Hidden Connections That Transcend Borders and Defy Stereotypes | Aparna Bharadwaj | TED

45,048 views ・ 2023-01-28

TED


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I've lived and worked in some very diverse countries around the world.
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I was born in India, but I grew up in Iran.
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I remember I was about eight years old, as a child in Iran,
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with my family watching the beautiful festival of Nowruz.
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Nowruz is celebrated usually at night with families gathered around a bonfire.
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They share food. They sing songs.
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Sometimes they even jump over the fire for good luck.
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And I remember how deeply that reminded me of another festival called Lohri,
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celebrated all the way over in India,
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also with families gathered around a bonfire, sharing food,
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singing songs together.
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Even an eight-year-old child can tell
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how profoundly similar those two events look
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in two sets of countries that are culturally so different.
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Like a kind of hidden connection.
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As an adult, I’ve spent 20 years of my life
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studying consumers all over the world.
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What they feel, what they believe in
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and how they act upon those beliefs when they buy things.
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And of course, a big part of my job is to truly understand
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the diversity that exists in the world.
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But maybe because of my upbringing,
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what truly fascinates me is when we find these hidden connections,
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these secret similarities between people where you least expect them.
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Today I want to share some of that magic with you,
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bring you into my world.
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And we are going to go do some detective work
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on the world's consumers together.
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Stay with me, because I think
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there's a message of hope in here for all of us.
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Before we start, let's have a think
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about how companies, businesses are organized today,
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how they operate today.
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Most commonly, companies are organized by regions, subregions.
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That's how supply chains, organizations are set up.
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And if it's not geographies, then it's some other thumb rule.
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It could be linked to some common historic period.
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So, for example, the Commonwealth countries.
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It could be linked to common religious roots.
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For example, I've been a part of a lot of discussions
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on the halal economy.
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It could be something, anything
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that allows us to put the world into neat little boxes,
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neat little clusters, that explain why people are similar or different.
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But I realized that when you study the consumers
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and when you go deep,
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it's interesting how none of that applies.
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How wrong some of that thinking can be.
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Let me show you.
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About a year ago, a team of us set out to understand
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how consumers exercise choice around the world.
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In this process, we interacted with over 40,000 consumers
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in 18 countries around the world.
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We asked them many, many questions about their mindsets to start with.
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So, for example, your worldview, your personal philosophy.
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Do you feel optimistic? Do you have a love for technology?
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Do you care about peer approval? Things like that.
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But we also tried to study some very specific consumer behavior.
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So, for example, what do you look for when you buy a snack
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or you buy a beverage or luxury products?
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What needs are you trying to fulfill?
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As you can imagine, there was a ton of data
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for the geek insiders to go crazy with, right?
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I love that type of data.
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So anyway, we take all that data, and we start to draw correlations.
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We start running all these analyses.
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And we come up with this kind of a proximity analysis.
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Quite simply, every green dot represents people of a particular country.
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The closer the green dot is to the map in the middle,
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the more similar the mindsets are for those two sets of countries.
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And the further the dot from the map,
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the more diverse the mindsets for those countries.
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It's as simple as that.
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So of course, when you do this for the US,
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you can see that the Canadians, the people of the UK and the Australians
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are very similar in mindsets to the Americans.
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Now we had been studying consumers for a long time
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and the whole team fully expected
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that we were going to see a lot of clusters come through,
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based on some of those thumb rules that I talked about earlier.
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So imagine our surprise.
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We run this data and we find very little clustering
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based on any of those thumb rules.
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We didn't, for example, find an Asian culture cluster.
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We didn't find a European cluster.
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Nothing like it.
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In fact, we found 90-percent correlation between the Americans and the Australians.
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Two sets of people on the literal opposite ends of the world.
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Can you imagine that? How amazing is that?
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And this is a big deal, by the way,
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because businesses, companies operate, govern themselves,
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entirely on the basis of these clusters that we found didn't even exist.
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And believe me, we tested a bunch of thumb rules.
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And the interesting part was
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that it was not as if you can find new thumb rules
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to replace the old ones that don't work.
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The answer was kind of technical, actually.
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It was: just don't do it.
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Resist the urge to find any kind of thumb rules to explain the world.
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These are only propagating stereotypes.
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So then we said, OK, if all these thumb rules don't work,
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how do you make sense of all the diversity that we see around us?
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How do we put some patterns? How do we understand it?
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So then we started to study the specific consumer behavior I talked about.
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What do you look for when you buy insurance?
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What do you need when you buy beverages?
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When you buy apparel, cars, things like that?
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And here we found something that was even more profound, I think.
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Let me show you.
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So this time I'm using China as the base market.
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Again, as before, green dots, overall mindsets.
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Now you can see immediately when you see this chart
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that the Chinese are such a unique group of consumers.
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The inner circle is empty.
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The second circle is also empty.
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Then you start to see India, Mexico, a couple of other markets.
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But the correlation shows not a lot of similarity
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between the Chinese and those group of customers.
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So clearly, China stands apart.
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Very unique group of consumers.
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But we notice Japan on the top left here.
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The Japanese are so diverse from the Chinese.
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And yet I know so many businesses that put Japan and China
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as neighboring countries in the North Asia cluster.
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That's so common.
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It's so wrong.
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Anyway, I digress. I get very excited with this stuff.
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(Laughter)
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So then, coming back to the point,
