Can the US and China Take On Climate Change Together? | Changhua Wu | TED

41,654 views ・ 2023-09-15

TED


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00:08
You don't hear much praise for China in the United States these days.
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To be fair, China doesn't say great things about the US either.
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(Laughter)
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The two big nations are stuck in a geopolitical deadlock
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that is bad for progress to fight climate change.
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I'm a China sustainability policy analyst
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and I have witnessed a clean energy revolution there
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that could mean big things for the rest of the world.
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But it's become clear to me
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that if the US continues to see China as a threat,
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the desired transition will never happen at the faster pace
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and the larger scale as expected.
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We urgently need to pivot from the currently dismal relations
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and reset a constructive rather than destructive foundation
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for a global clean energy revolution.
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(Applause)
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Let's take a look at the clean energy manufacturing,
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because this seems to be where the tension lies today.
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Some US commentators said,
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"The best chance was 10 years ago. The second best chance is now."
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The best chance was China's drive
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to invest aggressively and ambitiously in clean technologies
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with the China Make 2025 campaign.
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The outcome is massive deployment of clean energy solutions
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that established China as a global leader in this landscape.
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The US Inflation Reduction Act in 2022,
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a climate law that pushes for investments in domestic clean energy production,
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represents the second best chance.
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The IEA executive director Fatih vividly called this dynamic
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“the beginning of a new age of clean energy manufacturing.”
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A decade apart, China and the US stand at a different position
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along the global value chain.
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While China is already in the second decade of transition,
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the US is just starting to take off.
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The recent data shows China provided 77 percent of global batteries last year
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and it is right on track to lead all nations
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in manufacturing clean energy products by 2030.
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China's investment has also put it as a global leader,
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leading exporter of those technologies: solar, wind, batteries,
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you name it.
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My professional experience also tells me
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that the US can learn a great deal from China's steadfast dedication
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to push forward the clean energy transition in some key ways.
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Firstly, China is re-energizing the world's largest energy system
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with renewables and smart grid infrastructure.
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And the US can adapt this with a much shorter learning curve
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and reduced costs.
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The first half of this year saw 34 percent of China’s electricity
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generated from non-fossil fuels,
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right on track to deliver 39 percent by 2025,
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as has been planned,
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and aiming for 80 percent by 2035.
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Between now and 2035,
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China's national endeavors are focused on rapid expansion of installations
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and also consumption of clean energy in all sectors you could imagine.
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In the meantime,
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it's also dedicated to enhancing grid transmission and distribution systems
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to accommodate this growth of renewables.
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US and China operate power systems in two different regulatory contexts,
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but share the logic and also technicality
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when designing and building
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a clean, smart, net-zero carbon emissions grid system.
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China is also becoming a real daredevil
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in pioneering the development of 5G
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and AI-enabled power systems
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and deploying the ultra-high-voltage grid systems
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supplemented by vehicle-to-grid technologies
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in order to accommodate the rise of EVs.
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China's experience can provide an invaluable reference or insight
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for the US to decarbonize your own power system.
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Secondly, China is leading a global campaign
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to increase solar usage.
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The social, economic and environmental model deployed in China
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can help the US to address climate injustice challenges domestically.
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Solar energy is becoming the least-cost option
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for new electricity generation in most parts of the world today.
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The IEA forecasts an average annual solar generation growth
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of 25 percent between 2022 and 2030,
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which is about 10 times of the current total global installations,
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in order to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by mid-century.
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Or to put it another way,
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this is one kilowatt solar installation per person by 2030.
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That number stands today at one-tenth kilowatt globally.
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China is on its way to achieve two-fifths kilowatt
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by the end of this year.
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To bridge the gap, a group of leading Chinese universities and institutions
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launched a China campaign
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advocating one kilowatt solar installation per person by 2030.
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The strategy is -- and also turning that into a global campaign,
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called Solar Lights the Planet.
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The strategy is to really use solar installation
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as the intervention point
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to explore how rural energy transition in China
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can benefit other UN sustainability targets.
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On one side, it's cost-effective.
