Maria Van Kerkhove: How to end the pandemic -- and prepare for the next | TED

Maria Van Kerkhove: The last two weeks have been intense,

on top of an incredibly intense couple of years,

on top of an incredibly intense couple of years before that.

So with the emergence of Omicron, this new variant of concern,

this was on top of a really serious situation that we're in

currently in the pandemic.

I know many people around the world think this pandemic is over,

but unfortunately it's far from over.

And in fact, what I wanted to talk with you about in person

was about the fact that never again should we be in a situation

where the world is overtaken

and controlled by an invisible virus.

Never again should we be in a situation

where a virus takes so many lives.

And never again should we be in a situation

where a virus steals so many futures.

But unfortunately, we will.

And I wanted to talk with you a little bit about why that may be,

but also talk about how we can get out of this

and how we need to be better prepared.

And I am incredibly hopeful

that number one, we’ll get out of this pandemic,

because we will.

We will persevere, we will get out of this pandemic.

But what we have to do is work so hard to make sure

that we’re better prepared for the next one,

because unfortunately there will be.

And every single one of us,

every single one of you, in the role that you have,

wherever you are,

have a role to play in making sure that we are better prepared

and that we handle the next one better.

Whitney Pennington Rodgers: Thank you for that, Maria.

I know you have some great solutions that you can offer

for how we can actually become better prepared.

And before we dive into that, I know a lot of us are curious to know

what you know and what you can share with us about Omicron.

What do we know right now about about this variant?

MVK: So it's a variant of concern.

It's a new variant,

it's highly divergent from the other variants that are circulating,

other viruses that are circulating.

And it is quite different from the other ones that we know about.

It has a large number of mutations.

And the concern that we have is the number of mutations that are there,

some of the ones that are present in this variant, Omicron,

are present in some of the other ones: Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta.

And we know that they have some detrimental properties.

For example, some of these mutations can confer increased transmissibility.

Some of them can confer potential immune escape,

which means our vaccines may not work as well.

Now, right now, as I speak to you today, the evidence is emerging.

There are scientists around the world

who are generating evidence, who are sharing it with us in real time,

and with the world, so that we know more about it.

We understand that this variant has some properties of increased transmissibility,

but we don't know exactly how much,

and we don't know if it will outcompete Delta.

So you have to remember that this is all in the context of Delta,

another variant of concern that is raging worldwide

and killing people worldwide.

We know a little bit about severity,

but not enough to be able to give you the profile

of whether or not there is more --

those who are infected with Omicron have more severe disease or less.

So that data is unfolding,

and we hope to have more of that in the next week or so.

But people infected with Omicron can have mild disease,

and they can have severe disease and die.

We just don't know enough yet

because it takes time for people to be infected,

develop disease and actually progress to severe disease,

if they in fact will progress to severe disease.

And the big question is, will the vaccines work?

And what we understand from some of the mutations within Omicron,

they do confer some potential immune escape,

or what we call immune escape,

which means the vaccines may not be as effective.

But the vaccines that we have right now

are incredibly effective at preventing severe disease and death.

Incredibly effective.

It's astounding that so many vaccines are actually available.

And what we need are people all over the world to get vaccinated.

But most importantly,

we need people who are at risk in every single country

to get vaccinated,

rather than giving more and more and more vaccines

to people who are already protected.

This is a global problem, and we need a global solution.

We cannot protect one country.

We cannot protect one population while other people suffer.

So that's something WHO is working very hard on

in terms of ensuring vaccine equity

and working with partners all over the world on this.

WPR: And I don't know if you can hear,

but you got a lot of applause on that last statement.

You know, I think it's interesting that the variant, at least for me,

it's definitely caught me off guard, every time there is a new variant,

you know, Omicron, Delta, Alpha, all the ones you've mentioned.

And I’m curious if you think that this is something we can expect for the future.

Are we living in a world

where this is just going to be continuous?

MVK: We are.

The emergence of Omicron is completely expected.