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on top of it, we overlaid these black dots.
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The black dots are now the needs when you snack.
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So what motivates you when you reach out for a snack?
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That's the black dots.
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And when we did that and we studied it, we found a hidden connection.
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I don't know if you can already see it, but I'm going to circle it for you.
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We found that the Indonesians,
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the Saudi Arabians and consumers of the UAE
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snack in very similar ways to the Chinese.
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Let's think about it for a second.
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These are Muslim countries.
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Very different culture, very different background to the Chinese.
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And yet they snack is similar ways.
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How cool is that? Right?
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And similar how?
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Well, for first, in all of these countries,
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snacking is a moment of social indulgence.
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It's something you do as a group.
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So people snack in groups, they share the snacks.
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They often buy a hot snack that they purchase from a hawker or a food court.
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Somebody prepares it fresh for them.
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The quality is not guaranteed. It's very important.
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They snack in similar ways.
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In contrast, the Americans, over on the top left,
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snack very differently.
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Americans snack alone.
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(Laughter)
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They don't share their snacks.
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It's often at their desk in a package,
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very different from the rest of the countries.
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Now I wonder, do the Chinese and the Indonesians know
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that they snack similarly?
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I seriously doubt that.
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But what a beautifully human thing to know, right?
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And valuable, too.
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Imagine what a Chinese snacking company can do with this insight.
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A lot, right?
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Let's take you to another one.
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I'll show you another one.
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Still staying with China.
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The green dots are still the mindsets,
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but this time the black dots are how you buy cars,
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what you look for when you buy an automotive product.
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Now again, I guess you guys are getting better with this now.
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But here's the hidden connections.
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We found -- and I'll name a few countries,
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there's quite a few similar to China, but two that I'll call out.
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South Africans and Nigerians buy cars with similar motivations as the Chinese.
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In all these countries, your car, your ride, is a status symbol.
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It tells your peer group who you are.
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So your car needs to show you’ve arrived in life,
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and it's a very external point of influence.
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What will others think if I drive this particular vehicle?
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In contrast, look at the Germans at the bottom.
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Very different, very internal, very personal.
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Your car has to be fun to drive.
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That's very, very important.
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And who blames them, right? With those beautiful autobahns.
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Lovely roads, no speed limits.
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Of course you want your car to be a fun ride, right?
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But wait, look at the French now.
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The French are very different from the Germans.
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They want their cars to be reliable to navigate narrow roads.
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So there you have it.
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Two countries, France and Germany, neighboring countries, European countries,
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very different motivations.
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And then a couple of African countries
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similar to the Chinese in the way they buy cars.
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No clustering, no business group will ever put these countries together.
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But maybe a road trip from Beijing to Lagos is just going to do the trick.
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Who knows?
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Anyway, one more, last one.
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Indulge me, just to rub it in.
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So here's another one. We're coming back to the US this time.
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Again, green is the mindset,
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but the black this time is how you buy clothing, apparel.
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Now remember we talked about how the Americans and the Canadians
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are very similar in mindsets earlier?
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And we also talked about, you know -- of course,
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they are closely connected neighbors as well.
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Now, however, they don’t buy apparel the same way.
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The Americans buy things that are on-trend.
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They're looking to indulge.
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The Canadians look for utility.
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They are looking for apparel that can be good for adventure,
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and a love of outdoor sports is critical here.
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But controversially, the Russians buy apparel
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in very similar way to the Americans,
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also looking for something that’s on-trend,
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also looking to indulge.
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Now to say that there've been tensions between these two countries
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is a serious understatement, right?
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And yet they have this one beautiful connection.
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They have one thing in common.
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What a lovely idea. Right?
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Now I could go on and on.
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I showed you just a few examples today.
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But we found this over and over again.
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Category by category.
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Country pair by country pair.
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We saw this in all kinds of things,
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like luxury, beverages, insurance, you name it.
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We found these connections everywhere.
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And I don't mean any of this to belittle the massive, beautiful diversity
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that we see in consumers around us.
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That's exactly why consumers are such an important study
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for people like me.
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But I think this work shows that mankind is connected
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in a profound way that we never imagined.
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It also shows that these connections defy any stereotypes
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that you and I or businesses can come up with.
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These are patterns where you least expect them.
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And in these connections, of course, there are commercial opportunities
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for marketeers who can embrace this insight.
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Of course, it's commercially valuable.
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But today, I want to go a step further, if you permit me.
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I think in these connections,
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there's also a message of hope for the world.
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We live in a world that has globalized for more than four decades,
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and yet we're getting torn apart, shaped by the geopolitics of our time.
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Countries are falling into blocs.
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Fault lines are appearing everywhere.
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I'm not a specialist in geopolitics.
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I'm just a student of the consumer.
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But when I look at this data and I think about it,
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if only people knew that we are similar in the most profound ways
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in some of our most everyday activities,
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in the way we sip a cup of coffee,
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taste a snack, try on a new outfit or test drive a car,
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how beautiful would that be?
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Maybe if we knew that,
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we would also learn to understand and empathize with each other.
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It's a lovely thought to reflect on maybe with your next cup of coffee.
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Thank you so much.
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(Applause)
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