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One kilowatt solar installation requires five square meters of space
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and a 500-dollar upfront investment to install.
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When completed, it generates green electricity
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while avoiding carbon emissions.
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And on the other side,
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it also demonstrates that co-benefits can be created and maximized.
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Rapid rural energy transition can bring new investment
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and also create green power-enabled growth opportunities,
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for instance, food, agriculture, fishery, energy services,
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tourism and other industries.
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China's experience definitely can be very valuable for the US
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to think about the solutions to address climate injustice.
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Solar Lights The Planet is the ambition.
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It also offers colleagues in the United States
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to work with peers from China and other parts of the world
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to really tackle the climate injustice challenge.
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Thirdly, China is mainstreaming a circular economy
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and transforming its supply chains.
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Joining forces, China, the US, together with the EU,
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can literally reset the global supply chain solidly on sustainability.
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China is a global manufacturing powerhouse.
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Its demand for raw materials
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and critical metals is growing exponentially.
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As we all know, the planet cannot possibly afford
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the ecological destruction from quadruple,
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and in some cases even six times the current import of critical metals
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to match the planned energy transition.
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A circular economy offers a remedy to decouple the growth from resource use.
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China is also well positioned to reset its supply chains
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with circularity at the core.
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Today, China recycles more than 95 percent of nickel and lithium.
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Business communities have a big role to play,
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providing solutions or answers to what hurdles to remove,
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what innovative solutions to deploy,
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what business models actually to promote,
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and very importantly, how to consolidate a global partnership
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to work together to shape our sustainable and circular global supply chain.
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Which is why a group of Chinese organizations are working together,
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kicking off a China Circularity 100 initiative,
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aiming by 2030 to really find the pathways
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to close the loop in recycling for critical metals
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and also for the energy sector.
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It's targeting at least 100 companies
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to work together to find the alternative pathways.
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China's practice can become a very important reference
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for the United States to make investment decisions
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to embrace circularity now.
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So how do we jump-start a new US-China partnership?
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Well, the two governments ... should start with a revised narrative,
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one that is with good intention, as well as with collaborative spirit.
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In the meantime, the two nations need to assure the rest of the world
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that they are really seriously and sincerely working together
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to find their alternative and to rebuild partnership.
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One thing to keep in mind:
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the climate change doesn't care about our ideological divide.
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Rather, it demands for collective actions that deliver outcomes.
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Cornering China as a national security threat
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seems to claim that the US, rather than China,
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is the legitimate and trustworthy global leader in this transition.
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And yet, as the world's largest developed economy,
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the US doesn't meet the bar of what's expected of a global leader.
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Along the line, it doesn't provide the rest of the world
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with sufficient, accessible and affordable clean energy solutions,
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nor does it provide, deliver its financial commitments
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to other developing countries under the Paris Agreement.
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And China undoubtedly has to go a long way too
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in rethinking its strategy and behavior in dealing with the US.
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It needs to make extra efforts to convince the world
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that it's not a threat, but rather a trusted partner,
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willing and capable to work with the US
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to shift towards a collaborative partnership.
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Let me leave this stage with some sort of cautious optimism.
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My heart feels enlightened when media in our two countries
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start to tell different US-China stories.
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Treasury Secretary Yellen's China trip last week
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went viral in Chinese social media.
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The rainbow welcoming her landing in Beijing Airport
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represents some hope
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and also a new beginning of bilateral relations.
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And her love for the wild mushroom soup from Yunnan province --
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(Laughter)
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literally gives me this kind of a warm and also sweet human touch.
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And I have a message to climate envoy John Kerry,
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who is coming to China later this month.
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You know, the two governments have already declared quite a number
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of joint commitments and collective actions
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to fight climate change.
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What's urgently needed now is a shared vision, mission, aspiration,
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wisdom and very importantly,
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a compass to guide everyone back on track,
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to take collective actions and deliver the due results.
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It seems to me that's the must-have precondition for us all
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in order to keep a sustainable future within reach.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)
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