20
when they have difficulty communicating.
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還能分享經驗的科技。
07:23
Technology built on understanding the streaming visual worlds
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立基在了解串流 視覺世界之上的科技,
07:27
used as technology for self-driving cars.
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被用來當作自動駕駛汽車的科技。
07:32
Technology built on understanding images and generating language,
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立基在了解圖像和產生語言的科技,
07:35
evolving into technology that helps people who are visually impaired
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演進成協助視覺損傷者的科技,
07:40
be better able to access the visual world.
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讓他們更能進入視覺的世界。
07:42
And we also see how technology can lead to problems.
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我們也看到了科技如何導致問題。
07:46
We have technology today
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現今,我們有科技
07:48
that analyzes physical characteristics we're born with --
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能夠分析我們天生的身體特徵──
07:52
such as the color of our skin or the look of our face --
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比如膚色或面部的外觀──
07:55
in order to determine whether or not we might be criminals or terrorists.
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可以用來判斷我們是否 有可能是罪犯或恐怖份子。
07:59
We have technology that crunches through our data,
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我們有科技能夠分析我們的資料,
08:02
even data relating to our gender or our race,
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甚至和我們的性別 或種族相關的資料,
08:05
in order to determine whether or not we might get a loan.
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來決定我們的貸款是否能被核准。
08:09
All that we see now
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我們現在所看見的一切,
08:11
is a snapshot in the evolution of artificial intelligence.
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都是人工智慧演進的約略寫照。
08:15
Because where we are right now,
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因為我們現在所處的位置,
08:17
is within a moment of that evolution.
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是在那演進的一個時刻當中。
08:20
That means that what we do now will affect what happens down the line
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那表示,我們現在 所做的,會影響到後續
08:24
and in the future.
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未來發生的事。
08:26
If we want AI to evolve in a way that helps humans,
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如果我們想讓人工智慧的 演進方式是對人類有助益的,
08:30
then we need to define the goals and strategies
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那麼我們現在就得要 定義目標和策略,
08:32
that enable that path now.
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來讓那條路成為可能。
08:35
What I'd like to see is something that fits well with humans,
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我想要看見的東西是要能夠 和人類、我們的文化,
08:39
with our culture and with the environment.
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及我們的環境能非常符合的東西。
08:43
Technology that aids and assists those of us with neurological conditions
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這種科技要能夠幫助和協助 有神經系統疾病
08:47
or other disabilities
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或其他殘疾者的人,
08:49
in order to make life equally challenging for everyone.
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讓人生對於每個人的 挑戰程度是平等的。
08:54
Technology that works
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這種科技的運作
08:55
regardless of your demographics or the color of your skin.
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不會考量你的 人口統計資料或你的膚色。
09:00
And so today, what I focus on is the technology for tomorrow
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所以,現今我著重的是明日的科技
09:05
and for 10 years from now.
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和十年後的科技。
09:08
AI can turn out in many different ways.
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產生人工智慧的方式相當多。
09:11
But in this case,
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但在這個情況中,
09:12
it isn't a self-driving car without any destination.
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它並不是沒有目的地的 自動駕駛汽車。
09:16
This is the car that we are driving.
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它是我們在開的汽車。
09:19
We choose when to speed up and when to slow down.
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我們選擇何時要加速何時要減速。
09:23
We choose if we need to make a turn.
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我們選擇是否要轉彎。
09:26
We choose what the AI of the future will be.
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我們選擇將來的 人工智慧會是哪一種。
09:31
There's a vast playing field
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人工智慧能夠
09:32
of all the things that artificial intelligence can become.
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變成各式各樣的東西。
09:36
It will become many things.
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它會變成許多東西。
09:39
And it's up to us now,
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現在,決定權在我們,
09:41
in order to figure out what we need to put in place
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我們要想清楚我們得要準備什麼,
09:44
to make sure the outcomes of artificial intelligence
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來確保人工智慧的結果
09:48
are the ones that will be better for all of us.
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會是對所有人都更好的結果。
09:51
Thank you.
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謝謝。
09:52
(Applause)
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(掌聲)
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