You know, the virus is evolving.

This is what viruses do.

And the more the virus circulates, the more opportunities it has to change.

Delta is also evolving.

We're tracking at least 30 sublineages right now of Delta,

one of which has increased transmissibility properties.

The question is not just their emergence but if they actually take off.

So there's a lot of concern of Omicron, and there should be,

because of the sheer number of mutations that we've seen.

But whether or not this variant outcompetes Delta,

we don't know yet.

But we just want to put this into context of what's happening worldwide.

I mean, the big story a week ago was what was happening in Europe.

You know, where almost 70 percent of the cases worldwide were in Europe,

where, you know, people are dying where they have access to vaccine.

So the big question is: Why is that?

Why are we not actually getting the vaccines

to those who are most at risk?

At the same time,

why are we not actually driving transmission down where we can?

And I don't mean lockdown.

This idea that we have to either be completely open or completely closed

is frankly rubbish.

We have masks, we have distancing,

we have efforts to improve ventilation where we live, where we work,

where we study.

We know we can avoid crowds.

Why aren't we doing that right now, not forever?

We're not going to be in this pandemic forever.

It will end.

That is something that I can say for certain,

that this pandemic will end.

The question is when.

And the question is: Are we all going to actually come together?

Are leaders actually going to come together to bring us closer to the end

or push us further from that end point?

WPR: I think that that's an interesting question to think about

when we think about your role with the World Health Organization.

And even just taking a step back to the beginning of the pandemic,

I'd be so interested to hear what your experience has been

over these past two years

and what your involvement has been in thinking about preparedness

for COVID-19.

MVK: Well, it's been intense.

I mean, part of me feels like this has been happening for years.

Well, it has been two years, we're entering the third year.

Part of me, you know, it's an instant.

This was something, you know,

that was not necessarily a matter of if, but when.

But I think the issue that I struggle with the most

is that it didn't need to be this bad.

There will always be emerging pathogens.

There will always be the threat of a new virus that will infect us.

And in a susceptible world,

people will get infected.

To be able to prevent all pandemics,

I don't actually think is possible,

but we can be in a better situation

where we mitigate the chance of it spilling over from an animal to a human

and then spreading.

And, you know, the last two years have been of focus.

They’ve been ... concerned.

I have to say,

I would love to just thank all of my colleagues here at WHO.

I mean, I work with incredible people all over the world,

not just here in HQ,

but here in Geneva,

in our six regional offices, in our 152 country offices.

People who are on the ground every single day,

they have a much harder job than I do.

But we all have a role to play, and I have felt overwhelmed at times.

I’ve felt distraught at times.

But I get up every single day, and I’m inspired by the people I work with.

And I feel that I have a platform,

and I feel privileged to be part of this.

When this began, my husband said to me --

well, we have two little boys, 11 and almost three --

and he said to me, in the beginning of this, he's like,

"I got this, I got the boys, I got the house.

You go, deal with that."

And to have that level of support in my family,

to be able to do this job, is special, because none of this is normal.

The hours that we work -- and I'm not complaining,

but I have support in my family,

and I know my family will watch this and send me wonderful text messages,

but it inspires me.

And I think all of us,

I think what you guys were saying before about helping each other

and inspiring each other,

I think we need to do a hell of a lot more of,

because the negative out there is awful.

And something as a scientist I've never experienced before

or am completely unprepared to deal with is the negative.

What I am personally accused of,

what WHO as an organization is accused of,

it's hard for me to wrap my head around

because my entire job is to help people and to save people's lives.

The entire job of the director-general is to keep people safe.

That's all we're here for.

There is no other agenda.

So it’s been tough, and I’m struggling,

but I think that's normal.

I think if I weren't struggling, you may wonder what's wrong with me,

but it's hard.

WPR: Well, thank you for all that you're doing and have been doing.

And, you know, I think part of what,

to this point of the things you've been struggling with

and the things that you're hearing from people

is that I think from a public perspective,

there is this sense of confusion about the information we're receiving

and where we're receiving it from.

