Capitalism Broke the Climate. Now It Can Fix It | Akshat Rathi | TED

28,389 views ・ 2024-09-27

TED


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I was at a climate protest, and I saw a poster that said, in big letters,
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"Burn capitalism, not coal."
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How many of you agree
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that to tackle climate change, we should stop burning coal?
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Raise your hands.
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Almost all of you.
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And how many of you agree that to tackle climate change,
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we should burn capitalism?
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There are a few hands, but not as many.
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I'm a journalist, and I write about climate solutions.
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And when I ask this question of people,
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I get the full range of answers,
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from those who say that the system that got us into this mess
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can never get us out of it,
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to those who say that the only answer is to unleash market forces
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for the innovations we need.
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But who is right?
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I wanted to find the answer for myself.
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So I started on the rooftop of my childhood home in India.
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I wanted to get solar panels for my parents.
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It took two days to get quotes,
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two weeks to have those shiny devices up on the roof,
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ready to capture the sun's energy.
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The payback was quick.
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Electricity bills fell,
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and my parents have recovered the investment in five years.
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For the next 15 years, they can enjoy solar power for free.
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So what has capitalism got to do with it?
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Well, India did not invent the technologies
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that go into solar panels.
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Even today, India manufactures only a small fraction of what it deploys.
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And yet, a country with less than 3,000 dollars
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of income per person per year
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is able to benefit
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from what is now one of the world's cheapest sources of energy.
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This has happened because profit-seeking companies
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want to sell all of us more and more solar panels.
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But it has happened because governments created that market
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through subsidies and regulations.
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We know the more we build, the cheaper it gets.
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And it's not just the story of solar.
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Between 2009 and 2019,
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the price of solar fell 90 percent.
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Wind -- 70 percent.
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Lithium-ion batteries -- 85 percent.
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This is what I call “climate capitalism.”
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Climate emergency is forcing governments and businesses
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to change how capitalism works,
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to use its forces for creating the solutions we need
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rather than making the problem worse.
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And look, it's not happening everywhere,
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or at the pace at which we need.
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There are still companies that are profiting from pollution.
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However, in country after country where I've had a chance to report,
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I've found that a combination of people, policy and technology,
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when they come together, climate solutions do work.
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Now the primary motivation to deploy these solutions
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does not have to be tackling climate change.
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Other pressing issues, such as air pollution
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or energy security, or global competitiveness,
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can garner even more support.
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How exactly?
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Let me tell you the story of Wan Gang.
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You've probably never heard of him,
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but he has done more for the global rise of electric cars than Elon Musk.
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Wan was born in China.
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He trained as an auto engineer
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before moving to Germany and working for Audi.
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There, he saw the lifestyle that Germans lived,
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and realized that, perhaps, Chinese people may never be able to experience it.
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That's because in 2000,
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China burned about one barrel of oil per person per year.
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Germans burned 12 times as much.
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So he made the case to the Chinese leadership
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that the country needed to work on an alternative --
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and that he was willing to lead the charge.
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So he was given a chance to work on a government program.
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Wan's team, in a period of eight years,
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built hundreds of electric cars and buses
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that were used at the Beijing Olympics.
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In those same eight years, the country's oil bill ballooned,
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and its cities became globally infamous for air pollution.
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But Wan had shown that an alternative could work.
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If China could scale the manufacturing of electric cars,
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air pollution would be cut,
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oil imports would be cut.
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And most importantly, China would create a new industry
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that could compete with other countries.
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So Wan was made the science minister,
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and the government started giving out tens of billions of dollars in subsidies
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for the manufacturing of electric cars and lithium-ion batteries.
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The government also started putting regulations
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to make it harder to buy fossil-fuel cars.
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Even today, if you’re in Shanghai
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and you want to buy a gasoline-powered car,
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you have to enter a lottery and win it.
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If you want an electric car,
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you can just go to a showroom and buy one.
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The Chinese government provided direction,
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but it was the practitioners of capitalism
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that made a small electric-car industry into the global giant that it is today.
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One of those investors was Warren Buffett.
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He invested in a little-known company then, called BYD.
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Today, BYD sells more electric cars than Tesla.
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Now you might think what China did cannot be replicated by democracies.
