5 Promising Factors Propelling Climate Action | Gabriel Kra | TED Countdown

61,883 views ・ 2022-05-16

TED


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00:04
We need to change the way we think about the climate challenge.
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Because things are different this time.
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We need to stop thinking about it just as a problem, which it obviously is,
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and start thinking about it as an opportunity
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which will motivate us to solve it.
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I'm a venture investor.
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I invest in early stage companies and technologies,
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and I see tremendous opportunities in solving climate change.
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That said, we've been here before, and it's different this time.
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We can reduce net emissions to zero.
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And that was not obvious even just 10 years ago.
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Why do I think it's different?
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Because we have cheaper inputs, we have better technologies.
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We have better policies.
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We have a better sense of urgency.
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And most important of all, we have even better people working on it.
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I'm from Silicon Valley,
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and you can laugh or shrug
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if you think that the Valley is more part of the problem
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than part of the solution.
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But consider this.
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To succeed, if we want to succeed,
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we have to act at such a truly massive scale.
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We need the best investors and entrepreneurs on our team.
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01:34
And it's a fact that some 15 years ago,
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a bunch of us started working on technologies and companies
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that could help solve climate change.
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And we had some successes,
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in solar and in wind,
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in electric vehicles and transportation.
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But, accelerated by the Great Recession of 2008,
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climate tech, clean tech came to be seen as a string of investment failures.
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02:04
I don't think we failed.
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We were a little bit early and a little bit naive.
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We didn't have all those building blocks.
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Not enough of us knew that solving climate change
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was the greatest business opportunity of our generation.
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And we were a little bit naive.
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We underestimated how hard it was going to be
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to disrupt entrenched companies and industries
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that did not want to change.
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But now so many more people are invested in solving it.
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We have those building blocks, and we have even more people working on it.
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That's why I'm so optimistic and excited, why it's different this time.
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Let me detail a few.
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First, we have cheaper inputs.
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The biggest input in our economy and the dominant cost is energy.
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Until now, the dominant source of energy is fossils: coal, oil, gas.
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Climate change is caused by burning fossil fuels.
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But now, prompted by incredible decline in cost,
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solar and wind are the cheapest forms of electricity,
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most places on the planet.
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Until recently, while we knew that fossils were the source of the problem,
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we had no alternatives.
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Stopping fossils would have meant stopping the economy.
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Alternatives now exist.
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Two, we have better technologies.
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Consider lithium-ion batteries
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and how they enabled the electric vehicle revolution.
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Those batteries are now being applied towards other applications
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and other opportunities.
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We have better computers and new ways of using them.
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Machine learning and artificial intelligence
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applied to big data sets
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enables us to explore and develop new materials.
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It enables us to reduce energy needs,
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and it enables us to solve problems in previously unimaginable ways,
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some as simple as software that companies use to optimize delivery routes.
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We use less fuel to get stuff places.
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The bioeconomy has CRISPR and other gene editing tools.
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Those can be used to help plants like wheat, corn, rice, soy
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grow with less inputs, less water, less fertilizer.
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Massive opportunities.
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And we are in the early stages of developing equipment
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that can suck carbon dioxide out of the air,
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with the promise of one day reversing some of the pollution
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we've been pouring into our atmosphere for the past 200 years.
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Three.
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We have and are developing better materials.
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The streets we walk on, the buildings we work in,
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they're made of concrete and steel.
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Combined, those two contribute over 15 percent of global emissions.
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Now we can start making buildings up to 20 stories or more high
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without any steel or concrete.
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There’s structures made of laminated mass timber,
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which actually sequesters carbon.
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And at the same time, we're developing ways
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of making steel and concrete without emissions.
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Fourth.
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Climate tech is now sexy, elegant and chic.
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Electric vehicles were invented in the 1880s.
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As recently as the 1990s, though, they were clunky and ugly.
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You couldn't go much more than 50 miles on a single charge.
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Now we have safe, affordable,
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fun-to-drive, sexy electric vehicles.
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I think in five years we're going to be surprised,
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we'll be shocked if people want to buy a gasoline version.
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Or consider solar panels.
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Not too long ago,
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many communities banned them from being installed on their roofs
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for fear that they would uglify the neighborhood.
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Now they look like roofs.
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They're a status symbol.
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You have to have them.
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Other panels are used to power not just homes
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but companies and factories.
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Messaging matters.
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Fifth, there is so much more money being directed
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towards zero-emissions investments.
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Solving these problems, building these companies
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takes hard-working entrepreneurs,
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and it takes money.
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Until not so long ago,
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there weren't many people willing to invest in the riskiest technologies.
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Now we have dedicated pools of capital focused across climate,
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from early-stage technologies and companies
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to later-stage development
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and massive utility scale projects that require billions of dollars,
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which actually encourages more capital to come in
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and is a [virtuous] cycle.
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Each of these examples -- this is not an exhaustive list --
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but each of these examples are real.
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Real opportunities that are in development.
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We also have better policies.
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Governments are making plans
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that make them good partners and customers for entrepreneurs.
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We know so much more about climate injustice.
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We have real demand from the public to solve it.
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We have engineers and scientists and investors
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working around the planet on these problems.
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Put these things together
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and a clear picture emerges,
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a realistic pathway towards a clean future for all.
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These things have another characteristic.
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They are combinatorial.
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One accelerates the other.
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One propels the next forward.
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For instance, with cheap green electricity,
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we will soon have cheap green hydrogen.
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Green hydrogen can be used to power homes and factories.
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It can be used to make fertilizer,
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or it can be used to make steel without emissions.
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Tremendous opportunities.
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We're developing storage systems and batteries
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that are the missing link
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to make wind and solar firm and dispatchable,
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real alternatives to fossils.
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And ...
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mark my words,
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the combination of EVs and electric trains,
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remote sensors and big data analytics,
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it's going to revolutionize how we move people and goods around the planet.
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Of course, we still have a lot to do.
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We have to develop the solutions we have,
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and we have to develop and invent some
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to solve some wickedly hard problems,
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many of which I've mentioned already.
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For instance, how do we grow healthy food without emissions
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while protecting and restoring nature?
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How do we construct our buildings and fly airplanes without emissions?
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How do we recycle minerals instead of mining for new?
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And how do we make chemicals without drilling for oil and gas?
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How do we make steel without emissions
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and concrete that absorbs carbon dioxide at scale?
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And how do we all,
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especially big emitters like multinational corporations,
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track and report our emissions?
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Because you cannot manage what you don't measure.
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We need good, reliable, transparent carbon accounting.
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Another massive opportunity:
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developing carbon accounting and reporting software.
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Now, so many people understand the urgency of the situation.
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We understand that new and now go hand in hand.
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We can't sit around waiting for a solution.
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We need to get out and develop the ones we have
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while we invent the ones we don't have yet.
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And none of this happens without passionate people,
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and that's why I'm so excited, so optimistic.
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I see it everywhere,
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from young people in the United States
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who refuse to work for a company that isn’t committed to a clean future,
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to engineers in Africa
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developing the infrastructure, the water and the electricity that continent needs,
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but doing so sustainably.
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And this is also combinatorial.
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Great people attract more great people,
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which catalyzes more money, brings in even more great people.
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It's a virtuous cycle.
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Having worked -- the key factor in any effort, in any enterprise,
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the key factor in that success is the people.
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And having worked in innovation almost all my adult life,
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I can honestly say that the people I work with every day are,
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you are, the solution.
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We are different this time.
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And that’s why it’s different this time.
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And we will succeed.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)
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