And you know, how possible do you think it is for us

to have some sort of coordinated response

or coordinated source of information from people that we look to,

organizations that we look to as authorities on this subject?

MVK: It's entirely possible.

It's entirely possible.

There is a global plan for COVID-19.

In this world that we live in,

where there are so many challenges that all of us face,

COVID-19 has solutions.

We, as WHO, issued a plan

four days after we declared this as a public health emergency

of international concern.

Before we reached the state of a pandemic,

which is important, because you want to raise the alarm

before you're actually in a pandemic.

The plan exists in that sense.

What I think many countries didn't take into account

was how important leadership is.

And in particular, political leadership.

What we saw in many countries in the beginning of this pandemic

is those countries that had experience with SARS, with MERS,

with avian influenza, with Ebola,

they knew the threat firsthand.

They didn't need all of the data in front of them to understand

what a risk this posed.

And they acted aggressively.

And those countries that had that experience

really tackled this with the aggression that was necessary.

Far too many countries thought,

"Not a problem for us.

It's a problem over there.

We've got a health system that's very strong.

We can handle it."

But when you have an emerging new virus

where the entire world is susceptible,

you know very little about it --

it can spread very easily between people,

it can cause everything from asymptomatic to severe disease and death

and can overwhelm your systems so quickly --

that experience with those past epidemics really was lifesaving.

And what was key in those countries is that

from the experience that they had with those past epidemics,

they took steps following the ends of those outbreaks to make change.

They invested in surveillance.

They invested in a workforce with their clinicians and their nurses

and their community health workers.

They invested in testing and contact tracers.

And they invested in changing of some laws,

some public health laws,

that allowed the governments to act where necessary

while keeping in mind the rights of people.

And so what we've seen in so many countries,

mainly in the East,

mainly in Asia, in the Pacific,

across Africa,

they may not have had the perfect systems in place.

Quite frankly, nobody does,

but they used the capacities that they had strategically

and in such a smart way,

and they fared much, much better in the beginning of this pandemic.

And I think all of us need to ask what could have been.

I think that's the part that I struggle with the most,

is like: What could have been?

I don't let it hold me back

because otherwise it would be very hard to get out of bed.

But I think what can I do today with the platform that I have today?

What can I do with the teams that I have,

with the role that I have,

to make today a hell of a lot better than it was yesterday?

And that's why I feel so privileged in the job that I have.

WPR: Well, that's great --

(Applause)

I don't know if you can hear this applause, Maria,

but you're getting a lot of applause through this conversation.

People are really appreciating what you're sharing with us.

I think that's a good place for us to dive into next.

And you alluded to this at the very top of the conversation,

that you have some ideas

for how we can change the trajectory of this,

how we can do better as individuals, as organizations, as governments.

And I'd love to hear what you think we could actually do

to move forward and chart a better path.

MVK: Well, there’s so many, so many things we can do,

and I know we’re not going to talk for the next three hours.

But a lot of this is about the investment

that we make now

and the changes that we make right now,

while we're going through this traumatic experience.

In the example that I just gave with countries that did better,

they made changes following that trauma

and in the middle of that trauma.

And in the middle of this pandemic around the world,

what we need are governments to make change and make those investments.

Pandemic preparedness is a constant.

It doesn't start and stop.

And unfortunately,

we are currently living through cycles of panic and neglect

in the middle of the worst pandemic we've had in a century.

And this boggles my mind

because if we don't use this opportunity

to make those changes in building that infrastructure,

that public health infrastructure in primary health care,

making sure that people have access to tools,

to life-saving tools like diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines,

when is the right time to actually do that?

So we've been working very hard through our COVAX and partners

to ensure vaccine equity around the world.

But governments also need to make changes right now.

Because when this is over,

and again, it will end,

we're going to move on to the next crisis

because there's plenty on deck.

The other thing that is really quite exciting to me

and we don't know all about this yet,

is this pandemic treaty.

