Meet Mini-Grids — the Clean Energy Solution Bringing Power to Millions | Tombo Banda | TED

39,015 views

2024-03-18 ・ TED


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Meet Mini-Grids — the Clean Energy Solution Bringing Power to Millions | Tombo Banda | TED

39,015 views ・ 2024-03-18

TED


Please double-click on the English subtitles below to play the video.

00:08
In 1994, electricity came to my mother's childhood village
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in Zomba, Malawi, where my grandmother still lived.
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I used to love going to Zomba as a kid.
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I was a typical city brat romanticizing village life.
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I used to love going,
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I used to get to carry water on my head.
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And I remember the smell of kerosene as my grandma told stories at night,
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and my grandpa would be nodding off to these stories.
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But when that electricity came,
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it meant no more stinging eyes, for my grandma,
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from the smoke from the outside kitchen.
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It meant no more bedtime at seven.
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There was news to be watched.
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And more importantly, for my cousins, Manuel and Charles,
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it meant a magical thing called "more time" --
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more time to pursue hobbies and interests, and to study.
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They both went on to pursue further education.
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And for the village, it meant shops could stay open for longer,
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there was more jobs and a stronger local economy.
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Electricity came to Zomba because the main grid extended there,
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but for so many, the wait is still ongoing.
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The most recent data shows
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that less than 15 percent of Malawians have access to electricity.
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For sub-Saharan Africa,
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the number of people without electricity is more than 500 million.
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Globally, that number is even higher.
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There is a solution that could mean people get more access sooner:
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mini-grids,
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localized stand-alone energy systems to power individual communities.
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They usually consist of a solar panel array,
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a battery bank and backup system connected to a small distribution network.
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And in areas near rivers,
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they can be connected to hydropower turbines.
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So how do we get more people more access, more quickly?
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The traditional process of electrification is slow and expensive.
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Utilities are often cash-strapped,
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rural electrification agencies are often underfunded,
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governments have many competing priorities.
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But we need electrification
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not only because it provides opportunity like it did for Zomba
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but because lack of electrification means more environmental damage.
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Where there is no power for industry and homes,
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people who can afford to use diesel generators.
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And for the vast majority of rural communities,
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they resort to cutting down trees,
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for firewood, for cooking and lighting.
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It is estimated that, at current rates of consumption,
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Malawi's demand for firewood could outstrip sustainable supply by 2025.
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And if we look at coal-fired power stations,
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which, until recently, have been cheaper to deploy than renewable energy,
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they exacerbate climate change,
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leading to more extreme and destructive weather.
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For example, warmer temperatures make cyclones wetter,
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more frequent and more intense.
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Malawi suffered from three devastating cyclones in the last two years,
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and is still reeling from the effects of Cyclone Freddy today.
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So what's the solution?
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A typical mini-grid, on the other hand,
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can provide about 50 kW of clean, green, renewable energy,
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and connect about 200 households and 20 businesses.
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They can be quicker and cheaper to deploy than extending the main grid
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and can be plugged into the main grid, should it arrive.
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They create jobs during their construction
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and through ongoing maintenance.
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And they connect local health centers, schools.
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And they provide opportunities for entrepreneurs in those communities
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to start businesses.
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But mini-grids have a problem.
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This is because they often serve hard-to-reach areas,
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where people's only use for electricity is lighting or charging phones,
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and they haven't really had the need or the access to appliances
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for their homes and businesses.
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This means that the money that they pay
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to electricity providers or the mini-grid developers
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is very little.
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We know the impact that electricity can have on an individual,
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the community and the wider economy,
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so if we can't rely on governments to provide,
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we need the private sector.
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And for that reason, mini-grids need to be more profitable for those investors.
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As of now,
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the return that a mini-grid developer will get from a typical installation
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is about five to six percent.
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We think this number needs to be more like 12 percent
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to compete with other infrastructure investments,
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such as commercial and industrial solar or toll roads.
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So ...
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After a career as an engineer --
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thanks, in part, to the not-so-subtle influence of my dad --
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(Laughter)
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and then as a management consultant,
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this dilemma brought me to my current role,
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leading the Mini-Grid Innovation Lab at CrossBoundary.
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Our mandate is to experiment with the mini-grid business model,
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to make it more profitable,
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and therefore a more appealing way to spread electrification
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across the continent.
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To make mini-grids more profitable -- pretty straightforward.
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One of two things needs to happen.
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Revenues need to go up or costs need to go down.
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On the revenue side, we've tested appliance financing.
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Appliance financing, not a new concept,
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it's been used right here in the United States,
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in the 1920s and '30s.
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06:00
Who’s seen the show “1923”?
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Great. It's a great show,
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Harrison Ford, Helen Mirren.
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There's a great scene in it,
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where a salesman is trying to convince the ranchers
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to buy washing machines and electric cookers, on credit,
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for this new invention called "electricity,"
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because their lives will become a bit easier.
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And the retort from the ranchers is --
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and please indulge my attempt at a Southern accent here --
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(Laughter)
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"It ain't more leisurely,
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because we have to work more to pay for all that stuff."
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(Laughter)
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(Applause and laughter)
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It's partially true, right? Capitalism.
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But it did happen,
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and it worked by private lenders and government agencies
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extending small loans to homeowners
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so they could purchase washing machines and electric cookers on credit,
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increase their electricity bill
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and generate more revenues for those utilities.
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And in return, their lives were made a little bit easier.
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We tried the same thing in Long’ech, Lake Turkana, Kenya,
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where we financed an ice machine for a local entrepreneur
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who was also a mini-grid customer there.
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Before the ice machine,
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he used to buy fish from local fishermen,
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dry that fish and transport it to a nearby town for sale.
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The ice machine allowed him to preserve that fish fresh,
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transport it to the marketplace fresh
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and sell it at six times the price he did than the dried fish.
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He also consumed 50 times more
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than the average consumer on that mini-grid,
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and this increased the revenues of that mini-grid by 25 percent.
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On the cost side, we've looked at less expensive ways for storage,
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for solar-powered minigrids.
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Batteries from the US, Europe, Asia,
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no longer strong enough to be used in electric buses,
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can be used a second time as backup power and storage.
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These batteries can be up to 40 percent cheaper than new ones
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and will become more accessible as the EV sector scales globally.
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There is a last example I want to share about what is possible.
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This example is in Tanzania,
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in an agroforestry and tea-growing area.
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Prior to the minigrids, the local economy
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centered around employment in the tea estates and factories,
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and timber factories.
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The availability of electricity
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has brought about a boom in businesses using agroforestry by-products.
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One entrepreneur, Martino, opened a carpentry workshop.
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He makes window frames and doors for the local village and nearby towns,
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and he makes desks for the local schools.
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Business is booming
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because this community has increased disposable income.
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They even have a thriving laundromat.
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So, you know, those washing machines are useful after all.
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But this mini-grid community
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consumes 10 times more than the average minigrid community,
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and these revenues drive what is needed for profitability.
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So these innovations
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are making the investment proposition for mini-grids more attractive.
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The African Minigrid Developers Association reports
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that connections grew 45 percent from 2020 to 2021.
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But at the current rates of progress,
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the World Bank estimates
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that 670 million people will remain without electricity by 2030.
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That’s 670 million people still using kerosene lamps,
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still cutting down trees for firewood,
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and losing that most valuable of resources: time.
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Bed by 7pm.
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We cannot afford to wait for the electrification of our continent,
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nor can we afford to do it unsustainably.
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The human cost is tangible, real
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and too close to home.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)
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