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But as it happens,
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China took inspiration from the paragon of capitalism:
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the USA.
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Throughout the previous century,
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the US has used the instruments of government
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to redirect investments toward national priorities.
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Take the semiconductor industry,
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the reason why California is home to Silicon Valley.
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It was created with generous contracts from the Department of Defense.
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It's also a similar case for biotech, for airlines, for the internet.
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All of them have fingerprints of the government from [their] birth.
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In fact, China's electric vehicle policy
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is a modified version of California's Zero Emission Vehicle mandate.
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That policy was crucial in keeping Tesla afloat by providing subsidies.
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That, by the way, is George W. Bush
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in a hydrogen-powered electric bus in California in 2006.
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But now that China has a lead on all sorts of green technologies,
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the US is being forced to catch up.
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The Inflation Reduction Act, passed in 2022, is one response.
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It will see the US government provide hundreds of billions of dollars
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of subsidies towards all kinds of solutions,
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from green hydrogen to heat pumps.
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That will be multiplied by matching private investment.
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But climate capitalism
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isn't just about putting government subsidies to work.
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That's because the climate crisis
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is the greatest market failure of all time.
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Governments around the world
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have allowed corporations to pollute for free,
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and all that pollution is causing damages to all of us,
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in the form of climate impacts,
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health inequalities, dislocation of communities.
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In some parts of the world,
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leaders are starting to correct that mistake.
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But Europe has put a price on pollution and created legally binding targets.
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That has helped the continent
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cut its carbon footprint faster than any other.
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It's also changed how businesses operate in Europe.
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The Danish Oil and Natural Gas Company was founded in 1972.
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For 40 years, it dug up fossil fuels.
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Then Denmark adopted a carbon price and a climate law,
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and suddenly, its business model became implausible.
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Today, you know that company as Ørsted.
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It transitioned away from fossil fuels starting in 2009,
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and it has become the largest developer of offshore wind power.
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This hasn't been a smooth ride.
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There just aren't as many success stories as the world needs.
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That's because the climate challenge is really complicated.
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India has an ambitious renewables goal, but it's falling behind.
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Europe has seen job losses
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because its carbon price has been too high.
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That has caused some industries to shut down
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and move to other parts, where there isn't a carbon price.
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And China's emissions last year
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rose despite a record clean energy build out.
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For climate capitalism to work,
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governments and businesses need to be flexible.
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They need to recognize when there are policies that require certainty,
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but if they're not working, then they must be changed.
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India is now doubling down on solar, with batteries,
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because it's seeing a rise in electricity demand.
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Europe has introduced a carbon tariff
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that's going to put a price of pollution on imports.
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That will level the playing field
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for domestic industry and STEM job losses.
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And some experts think
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that if China can continue its clean energy build out at the same pace,
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its emissions may have peaked last year.
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Now what’s remarkable is that some businesses are seeing
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that it's in their self-interest to act on climate change,
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with or without regulations.
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So far, we've looked at big, economy-wide changes.
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Now let's think about something as simple as ice cream.
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You would think that during a heat wave, an ice cream maker will turn big profits,
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selling lots and lots of ice cream.
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But heat waves are becoming so extreme
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that people are choosing to stay at home instead.
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At the same time, smallholder farmers
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that are the supply chain of ice cream makers
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are seeing their productivity fall.
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That's because of intense heat, drought, floods.
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It means the cost of making ice cream is going up.
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It's a double whammy.
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Lower sales, higher costs.
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Increasingly, businesses are recognizing
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that there are fewer profits to be made on a planet on fire.
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So let's go back to that poster.
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Is the answer to tackle climate change to burn capitalism, not coal?
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I hope the examples I've shared show that the problem isn't capitalism,
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but how it's being allowed to run.
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We only have a few decades left to get to zero emissions.
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The fastest way to get there is to change capitalism.
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How to do it?
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Through a combination of people, policy and technology.
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Dedicated people,
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smarter policies and cheaper technologies.
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That is how you'll get businesses to focus on the solutions the world needs.
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That is how people like my parents in India,
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and all of us around the world,
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will get access to those solutions,
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and that is how the world will finally stop burning coal
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and all other fossil fuels.
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Thank you.
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(Applause)
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