So this week, in WHO and around the world,

governments, ministries from all of our member states

met at a special session of the World Health Assembly.

And this is really, really unique

because it's not common for WHO to bring member states together for one topic.

And what they decided to do

was to come together to develop this pandemic treaty,

this agreement, this protocol.

I don't know what it will eventually be called,

but to come together to make a promise

and to make a contract to do better on pandemic preparedness.

And this is really critical because it goes beyond words.

It goes into a binding agreement that all countries have to follow

so that we are actually better prepared,

not just say we will, because that's easy.

What we need to do is actually take those concrete steps.

So this week was a really important week.

All of us are really quite excited about this,

and we’re so proud of our director-general for bringing everybody together on this.

But this has to come --

It will take some time as the treaty is developed,

and the contents of the treaty need to be discussed and negotiated,

and this will take some time.

But it was a really, really important step.

And for us, what we need to see is

you think of the last time some of these big agreements were made.

Think about the last World War.

Think about after World War II, when all of the countries came together,

and instead of having isolationism,

they came together for multilateralism.

And you think about the situation of "never again,"

like, never again being in this situation.

This is actually an opportunity to take that one step forward.

So this is a good step.

It will take some time to actually develop,

but all of us are really quite excited that that step was taken this week.

WPR: I think that to your last point,

there is this question of: How do you hold people accountable?

You know, there have been other agreements,

and it seems like the intentions are there to make things better.

But how do you ensure that this is more than just, you know, words on paper?

MVK: Well, this is a step getting us closer to that.

I mean, I think all of us in this whole pandemic about accountability,

it's really critical.

I mean, think about it in your own daily life,

about what you are accountable for and what you are responsible for.

This is TEDWomen, I mean,

you've got amazing people there in the audience

who have jobs and careers and passions and families.

We’re accountable for I don’t know how many things in our daily lives.

But we know that,

we know that we are responsible things,

and we are accountable to our families and to our jobs and to our staff.

We need governments accountable as well.

We need all governments to be in a position

where they take steps to be better prepared.

We need governments in better positions

where they can share information more regularly with us

and with the world,

because this is how decisions are made.

And we need the mechanisms in place to be able to do so.

We need sharing of samples.

We need sharing of materials.

We need people to be able to better collaborate.

Scientific world collaborates.

We don't need a treaty for that.

We just do that because no matter who’s in office,

no matter what political cycle is there,

we work together,

but we need that from a political level as well

and through ministries of health.

So this is quite exciting for us to hold more governments accountable.

And all of us as citizens have to hold our own leaders accountable.

And wherever we live,

whatever mechanism we have by that, we should.

And we should hold our governments accountable for vaccine equity.

So we should be screaming from the rooftops.

I cannot believe that more people are not screaming from the rooftops

about vaccine inequity from this pandemic.

We have safe and effective vaccines that were developed in record time

based on a lot of existing collaboration, based on years of work.

But these are safe and effective against the Delta variant,

which is dominant worldwide.

Why aren't those in every single country

and in the arms of people who are most at risk?

People are dying unnecessarily.

Where is the accountability for that?

So I think all of us have a role to play,

whether or not it’s you asking your government to take some steps,

or whether or not it's you making sure you keep yourself safe.

So if you think it's over, even where you live,

because I know many people do,

you still have a responsibility to make sure you keep yourself safe

and keep your family safe.

Please, if you hear anything from me today, please do that.

Please remain vigilant.

Because everything you do every day

will either get us closer to ending this pandemic --

or it will prolong it.

So please play your part.

(Applause)

WPR: Thank you so much for sharing all of this with us,

and we’re sorry we missed you in person

but are so appreciative that you took the time out

of what we know is an extremely busy schedule

to share this with us and be here with us virtually.

And we can't wait to see you hopefully at the next TEDWomen

sometime in person.

Thank you, Maria.

MVK: Thank you so much for having me.

WPR: Thank you for your work.

(Applause)